2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[ultraviolet]

ngl I like the Biden-306 map with Georgia surrounded by a sea of Republican states. A much better look than the last time that happened in 1980!

Yeah, this will genuinely be the (IMO) most aesthetic map since Lincoln

Lol Jesusland map takes the cake by far

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

ngl I like the Biden-306 map with Georgia surrounded by a sea of Republican states. A much better look than the last time that happened in 1980!

Yeah, this will genuinely be the (IMO) most aesthetic map since Lincoln

This was Bush 04 right?

Good old United States of Canada and Jesusland.

Would've looked even nicer with a Democratic Iowa imo.

[Meclazine for Israel]

GA and PA are updating slowly.

PA is still a mathematical possibility according to CNN. I think it's going to be tough for Biden to win PA based on the numbers, but entirely possible.

WI - Biden WINS by > 20,000 (98% counted)

MI - Biden WINS by > 103,000 (98% counted)

AZ - Biden up by 92,817 (86% counted)

Of the remaining ~451,500 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 179,300 of them - (39.7%)

NV - Biden up by 7,647 (86% counted)

Of the remaining ~194,200 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 93,300 of them - (48.0%)

GA - Biden down by 45,991 (95% counted)

Of the remaining ~255,900 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 151,000 of them - (59.0%)

PA - Biden down by 195,953 (88% counted)

Of the remaining ~856,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 526,000 of them - (61.4%)

AK - Biden down by 51,400 (56% counted)

Of the remaining ~135,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 93,200 of them - (69.0%)

Biden needs to win AZ and NV to win the Presidency with 270 EC votes.

With GA heading towards Biden, he may not need NV at all.

[Negusa Nagast 🚀]

ngl I like the Biden-306 map with Georgia surrounded by a sea of Republican states. A much better look than the last time that happened in 1980!

Yeah, this will genuinely be the (IMO) most aesthetic map since Lincoln

This was Bush 04 right?

Good old United States of Canada and Jesusland.

Would've looked even nicer with a Democratic Iowa imo.

And Nevada; West Coast looks too skinny without it

[philly09]

Trump's PA margin down to 196k.

[OSR stands with Israel]

I think this may be the last time that the Democratic path to victory runs through MI/WI/PA.

From 2024, I expect it to run through NV/AZ/GA/NC

I wouldn't be so sure about Michigan and Pennsylvania. They don't seem to be voting much to the right of the nation this year. At least not any more than last time.

WI/MI/PA are still going to be completely winnable for Democrats going forward. Not only that, we need these states for their Senate seats in addition to electoral paths. It would be dumb for Democrats to look past them when... they literally just won them (minus PA at this hour)

I said "the path to victory", that is, the path to 270 EV.

I didn't say that Democrats are not going to try to win them, but that they won't be needed for 270 EV.

The more options the better.


Dems really need to try to get TX to vote to the left of the nation, or at least even with the nation, since that would do a great deal of harm to the Rs edge in the EC

If Biden wins by 4ish that means Texas will have still voted 10 points to the right of the nation which doesn't mark much of a trend from 2016 and now they have the White House where trends favoring you tend to slow down(Look at Virginia from 2008 to 2015)

[libertpaulian]

So, with Trump's gains among Latinos and Asians, along with a tiny dent among Black men...if the GOP wants to be viable going forward, they need to take a page out of the Ford Nation playbook.

[Inmate Trump]

GA and PA are updating slowly.

PA is still a mathematical possibility according to CNN. I think it's going to be tough for Biden to win PA based on the numbers, but entirely possible.

WI - Biden WINS by > 20,000 (98% counted)

MI - Biden WINS by > 103,000 (98% counted)

AZ - Biden up by 92,817 (86% counted)

Of the remaining ~451,500 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 179,300 of them - (39.7%)

NV - Biden up by 7,647 (86% counted)

Of the remaining ~194,200 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 93,300 of them - (48.0%)

GA - Biden down by 45,991 (95% counted)

Of the remaining ~255,900 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 151,000 of them - (59.0%)

PA - Biden down by 200,360 (86% counted)

Of the remaining ~854,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 527,500 of them - (61.7%)

AK - Biden down by 51,400 (56% counted)

Of the remaining ~135,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 93,200 of them - (69.0%)

Biden needs to win AZ and NV to win the Presidency with 270 EC votes.

