2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Models were so wrong

[Kuumo]

Someone answer me, will Susan Collins win?

I really hope not, but I'm not confident.

Same. Hopefully it tightens enough that RCV saves Gideon's butt.

[Hindsight was 2020]

It seems some of the Democrats on this board have already gotten to the bargaining stage

???Things are looking good for Biden

[Alben Barkley]

Looks like the polls are likely gonna be off by significantly more than 2016, but since Biden will probably win anyway people won't recognize that as much as they should.

[GoTfan]

Doomers are pretty right so far.

[Kuumo]

https://twitter.com/WHO13news/status/1323848488858378242?s=19

What did I tell y'all? Selzer knows Iowa. Trends are usually real.

[tjstarling]

AOC calls out Biden and Democratic Party over failure to win Latinx vote:

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-election-2020/aoc-twitter-biden-election-results-latino-voters-b1578094.html?utm_content=Echobox&utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Facebook#Echobox=1604465253

Let’s see her do better

[GALeftist]

Very much over these electability candidates.

[Alben Barkley]

Seems like MOST of the most smug doomers from earlier have gotten awfully quiet, as have the people who were certain that "trends" would make it more likely Biden would win Southern states than the rust belt.

Hmm...

I’m right here

That's why I said "MOST."

[Calthrina950]

It seems some of the Democrats on this board have already gotten to the bargaining stage

It's clear to me that if Biden loses this, Democrats are going to go hard to the left and nominate a truly progressive nominee of the Sanders mold in 2024. I'm now starting to think Sanders, had he been the nominee, might be doing better, because he had real appeal with younger and Hispanic voters.

[Bootes Void]

Hows Michigan looking?

[RI]

Montgomery County, PA may vote to the left of Philadelphia...

[redjohn]

Feeling much more bullish on Biden than I did a bit ago. We need WI+MI/PA to come through.

[Pick Up the Phone]

Don’t see Biden losing this race with AZ called and MI/WI looking good. Or do I miss something?

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Oregon decriminalizes all drugs

https://www.vox.com/2020/11/3/21514828/oregon-drug-decriminalization-measure-110-results?

[Bojack Horseman]

Hows Michigan looking?

Not going to know until the absentees come in.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Trump really is underperforming Kemp. This is going to be close.

[Stockdale for Veep]

Tonight proves that Georgia needs to be 1st in the Dem primary calendar.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

State-level polling errors are totally understandable but what is up with national surveys? It's still early but they look to have seriously missed the mark. They didn't really do that in 2016.

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

AOC calls out Biden and Democratic Party over failure to win Latinx vote:

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-election-2020/aoc-twitter-biden-election-results-latino-voters-b1578094.html?utm_content=Echobox&utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Facebook#Echobox=1604465253

Let’s see her do better

I mean... she’s right. Appealing to moderate Republicans wasn’t the path to victory this year. If we win, it’s because Democrats that didn’t show up in 2016 came back in MI/WI/PA this year.

[Never Made it to Graceland]

Seems like MOST of the most smug doomers from earlier have gotten awfully quiet, as have the people who were certain that "trends" would make it more likely Biden would win Southern states than the rust belt.

Hmm...

Any smug doomer would have lots of reasons to gloat since it appears fairly likely that Mr. Electable will be working with a Republican Senate.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

AOC calls out Biden and Democratic Party over failure to win Latinx vote:

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-election-2020/aoc-twitter-biden-election-results-latino-voters-b1578094.html?utm_content=Echobox&utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Facebook#Echobox=1604465253

lol AOC.
You aren't electable on nationwide level, why are you trying to preach?

[Vespucci]

MSNBC calls Ohio - Trump

[BigSerg]

Trump +5
https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1323851838609907712?s=20

[tjstarling]

It seems some of the Democrats on this board have already gotten to the bargaining stage

It's clear to me that if Biden loses this, Democrats are going to go hard to the left and nominate a truly progressive nominee of the Sanders mold in 2024. I'm now starting to think Sanders, had he been the nominee, might be doing better, because he had real appeal with younger and Hispanic voters.

Who he couldn’t turn out in a primary. This is a high engagement election which was supposed to be advantage democrats. Clearly that wasn’t the case.