2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[R.P. McM]

Someone answer me, will Susan Collins win?

Pretty likely, she’s winning by 15 points even as Biden leads by 5 points. Looks like her moderate bona fides still exist somehow.

Then WTF is up with your signature picture? Here's the actual reality:

I think Biden will probably still win, but given the Senate picture, I want to give a shoutout to one of the stupidest, most selfish people to have ever held a SC seat:



I'm sure it must be difficult for a wealthy, white, heterosexual woman of non-reproductive age to put the interests of tens of millions above her own, but here is your legacy, clown:

[MillennialModerate]

Trump really is underperforming Kemp. This is going to be close.

Okay I quit

[MasterJedi]

Biden doing slightly better in WOW, Trump better in rural areas. Milwaukee votes won’t be counted until 5am and might be slightly soft so will be close either way.

[charcuterie]

Hows Michigan looking?

Most of Michigan's vote in so far is in-person election day votes. I expect it to tighten/flip as absentee ballots come in.

[Meclazine for Israel]

If the problem with Pittsburgh gets resolved with Biden taking PA, Biden still needs WI which is slowly slipping away.

Only late counting of mail-in ballots can save Biden at this point in those two states.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If Gideon loses this would be the biggest blunders of recruiting failures by Ds

[CrimsonCommander688]

I'm going to assume if Biden wins, it's just going to be more gridlock since the GOP is going to keep the Senate most likely?

[free my dawg]

AOC calls out Biden and Democratic Party over failure to win Latinx vote:

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-election-2020/aoc-twitter-biden-election-results-latino-voters-b1578094.html?utm_content=Echobox&utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Facebook#Echobox=1604465253

lol AOC.
You aren't electable on nationwide level, why are you trying to preach?

Our wing had the keys to win the Hispanic vote pretty much everywhere outside of Florida.

[GALeftist]

One pattern I've noticed: in 2016, Sanders had surprising strength with WWC in rust belt, and sure enough, Hillary bled votes with those voters. In 2020, Sanders had surprising strength with Hispanics, and sure enough, Joe bled votes with Hispanics.

[forza nocta]

how in the hell is Collins winning by so much

[politics_king]

Oregon decriminalizes all drugs

https://www.vox.com/2020/11/3/21514828/oregon-drug-decriminalization-measure-110-results?

Slowly but surely the War on Drugs will be over.

[GoTfan]

Numbers are pretty good for Trump in Wisconsin right now.

[Catalyst138]

Trump really is underperforming Kemp. This is going to be close.

Okay I quit

Good.

puts on sunglasses

[Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook]

It's midnight and no winner is called.

NBC finally gave Ohio to Trump, so it's 192-132. I don't  know why they are so cautious.

[Calthrina950]

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1323851126123483138

I predicted the other day that Trump and Cornyn would win together, or they would lose together. It turns out that I was correct. Once Cornyn was projected as the winner so early, and once I saw that Biden was matching, but not exceeding, Beto O'Rourke's totals, I knew that Trump was going to win Texas.

[tjstarling]

One pattern I've noticed: in 2016, Sanders had surprising strength with WWC in rust belt, and sure enough, Hillary bled votes with those voters. In 2020, Sanders had surprising strength with Hispanics, and sure enough, Joe bled votes with Hispanics.

This makes no sense

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Oregon decriminalizes all drugs

https://www.vox.com/2020/11/3/21514828/oregon-drug-decriminalization-measure-110-results?

Not too strange, coming from Oregon.

[super6646]

New Mexico voting to the right of Arizona rn...

Wtf?

[forsythvoter]

Biden just needs 2 of MI, PA and WI at this point, assuming he carries NV.

If the problem with Pittsburgh gets resolved with Biden taking PA, Biden still needs WI which is slowly slipping away.

Only late counting of mail-in ballots can save Biden at this point in those two states.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Disappointed in Oconee results. A pretty good but small swing for Biden in wealthy retirement communities like Greene County and Glynn county.

[Alben Barkley]

One pattern I've noticed: in 2016, Sanders had surprising strength with WWC in rust belt, and sure enough, Hillary bled votes with those voters. In 2020, Sanders had surprising strength with Hispanics, and sure enough, Joe bled votes with Hispanics.

So you're suggesting Bernie-or-Bust voters are to blame for 2016 going to Trump and 2020 being closer than expected?

[South Dakota Democrat]

Doomers are pretty right so far.

You're pretty annoying so far.

[lfromnj]

New Mexico voting to the right of Arizona rn...

Wtf?

Arizona whites are much more liberal than NM whites lol.

And Arizona whites are almost all suburban.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

GOLD STANDARD SELZER.

https://twitter.com/WHO13news/status/1323851549681082370?s=19

[Hindsight was 2020]

Don’t see Biden losing this race with AZ called and MI/WI looking good. Or do I miss something?

Trump leads significantly in Pennsylvania and Michigan and with a smaller lead in Wisconsin.

Also Iowa looks confirmed for Trump, as does NC and Iowa.

How do you come to the conclusion that MI and WI look good?

Is it because they haven't counted mail in votes yet?

YES!! For the love of god has no one been paying attention to the past 5 months and how much mail ballots were going to be a difference maker this year