2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[RI]

Trump is doing well in the NV rurals so far.

[BudgieForce]

I know Michigan and Wisconsin were going to be slow, but it feels like neither of them have updated close to an hour.

[GoTfan]

Doomers are pretty right so far.

You're pretty annoying so far.

This is the problem with Biden sycophants. Every time someone's proven right about their God-Emperor's deficiences, they're ignored and told to shut up.

Don’t see Biden losing this race with AZ called and MI/WI looking good. Or do I miss something?

Trump leads significantly in Pennsylvania and Michigan and with a smaller lead in Wisconsin.

Also Iowa looks confirmed for Trump, as does NC and Iowa.

How do you come to the conclusion that MI and WI look good?

Is it because they haven't counted mail in votes yet?

YES!! For the love of god has no one been paying attention to the past 5 months and how much mail ballots were going to be a difference maker this year

If you're relying on that to save Wisconsin, you've already lost.

[Yoda]

Don’t see Biden losing this race with AZ called and MI/WI looking good. Or do I miss something?

Trump leads significantly in Pennsylvania and Michigan and with a smaller lead in Wisconsin.

Also Iowa looks confirmed for Trump, as does NC and Iowa.

How do you come to the conclusion that MI and WI look good?

Is it because they haven't counted mail in votes yet?

You do realize that trump was expected to lead PA on election night by as much as 16 while still being expected to lose after all the absentees are counted, right?

[forsythvoter]

The WOW swings are offsetting a lot of the rural swing right now. We'll see if that holds.

Maybe I'm going crazy but everything I'm seeing suggests Wisconsin polling was nonsense. If it was accurate Trump should be down significantly in rural Wisconsin but his margin is up 4% from 2016 in Juneau (74% reporting) and both his total vote and margin are up in Clark (98% reporting).

Most concerningly of all for Dems is Lafayette in Southwestern Wisconsin, a key area for Dems, where Trump has improved from 52% to 56% (!!!) with 100% reporting. For reference, Tammy Baldwin won Lafayette with 55% and she only won the election with 55% of the vote so if I were Biden I'd be extremely concerned.

This Wisconsin map does not look like a Democrat victory in the slightest. Maybe mail in votes will come to Biden's rescue but it's going to be extremely close.

[Storr]

Where I think we are in the morning.

John King just mentioned this map (with PA still unknown since it's expected counting there will take until at least tomorrow).

[Catalyst138]

Arizona is the real MVP of the election. Even with all the disappointments we can take solace that AZ is comfortably in the Democratic column. One of the states where #trends are very real.

[Splash]

Michigan (counties where 98%+ of expected vote has been reported):

Keweenaw - 55-43 Trump (57-37 Trump in 2016)

Luce - 70-28 Trump (68-26 in 2016)

Otsego - 66-32 Trump (66-28 in 2016)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Where I think we are in the morning.

Biden is only  losing MI, James is leading Peter's

[Rep Jessica]

https://twitter.com/WHO13news/status/1323848488858378242?s=19

What did I tell y'all? Selzer knows Iowa. Trends are usually real.

Large parts of this country are rejecting sjw culture politics! Maybe the democrats should stop pointing fingers and start focusing on fdr style economic policies? You know Trump took Bernies trade ideas and won big. Wake up.

[Alben Barkley]

Don’t see Biden losing this race with AZ called and MI/WI looking good. Or do I miss something?

Trump leads significantly in Pennsylvania and Michigan and with a smaller lead in Wisconsin.

Also Iowa looks confirmed for Trump, as does NC and Iowa.

How do you come to the conclusion that MI and WI look good?

Is it because they haven't counted mail in votes yet?

You do realize that trump was expected to lead PA on election night by as much as 16 while still being expected to lose after all the absentees are counted, right?

Seems everyone forgot that even though it was beaten into their heads a million times in the past few weeks.

[emailking]

Biden's lead in NE-01 is now less than 1% and his lead in NE-02 is now over 10% but no idea how much of the vote is actually in.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Whew, been up since 4:00am so I'm hopping off for the night!

Take care, y'all! Make sure you guys get some sleep.  Please take care of yourselves.  