With GA heading towards Biden, he may not need NV at all.

Yikes, so at this point you don't see PA going to Biden?

[OBD]

WOW - Kent County flipped!

Biden up 2 in Michigan

[Xing]

I think this may be the last time that the Democratic path to victory runs through MI/WI/PA.

From 2024, I expect it to run through NV/AZ/GA/NC

I wouldn't be so sure about Michigan and Pennsylvania. They don't seem to be voting much to the right of the nation this year. At least not any more than last time.

WI/MI/PA are still going to be completely winnable for Democrats going forward. Not only that, we need these states for their Senate seats in addition to electoral paths. It would be dumb for Democrats to look past them when... they literally just won them (minus PA at this hour)

Yeah, even if MI/PA/WI aren't tipping point states going forward, Democrats absolutely cannot give up on these states if they want hope of winning the Senate and getting more than a bare bones majority.

[Horus]

So is PA gonna go to Biden or not? I feel like he's not making up enough ground.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

So is PA gonna go to Biden or not? I feel like he's not making up enough ground.

Good lord. Have patience.

[Rand]

CNN saying that Trump's team is anxious about GA right now, and that "they did not see this coming".

Dread it. Run from it. Destiny arrives all the same.

“I am...inevitable.” - President Joe Biden

[Hindsight was 2020]

CNN saying that Trump's team is anxious about GA right now, and that "they did not see this coming".

Dread it. Run from it. Destiny arrives all the same.

New sig!

[Negusa Nagast 🚀]

GA and PA are updating slowly.

PA is still a mathematical possibility according to CNN. I think it's going to be tough for Biden to win PA based on the numbers, but entirely possible.

WI - Biden WINS by > 20,000 (98% counted)

MI - Biden WINS by > 103,000 (98% counted)

AZ - Biden up by 92,817 (86% counted)

Of the remaining ~451,500 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 179,300 of them - (39.7%)

NV - Biden up by 7,647 (86% counted)

Of the remaining ~194,200 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 93,300 of them - (48.0%)

GA - Biden down by 45,991 (95% counted)

Of the remaining ~255,900 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 151,000 of them - (59.0%)

PA - Biden down by 200,360 (86% counted)

Of the remaining ~854,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 527,500 of them - (61.7%)

AK - Biden down by 51,400 (56% counted)

Of the remaining ~135,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 93,200 of them - (69.0%)

Biden needs to win AZ and NV to win the Presidency with 270 EC votes.

With GA heading towards Biden, he may not need NV at all.

Yikes, so at this point you don't see PA going to Biden?

Biden is winning these mail-ins by 70-80%

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Does it seem a big problem that the remaining states are taking so long to count?  I feel like the longer it drags out the more chance of Trump trying something stupid/inciting violence.

It’s been less than a day, under very unusual voting circumstances.
Two years ago, it took three weeks for California to finish counting all their congressional votes.  Now that’s too long!

[Pulaski]

So is PA gonna go to Biden or not? I feel like he's not making up enough ground.

Right now it seems like he's winning remaining votes at juuuuust the required ratio, but could go either way tbh.

[Inmate Trump]

So is PA gonna go to Biden or not? I feel like he's not making up enough ground.

Good lord. Have patience.

You expect people on a political forum directly after a big election on a thread with over 300 pages in about 24 hours to be patient?

[The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow]

So is PA gonna go to Biden or not? I feel like he's not making up enough ground.

He should net well over 100k from Philadelphia alone.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1324160790568513539?s=20

[HisGrace]

ngl I like the Biden-306 map with Georgia surrounded by a sea of Republican states. A much better look than the last time that happened in 1980!

Yeah, this will genuinely be the (IMO) most aesthetic map since Lincoln

When I was a kid during the Bush elections I thought all past elections had to have super cohesive voting blocks like that and was surprised when I looked back.

[ultraviolet]

Ok Jesusland was nice but...

[ProgressiveModerate]

Ok Jesusland was nice but:

I can't bear NM, AZ, and OK. Also, I hate that little arm of WV that sneaks into the blue south, and also Maryland's sharp corner against a very curvy divide

[Inmate Trump]

Georgia...

Trump: 49.9
Biden: 49.0


I want to believe...I want to believe...

[GeorgiaModerate]

Meclazine's analysis is too pessimistic for Biden in PA.  He's on track to win it comfortably at this point.