NH-SEN 2022 Megathread: General Dysfunction

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/KFILE/status/1586424109034049536

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/KFILE/status/1586424109034049536

I forget, did the usual suspects on Atlas buy this one or was it too deranged even for them?

[Dani Rose]

https://twitter.com/KFILE/status/1586424109034049536

I don't know if I'm just getting too old to wrap my head around bigotry (in all of my 30s), but God help me, transphobia becomes more and more like the deranged writings of a Lovecraft character with every day that goes by. Or, well, Lovecraft himself for that matter.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

https://twitter.com/KFILE/status/1586424109034049536

I forget, did the usual suspects on Atlas buy this one or was it too deranged even for them?

Maybe not but BLM!

[ProudModerate2]

https://twitter.com/KFILE/status/1586424109034049536

And NH people want to vote for this idiot?
I just don't get it.
Uggggg.

[Woody]

Might end up as the biggest self-own of this election season. Bolduc won only by a point against Morse in the primary, which means any influence could have helped him narrowly win. Gambling away a more moderate Morse, to a right-wing election denier who now has a realistic possibility of having that seat.

...Democrats/Schumer spending millions of dollars against Morse:

In the Republican Senate primary, Senate Majority PAC, a group aligned with Senate Majority Leader Charles E. Schumer (D-N.Y.), is spending $3.2 million on ads that effectively enhance the candidacy in the GOP primary of retired Gen. Don Bolduc, by portraying his more moderate rival, state Senate President Chuck Morse, who has trailed in GOP primary polls to Bolduc, as beholden to the party establishment.

Source: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/09/12/democrats-interfere-republican-primaries/

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

If Bolduc wins, it's a Red Tsunami and nothing the Dems would have done mattered. That being said, yes, do not back candidates in the primary if you're scared of them actually winding up in power. Trump's attempt to boost Sanders was another good example of how he's unfit to serve.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Considering that there's little chance of him winning, I'd say Mastriano may be a slightly bigger own-goal.  The PA governor's race should be much closer (a là the Senate race). 

[Morning in Atlas]

Nah, Morse is a comically overrated candidate who blew the race with a late entry.

[Woody]

https://twitter.com/GenDonBolduc/status/1587509804527980544?cxt=HHwWgMC4hbPw-4cs...

[Woody]

Decent ads. Straightforward, quick and punches directly at Hassan.

https://twitter.com/GenDonBolduc/status/1585953712056700928?cxt=HHwWgMDQ1fKfuIIs...

[Duke of York]

https://twitter.com/KFILE/status/1586424109034049536

And NH people want to vote for this idiot?
I just don't get it.
Uggggg.

How can people vote for idiots like this? If New Hampshire votes for this moron they deserve him.

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

Considering that there's little chance of him winning, I'd say Mastriano may be a slightly bigger own-goal.  The PA governor's race should be much closer (a là the Senate race). 

I'd say they're roughly in the same boat, in that it would take a massive red wave and a massive polling error for either of them to win.

They're probably just ahead of Zeldin, O'Dea, and Smiley in terms of "Reach Goals" for the Republicans.

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Huh?? What is your evidence that Bolduc is more likely to win than Morse would have been?

[Woody]

Huh?? What is your evidence that Bolduc is more likely to win than Morse would have been?

Meant to say that in the likelihood that Bolduc wins, then most likely Morse would have won to.. which asks the question if Democrats should gamble it's chances for an easier victory when a extreme right-winger still has a shot at winning..

Y'know, these same candidates that Dems' always fearmonger about destroying democracy?

[President Johnson]

Don't act like some Democratic operatives nominate bad Republican candidates. Still, the voters do. And if I were a Republican, Democratic operatives wanting a certain candidate to win the primary would actually make me less inclined to support that guy.

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/lxeagle17/status/1587539518374047744

[Morning in Atlas]

https://twitter.com/KFILE/status/1586424109034049536

And NH people want to vote for this idiot?
I just don't get it.
Uggggg.

How can people vote for idiots like this? If New Hampshire votes for this moron they deserve him.

You couldn't even support the Democrat in Buffalo. You don't get a voice here.

[Figueira]

Imagine if New Hampshire and Wisconsin are the only seats that flip.

[bagelman]

Imagine if New Hampshire and Wisconsin are the only seats that flip.

Certainly would be a meme result, if also completely and utterly unacceptable due to Fetterman losing.

To be back on topic, I really don't get how Bodoc could possibly be surging considering he's essentially another Mastriano. The only explanations are that the polls showing him competing are vastly biased in favor of Republicans or we are heading for an R tsunami because of Joe Brandon's personal decision to raise gas prices.

[South Dakota Democrat]

Considering that there's little chance of him winning, I'd say Mastriano may be a slightly bigger own-goal.  The PA governor's race should be much closer (a là the Senate race). 

True, although I think part of it is that Shapiro is a good candidate as well.  He might even win against "Generic R" even in this environment.

[MillennialModerate]

Poll comes out putting Hassan DOWN a point… reminds me a lot of the Markey/Kennedy race. It just felt on the ground that the prevailing wisdom wasn’t adding up….

Had to take a ride to New Hampshire - in an area I hardly ever am around - very Democratic
area and I saw nothing but Buldoc signs. Literally 35-40 signs in a 6-7 mile stretch

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

FL is back to tossup and so is OH and NC because DeSantis is losing in a Listener poll he isn't winning by double digits

Those POLL that had DeSantis winning by double digits were Florida State University polls not one major polling firm has DeSantis up by 11 same with TX it was the University of TX that had Abbott plus 13

Emerson has Abbott 6 and CNN ABBOTT PLUS 4

[Senator Incitatus]

I still think Bolduc has run a bad campaign. He’s a good candidate on paper and could easily be saved by a wave, though.

[pantsaregood]

Poll comes out putting Hassan DOWN a point… reminds me a lot of the Markey/Kennedy race. It just felt on the ground that the prevailing wisdom wasn’t adding up….

Had to take a ride to New Hampshire - in an area I hardly ever am around - very Democratic
area and I saw nothing but Buldoc signs. Literally 35-40 signs in a 6-7 mile stretch

Let me be sure I'm getting this right.

You came to a conclusion and then looked for evidence to substantiate that conclusion?