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

WHY WONT ANYONE give a fair assessment of where the blue wall states stand

unbiased: no one knows

And no good answer will be available for days.

[Never Made it to Graceland]

AOC calls out Biden and Democratic Party over failure to win Latinx vote:

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-election-2020/aoc-twitter-biden-election-results-latino-voters-b1578094.html?utm_content=Echobox&utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Facebook#Echobox=1604465253

lol AOC.
You aren't electable on nationwide level, why are you trying to preach?

Our wing had the keys to win the Hispanic vote pretty much everywhere outside of Florida.

Not really. If your wing got the keys, then the soft Latino vote probably would have been spooked even more and we'd be even farther off from winning FL.

He literally said except Florida. Even if Mr. Electable pulls it out narrowly the Senate is f***ed. "NeverBernie" trolls have no room to assert themselves tonight.

Counterpoint: automatically conceding FL is a bad idea.

And that would be different from now how?

[Kuumo]

Arizona is the real MVP of the election. Even with all the disappointments we can take solace that AZ is comfortably in the Democratic column. One of the states where #trends are very real.

Arizona is so much better than Florida.

[tjstarling]

AOC calls out Biden and Democratic Party over failure to win Latinx vote:

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-election-2020/aoc-twitter-biden-election-results-latino-voters-b1578094.html?utm_content=Echobox&utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Facebook#Echobox=1604465253

lol AOC.
You aren't electable on nationwide level, why are you trying to preach?

Our wing had the keys to win the Hispanic vote pretty much everywhere outside of Florida.

Not really. If your wing got the keys, then the soft Latino vote probably would have been spooked even more and we'd be even farther off from winning FL.

He literally said except Florida. Even if Mr. Electable pulls it out narrowly the Senate is f***ed. "NeverBernie" trolls have no room to assert themselves tonight.

Look at how the rest of the party’s candidates are doing. This isn’t “Mr. Electable’s” problem.  Why is the dog so difficult for people to see but this has very little to do with ideology or electability?

[Vespucci]

Needle just swung HARD to Biden in GA.

[SunSt0rm]

Dont know what happened in Georgia, but needle has gone to Biden now, but only slightly

[MasterJedi]

Milwaukee votes won’t be in until around 5am.

[I Will Not Be Wrong]

Where are you all looking at results?

[GoTfan]

If james is leading in Michigan, then Biden likely loses the state.

[Meclazine for Israel]

Don’t see Biden losing this race with AZ called and MI/WI looking good. Or do I miss something?

Trump leads significantly in Pennsylvania and Michigan and with a smaller lead in Wisconsin.

Also Iowa looks confirmed for Trump, as does NC and Iowa.

How do you come to the conclusion that MI and WI look good?

Is it because they haven't counted mail in votes yet?

You do realize that trump was expected to lead PA on election night by as much as 16 while still being expected to lose after all the absentees are counted, right?

Lets say you are correct 100%.

How long are we waiting to get these votes counted?
MI, PA and WI is where it matters.

[Pulaski]

Supposedly they haven't even begun counting mail-ins in Wisconsin.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

AOC calls out Biden and Democratic Party over failure to win Latinx vote:

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-election-2020/aoc-twitter-biden-election-results-latino-voters-b1578094.html?utm_content=Echobox&utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Facebook#Echobox=1604465253

lol AOC.
You aren't electable on nationwide level, why are you trying to preach?

Our wing had the keys to win the Hispanic vote pretty much everywhere outside of Florida.

Not really. If your wing got the keys, then the soft Latino vote probably would have been spooked even more and we'd be even farther off from winning FL.

He literally said except Florida. Even if Mr. Electable pulls it out narrowly the Senate is f***ed. "NeverBernie" trolls have no room to assert themselves tonight.

Look at how the rest of the party’s candidates are doing. This isn’t “Mr. Electable’s” problem.  Why is the dog so difficult for people to see but this has very little to do with ideology or electability?

It is Biden's problem more than any House candidate's because split-ticket voting is rather rare and the presidential race tends to drive turnout and define the dynamics of the downballot.