2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[ProgressiveModerate]

Yikes Arizona feels like it’s sliding away

It is sliding away.......from Trump lol

Can you quote numbers this is based on? The latest update resulted in a 0.6% total swing. If the trend continues, Trump doesn't win by a small margin, he takes it much more comfortably.

Even if the trend slows to 0.4% swing (per 2% counted), he still takes it.

The issue is that's now how this stuff works. If we continued to get batches like this , each vote nets Trump a smaller and smaller %

[Meclazine for Israel]

GA trending very well for Biden. Heading in the right direction for a win with each successive release.

WI - Biden WINS by > 20,000 (98% counted)

MI - Biden WINS by > 100,000 (98% counted)

AZ - Biden up by 79,173 (86% counted)

Of the remaining ~464,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 192,300 of them - (41.5%)

NV - Biden up by 7,647 (86% counted)

Of the remaining ~194,200 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 93,300 of them - (48.0%)

GA - Biden down by 38,996 (95% counted)

Of the remaining ~256,700 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 147,800 of them - (57.6%)

PA - Biden down by 190,984 (88% counted)

Of the remaining ~857,500 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 525,000 of them - (61.1%)

AK - Biden down by 51,400 (56% counted)

Of the remaining ~135,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 93,200 of them - (69.0%)

[ultraviolet]

Not good at all, and the fact Atlas STILL hasn’t learned to not be an echo chamber is shocking.
After last night, I would expect at least a bit more caution.

The fact that Michigan was called for Biden I would think you a little more humble and aelf-aware, but apparently not.

The fact that Elliot county went for Trump by a greater margin might teach you a bit, but apparently not.

Lol y'all still on Kentucky? Move on

[Bootes Void]

https://twitter.com/ryanmatsumoto1/status/1324170760198344704?ref_src=twsrc%5Etf...

[Andy Hine]

Not good at all, and the fact Atlas STILL hasn’t learned to not be an echo chamber is shocking.
After last night, I would expect at least a bit more caution.

The fact that Michigan was called for Biden I would think you a little more humble and aelf-aware, but apparently not.

The fact that Elliot county went for Trump by a greater margin might teach you a bit, but apparently not.

Stop posting about Elliott County. Nobody besides weirdos on this forum care.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Also fwi Pina County has like 90k ballots left to count too

[Alben Barkley]

Not good at all, and the fact Atlas STILL hasn’t learned to not be an echo chamber is shocking.
After last night, I would expect at least a bit more caution.

The fact that Michigan was called for Biden I would think you a little more humble and aelf-aware, but apparently not.

The fact that Elliot county went for Trump by a greater margin might teach you a bit, but apparently not.

Don’t forget KY-06!

I said both of these things MIGHT flip, knowing they were uphill battles and being optimistic.

Significant difference between that and running around the forum for months acting extraordinarily smug and certain about a highly specific prediction that has already proved totally wrong.

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1324173343071809537?s=20

[Anti-Trump Truth Socialite JD Vance Enjoying Juror]

Not good at all, and the fact Atlas STILL hasn’t learned to not be an echo chamber is shocking.
After last night, I would expect at least a bit more caution.

The fact that Michigan was called for Biden I would think you a little more humble and aelf-aware, but apparently not.

The fact that Elliot county went for Trump by a greater margin might teach you a bit, but apparently not.

Did Alben Barkley sleep with your girlfriend or something? You have a problem.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Not good at all, and the fact Atlas STILL hasn’t learned to not be an echo chamber is shocking.
After last night, I would expect at least a bit more caution.

The fact that Michigan was called for Biden I would think you a little more humble and aelf-aware, but apparently not.

The fact that Elliot county went for Trump by a greater margin might teach you a bit, but apparently not.

Did Alben Barkley sleep with your girlfriend or something? You have a problem.

Can we just focus on analyzing the results. We can disagree with eachother but we don't need to actively be trying to shut eachother down

[Alben Barkley]

Not good at all, and the fact Atlas STILL hasn’t learned to not be an echo chamber is shocking.
After last night, I would expect at least a bit more caution.

The fact that Michigan was called for Biden I would think you a little more humble and aelf-aware, but apparently not.

The fact that Elliot county went for Trump by a greater margin might teach you a bit, but apparently not.

Did Alben Barkley sleep with your girlfriend or something? You have a problem.

I would have, but it’s not like he’s ever had one.

[BudgieForce]

Biden's camp said they're confident they'll win Arizona even with the tightening.

[lfromnj]

Not good at all, and the fact Atlas STILL hasn’t learned to not be an echo chamber is shocking.
After last night, I would expect at least a bit more caution.

The fact that Michigan was called for Biden I would think you a little more humble and aelf-aware, but apparently not.

The fact that Elliot county went for Trump by a greater margin might teach you a bit, but apparently not.

Don’t forget KY-06!

I said both of these things MIGHT flip, knowing they were uphill battles and being optimistic.

Significant difference between that and running around the forum for months acting extraordinarily smug and certain about a highly specific prediction that has already proved totally wrong.

"might" flip, only off by 52 points.

Biden does better than any Democrat since 08 in WV

LOL
Anyway my problem is his absolute continuing to be smug despite refusing to even eat the most basic of crows.

[NOVA Green]

Did the military vote swing D?
The margins in VA Beach, El Paso County, and Bell County are more Dem leaning than 2016.

IDK yet for 2020... but here is a thread that I created about the 2016 PRES Election and Veteran / Military Votes...

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=268535.msg5737497#msg5737497

[Rand]

[Progressive Pessimist]

Ugh, please hang in there, Arizona! I was praising you so much today!

[pppolitics]

Ugh, please hang in there, Arizona! I was praising you so much today!

At least Kelly is safe.

[BudgieForce]

Fox and AP definitely made a mistake calling this though. I think Biden will pull it out, but it's going to be by a very slim margin.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Might not get any more calls tonight tbh

As of right now, I would say

Pennsylvania: Likely Biden, should overcome Trump's lead at this rate, and he has a bit of a cushion in case there's a batch of R-friendly votes

Arizona: Lean D

GA: Lean D

NV: Lean D because of the uncertainty

NC: Lean-Likely R

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/MSNBC/status/1324176079184138240?s=20

[It’s so Joever]

Jesus Christ, you are projecting even more than Fox News.

YOU were the one who shut anyone who dared say the race wasn’t Safe D. You raved on and on about how Biden will bounce back in the rurals, and about how Trump got lucky in 2016. Just stop with this revisionism on your end.
Just shut up and accept you were wrong.
Even I have accepted my Michigan prediction was memeable.
Your turn, but you have a lot more states to account for.

[Bootes Void]

FOX/AP definetaly made a mistake. AZ will be tight

[Canis]

Anyone know how much of the vote is left in GA Perdues at 50.2% and Trump is only, 37k ahead of Biden!

[cg41386]

Jesus Christ enough with the Arizona bedwetting.

[roxas11]

The truth is AZ is gone for Trump and even trump and the GOP knows it


There is no chance that Fox news would made and you stood by that call if they though that trump had any chance at all of taking the lead from Biden

If Fox news saw numbers showing them that Trump was going to win AZ they would have quickly put that out on election night