2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[wbrocks67]

Is Nassau, NY really going Trump? Ngl that came out of nowhere.

New York still has a lot to count.

[BudgieForce]

Possible complications in GA:

https://twitter.com/GilForGeorgia/status/1324018963999821824?s=20

Are these included in the "outstanding vote to count" stats or are they in addition to it?  The former and Trump wins, the latter and Biden is almost a sure thing.  

I think your signature goes on the outside of the envelope, so I think those ballots would have been rejected before getting sorted and prepped for counting.

[Roll Roons]

Is Nassau, NY really going Trump? Ngl that came out of nowhere.

Probably not, since I think there'll be a significant blue shift in NY. Though I think Republicans will hold NY-02.

[HisGrace]

Part of me makes me think Biden wins Az, that's why AP or Fox havent retracted their call

Yeah, if Fox called AZ for Biden he's going to win. I'm more worried about Nevada.

[wbrocks67]

Sprinkling of random vote in from PA. Trump lead now to just over 400K (was 460K just about an hour ago)

[Skill and Chance]

There's more in Fulton too. NYT doesn't have the right numbers. Still about 190K ballots out given last update was about 10K.

Trump's lead just fell to 79K in Georgia.

If there really is more than 10% left in DeKalb, Clayton, Bibb, Chatham, Dougherty, and Muscogee, Biden should take the lead.

Hmmm... 2/3rds of that should be very doable for Biden.  GA is important to the narrative because Republicans control all of the offices that set and enforce the election rules, so if Biden wins there, the Dem rigging narrative collapses.

[SunSt0rm]

So if Fox News calls Michigan for Biden, they have to declare him the winner of the presidency, right?  Before every other network!  I wish I knew when the next big MI vote dump was coming so I could tune in for that moment.

They havent called Nevada, so Biden will be short of 270 with Michigan

[wbrocks67]

Possible complications in GA:

https://twitter.com/GilForGeorgia/status/1324018963999821824?s=20

Are these included in the "outstanding vote to count" stats or are they in addition to it?  The former and Trump wins, the latter and Biden is almost a sure thing.  

I think your signature goes on the outside of the envelope, so I think those ballots would have been rejected before getting sorted and prepped for counting.

If that's the case, that would be very good for Biden.

[Ferguson97]

I'm guessing Michigan has Joe Biden/John James victories.

Nevada will come down to the wire but Biden should win.

Arizona is a tossup, no clue what's going on there.

Gut says Trump narrowly hangs on in Georgia.

If Arizona isn't a sure thing, we need Pennsylvania.

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/Cernovich/status/1324078514182610946?s=19

[forsythvoter]

They would have been rejected ballots so not included in ballots to be counted which is where the 200K figure represented.

Possible complications in GA:

https://twitter.com/GilForGeorgia/status/1324018963999821824?s=20

Are these included in the "outstanding vote to count" stats or are they in addition to it?  The former and Trump wins, the latter and Biden is almost a sure thing.  

I think your signature goes on the outside of the envelope, so I think those ballots would have been rejected before getting sorted and prepped for counting.

[GrandWoker]

James back in front in MI

Such kind of person doesn't deserve to be in the Senate. He's worser than Tim Scott.

Pray for Peters!

[GP270watch]

Possible complications in GA:

https://twitter.com/GilForGeorgia/status/1324018963999821824?s=20

Are these included in the "outstanding vote to count" stats or are they in addition to it?  The former and Trump wins, the latter and Biden is almost a sure thing.  

 Also why are these people not contacted by the elections office? Why would voters assume that their ballot is invalid. This is so undemocratic, everybody who casted a vote should be met with the same effort to count their vote.

[charcuterie]

They would have been rejected ballots so not included in ballots to be counted which is where the 200K figure represented.

Possible complications in GA:

https://twitter.com/GilForGeorgia/status/1324018963999821824?s=20

Are these included in the "outstanding vote to count" stats or are they in addition to it?  The former and Trump wins, the latter and Biden is almost a sure thing.  

I think your signature goes on the outside of the envelope, so I think those ballots would have been rejected before getting sorted and prepped for counting.

That's some pretty good news out of GA then, hopefully people realize that they have to go and fix their ballots.

[Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook]

I'm guessing Michigan has Joe Biden/John James victories.

Nevada will come down to the wire but Biden should win.

Arizona is a tossup, no clue what's going on there.

Gut says Trump narrowly hangs on in Georgia.

If Arizona isn't a sure thing, we need Pennsylvania.

As for NC?

[rhg2052]

https://twitter.com/Cernovich/status/1324078514182610946?s=19

Lmao don't ever trust Mike Cernovich

[Scottholes 2.0]

My biggest concern right now is PA.

[Skill and Chance]

I'm guessing Michigan has Joe Biden/John James victories.

Nevada will come down to the wire but Biden should win.

Arizona is a tossup, no clue what's going on there.

Gut says Trump narrowly hangs on in Georgia.

If Arizona isn't a sure thing, we need Pennsylvania.

Pennsylvania is looking substantially better for Biden after the latest non-Philly/Pittsburgh mail ballot update. 

Increasingly think Trump is going to take AZ and NV, so Biden really needs PA. 

GA is a lot better for Biden than it looks.  Think of Fairfax reporting last in all the close 2010's VA elections.

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

James back in front in MI

Such kind of person doesn't deserve to be in the Senate. He's worser than Tim Scott.

Pray for Peters!

Are you a sock

[soundchaser]

I think it’s very clear that after this election, no one is going to trust VBM and early vote again. Wouldn’t be surprised if those drop dramatically in 2022.

[wbrocks67]

Wow. 20K new batch from Bucks County and it is 78% Biden, 22% Trump.

Before: Bucks (300k): Trump 53.2%, Biden 45.5% (Trump +7.7)
After: Bucks (320k): Trump 51.2%, Biden 47.5% (Trump +3.7)

Nearly 60K mail ins still to be counted in Bucks.
https://twitter.com/GeorgeSolis/status/1324011661200601088

[brucejoel99]

I think it’s very clear that after this election, no one is going to trust VBM and early vote again. Wouldn’t be surprised if those drop dramatically in 2022.

I mean, I would've expected that anyway given that the pandemic will more-than-likely be behind us by Nov. 2022.

[forsythvoter]

I'm pretty confident PA will end up going Biden by 2% or so.

Wow. 20K new batch from Bucks County and it is 78% Biden, 22% Trump.

Before: Bucks (300k): Trump 53.2%, Biden 45.5% (Trump +7.7)
After: Bucks (320k): Trump 51.2%, Biden 47.5% (Trump +3.7)

Nearly 60K mail ins still to be counted in Bucks.
https://twitter.com/GeorgeSolis/status/1324011661200601088

[wbrocks67]

I'm guessing Michigan has Joe Biden/John James victories.

Nevada will come down to the wire but Biden should win.

Arizona is a tossup, no clue what's going on there.

Gut says Trump narrowly hangs on in Georgia.

If Arizona isn't a sure thing, we need Pennsylvania.

How many times does it need to be said that the large majority of MI vote out is very blue

[GALeftist]

Biggest concern by far rn is Gary Peters.