Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration

[ProudModerate2]

PLEASE POST WEBSITE LINKS TO A GOOD VA GOVERNOR ELECTION RESULTS PAGE.

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1455623830894960648?s=20

[President Johnson]

One thing I don't understand is how red avatars can talk out both sides of their head regarding turnout levels.  First, they'll say low turnout is a good sign for them because Democrats' Virginia coalition is full of "high propensity" voters (i.e., White college-educated types.)  Then, they'll turn around in the face of probable +3M turnout and say this is also good for T-Mac?  which is it?  lol

Like, I still fully expect McAuliffe to win ~6 pts but the Atlas pundit-think is beyond silly

I'm really surprised you're expecting T-Mac winning by that much.

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/samshirazim/status/1455627337509314574?s=20

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

One thing I don't understand is how red avatars can talk out both sides of their head regarding turnout levels.  First, they'll say low turnout is a good sign for them because Democrats' Virginia coalition is full of "high propensity" voters (i.e., White college-educated types.)  Then, they'll turn around in the face of probable +3M turnout and say this is also good for T-Mac?  which is it?  lol

Like, I still fully expect McAuliffe to win ~6 pts but the Atlas pundit-think is beyond silly

I'm really surprised you're expecting T-Mac winning by that much.

I think Del Tachi is more bullish on T-Mac than NSV is at this point (in terms of predicted margin).

[LimoLiberal]

Rain clearing out of NoVA just in time for the afternoon rush of TMac soccer moms.

[Spectator]

One thing I don't understand is how red avatars can talk out both sides of their head regarding turnout levels.  First, they'll say low turnout is a good sign for them because Democrats' Virginia coalition is full of "high propensity" voters (i.e., White college-educated types.)  Then, they'll turn around in the face of probable +3M turnout and say this is also good for T-Mac?  which is it?  lol

Like, I still fully expect McAuliffe to win ~6 pts but the Atlas pundit-think is beyond silly

I'm really surprised you're expecting T-Mac winning by that much.

Because despite everyone saying they no longer trust the polls after 2020, it turns out the vast majority of people still trust polls and don't trust political history, demographics, and trends. It turns out Del Tachi is the exception to the rule.

[TarHeelDem]

One thing I don't understand is how red avatars can talk out both sides of their head regarding turnout levels.  First, they'll say low turnout is a good sign for them because Democrats' Virginia coalition is full of "high propensity" voters (i.e., White college-educated types.)  Then, they'll turn around in the face of probable +3M turnout and say this is also good for T-Mac?  which is it?  lol

Like, I still fully expect McAuliffe to win ~6 pts but the Atlas pundit-think is beyond silly

I'm really surprised you're expecting T-Mac winning by that much.

Anything from a 4.5 to 7.5 point win wouldn't surprise me, personally.

[Minnesota Mike]

https://twitter.com/RVA_Votes/status/1455626866526674951

City of Richmond. Plus another 26,000 early/absentee votes. Just under 60K total so far, was about 71K total in 2017

[roxas11]

https://twitter.com/samshirazim/status/1455627337509314574?s=20

It almost sounds crazy to me that record high turnout in a D+10 state does not automatically benefit the democrats yet here we are

[Gass3268]

We are almost ready for the afternoon freakout of turnout reports. It's about that time right?

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/local/northern-virginia/distance-learning-required-in-loudoun-county-due-to-staffing-shortages/2862914/

Students in Loudoun County, Virginia, will have distance learning this week due to staffing shortages.

Wednesday and Friday will be distance learning days, the superintendent said. Monday, Tuesday and Thursday were already planned days off for student and staff holidays.

Loudon parents were greeted with this news this morning.  Not great for Terry.

[Minnesota Mike]

PLEASE POST WEBSITE LINKS TO A GOOD VA GOVERNOR ELECTION RESULTS PAGE.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/11/02/us/elections/results-virginia.html

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1455629362741587983?s=20

[OSR stands with Israel]

Hopefully we can call Youngkin , YoungKing after tonight

Cringe

BRTD makes king jokes all the time , so why can’t I . Especially since it rhymes here 

[Hindsight was 2020]

https://twitter.com/samshirazim/status/1455627337509314574?s=20

It almost sounds crazy to me that record high turnout in a D+10 state does not automatically benefit the democrats yet here we are

It’s possible it does but the good polling # for Youngkin are just making everyone hedge their bets

[hyouzel the predictor]

https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/local/northern-virginia/distance-learning-required-in-loudoun-county-due-to-staffing-shortages/2862914/

Students in Loudoun County, Virginia, will have distance learning this week due to staffing shortages.

Wednesday and Friday will be distance learning days, the superintendent said. Monday, Tuesday and Thursday were already planned days off for student and staff holidays.

Loudon parents were greeted with this news this morning.  Not great for Terry.

Lmfao we don't have distance learning bc of staff shortages we have distance learning because we have Monday Tuesday and Thursday off and they saw no reason to send us to school two nonconsecutive days as the start of the 2nd quarter... Also parents fully knew about this like two weeks ago... also this literally has nothing to do with the election

[Non Swing Voter]

PLEASE POST WEBSITE LINKS TO A GOOD VA GOVERNOR ELECTION RESULTS PAGE.

did you get the extra large coffee today?

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Hopefully we can call Youngkin , YoungKing after tonight

Cringe

BRTD makes king jokes all the time , so why can’t I . Especially since it rhymes here 

Meme all you like. Memes are an innate part of the joy of politics.

[It’s so Joever]

https://twitter.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1455629362741587983?s=20

Uh oh

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

I simply cannot see a scenario where the GOP wins this race unless turnout in northern VA is extremely low. Republicans have done nothing over the last year to show us they want to let go of Trump era politics.

[Non Swing Voter]

Any updates from Buchanan?  Feels like it's the only county where turnout is actually down.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://twitter.com/samshirazim/status/1455627337509314574?s=20

It almost sounds crazy to me that record high turnout in a D+10 state does not automatically benefit the democrats yet here we are

Early turnout experts, I see.

Wasserman is predicting 2.8M-3.1M total turnout, but 2M on Election Day seems unlikely.

I cant even take Dave Wasserman seriously at this point lol

[Non Swing Voter]

I simply cannot see a scenario where the GOP wins this race unless turnout in northern VA is extremely low. Republicans have done nothing over the last year to show us they want to let go of Trump era politics.

Well we already know for a fact that it's not as Fairfax, the biggest prize, has already well exceeded its 2017 total turnout.  Seems likely that Arlington and Alexandria have as well.  Falls Church did hours ago.

[Horus]

Any updates from Buchanan?  Feels like it's the only county where turnout is actually down.

Not to be morbid but haven't some of the rural SW counties been hit really hard by COVID? There may just be fewer people around to vote..