Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration

[Brittain33]

Rain clearing out of NoVA just in time for the afternoon rush of TMac soccer moms.

One of the pleasures of Atlas is seeing memes connect across spans of 4 years or more.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Any updates from Buchanan?  Feels like it's the only county where turnout is actually down.

Not to be morbid but haven't some of the rural SW counties been hit really hard by COVID? There may just be fewer people around to vote..

This is an unfortunate but still very possible explanation.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Hopefully we can call Youngkin , YoungKing after tonight

Cringe

BRTD makes king jokes all the time , so why can’t I . Especially since it rhymes here 

BRTD is cringe, too.

[Brittain33]

I simply cannot see a scenario where the GOP wins this race unless turnout in northern VA is extremely low. Republicans have done nothing over the last year to show us they want to let go of Trump era politics.

Youngkin looks like such a smug rich white d-bag I associate with suburban Republicans so I fear he may connect with people like Trump didn't.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Rain clearing out of NoVA just in time for the afternoon rush of TMac soccer moms.

One of the pleasures of Atlas is seeing memes connect across spans of 4 years or more.

Atlas is the best place to follow elections. Change my mind.

[Non Swing Voter]

https://twitter.com/davebjerke/status/1455629151575105539

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/tencor_7144/status/1455629857866518538?s=20

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/umichvoter/status/1455631090442543106?s=20

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I simply cannot see a scenario where the GOP wins this race unless turnout in northern VA is extremely low. Republicans have done nothing over the last year to show us they want to let go of Trump era politics.

Youngkin looks like such a smug rich white d-bag I associate with suburban Republicans so I fear he may connect with people like Trump didn't.

So in other words, Youngkin is more a 2012 Romney than a Trump?

[Hindsight was 2020]

Hopefully we can call Youngkin , YoungKing after tonight

Cringe

BRTD makes king jokes all the time , so why can’t I . Especially since it rhymes here 

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

I simply cannot see a scenario where the GOP wins this race unless turnout in northern VA is extremely low. Republicans have done nothing over the last year to show us they want to let go of Trump era politics.

Youngkin looks like such a smug rich white d-bag I associate with suburban Republicans so I fear he may connect with people like Trump didn't.

Even if he does win back some votes, Biden carried it with almost 70% of the vote. Even with a huge swing to get it back down to the ~60% Democrats usually get would be a huge feat for Youngkin

[Non Swing Voter]

Any updates from Buchanan?  Feels like it's the only county where turnout is actually down.

Not to be morbid but haven't some of the rural SW counties been hit really hard by COVID? There may just be fewer people around to vote..

I checked their registration numbers the other day and while they were lower than 2017 (they've been losing population for years) they weren't that much lower.  Not sure how often they update the statistics though.  But yes, undoubtedly one factor (and a giant problem for the GOP) is that GOP counties are almost uniformly stagnant or shrinking in population (with some exceptions) while Dem counties (Read: Northern Virginia) are growing A LOT.  NOVA has more than 100,000 additional registered voters since 2017.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

I simply cannot see a scenario where the GOP wins this race unless turnout in northern VA is extremely low. Republicans have done nothing over the last year to show us they want to let go of Trump era politics.

Youngkin looks like such a smug rich white d-bag I associate with suburban Republicans

What about us rich brown d-bag suburban Republicans, Brittain?

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1455632390014095361?s=20

[LimoLiberal]

Do we get exit polls at 5?

[Big Abraham]

I simply cannot see a scenario where the GOP wins this race unless turnout in northern VA is extremely low. Republicans have done nothing over the last year to show us they want to let go of Trump era politics.

Youngkin looks like such a smug rich white d-bag I associate with suburban Republicans so I fear he may connect with people like Trump didn't.

I don’t understand why the McAuliffe campaign didn’t try and go after him for being wealthy and out of touch like Romney? Instead they raise the specter of Trump which just doesn't apply here at all and comes across as a hollow cover for the failing Democratic administration.

[roxas11]

https://twitter.com/samshirazim/status/1455627337509314574?s=20

It almost sounds crazy to me that record high turnout in a D+10 state does not automatically benefit the democrats yet here we are

Early turnout experts, I see.

Wasserman is predicting 2.8M-3.1M total turnout, but 2M on Election Day seems unlikely.

I cant even take Dave Wasserman seriously at this point lol

Wow, talking about taking my comments out of context

Vaccinated Russian Bear I thought you were better that

My statement about not being able take Dave Wasserman seriously was because moments earlier he had just put of a tweet that ended being wrong and then he had to delete it.

my comment had nothing to do with turnout
it was was simply me saying that I no longer took Dave Wasserman tweets serilously at that point

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/notlarrysabato/status/1455633682853777409?s=20

[Non Swing Voter]

https://twitter.com/samshirazim/status/1455627337509314574?s=20

It almost sounds crazy to me that record high turnout in a D+10 state does not automatically benefit the democrats yet here we are

Early turnout experts, I see.

Wasserman is predicting 2.8M-3.1M total turnout, but 2M on Election Day seems unlikely.

I cant even take Dave Wasserman seriously at this point lol

Wow, talking about taking my comments of context

Vaccinated Russian Bear I thought you were better that

My statement about not being able take Dave Wasserman seriously was because moments earlier he had just put of a tweet that ended being wrong and then he had to delete it.

my comment had nothing to do with turnout
it was was simply me saying that I no longer took Dave Wasserman tweets serilously

To be fair, why did you ever?

[fluffypanther19]

Rain clearing out of NoVA just in time for the afternoon rush of TMac soccer moms.

One of the pleasures of Atlas is seeing memes connect across spans of 4 years or more.

i just realized i have been on this site for over 4 years now. wow

[Hope For A New Era]

https://twitter.com/notlarrysabato/status/1455633682853777409?s=20

Poquoson also has a population of 12,000 and is very wealthy and educated.

Not to discount the high turnout in a R area, as those votes do matter, but this seems to be more indicative of high wealthy-and-educated turnout rather than high R turnout, which definitely benefits Democrats in Virginia.

Rain clearing out of NoVA just in time for the afternoon rush of TMac soccer moms.

One of the pleasures of Atlas is seeing memes connect across spans of 4 years or more.

Never change, Atlas

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Rain clearing out of NoVA just in time for the afternoon rush of TMac soccer moms.

One of the pleasures of Atlas is seeing memes connect across spans of 4 years or more.

i just realized i have been on this site for over 4 years now. wow

You thought that was a lot? Try six and a half years...

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

I simply cannot see a scenario where the GOP wins this race unless turnout in northern VA is extremely low. Republicans have done nothing over the last year to show us they want to let go of Trump era politics.

There’s still a non-zero change NoVa sinks into the oceans

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/notlarrysabato/status/1455633682853777409?s=20

Poquoson also has a population of 12,000 and is very wealthy and educated.

Not to discount the high turnout in a R area, as those votes do matter, but this seems to be more indicative of high wealthy-and-educated turnout rather than high R turnout, which definitely benefits Democrats in Virginia.

Rain clearing out of NoVA just in time for the afternoon rush of TMac soccer moms.

One of the pleasures of Atlas is seeing memes connect across spans of 4 years or more.

Never change, Atlas

Yes, turnout only benefits Democrats

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1455635356326502405