2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 617429 times)
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Harry
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« Reply #350 on: November 03, 2020, 12:33:45 PM »
Quote from: Dr. RI, Trustbuster on November 03, 2020, 12:21:53 PM
Quote from: 2,868,686 on November 03, 2020, 12:20:59 PM
Quote from: Flabuckeye on November 03, 2020, 12:11:05 PM
View of Florida at start of day:

Dem  3,548,112 or 66.6% turnout   +115,416
Rep   3,432,696 or 66.4% turrout    

At 11am (without Sarasota, Miami-Dade, Seminole)

Dem 3,705,868  or 69.9%       -57,563
Rep   3,763,431  or 72.8%

Strong Rep push this morn

That margin is a likely Biden win, right, given the Indy split and crossovers? How much do Rs need to be ahead to feel good?

R's probably need somewhere in the +300k to +400k range to feel good.

Hope you're right.

Tick tock, Trump. Your presidency is slipping away!
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ExSky
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« Reply #351 on: November 03, 2020, 12:34:30 PM »


Whew boy the GOP turnout is starting to fade hard.
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swf541
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« Reply #352 on: November 03, 2020, 12:36:26 PM »
Quote from: ExSky on November 03, 2020, 12:34:30 PM


Whew boy the GOP turnout is starting to fade hard.

And still no Miami and others still dunno how accurate this will be without them

But yep, def signs the normal turnout patterns on election day are holding so far
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #353 on: November 03, 2020, 12:36:46 PM »
You would think Marc Caputo would put in his tweet the total turnout in EV in 2016 when Dems were up 1.4%. It's not an apples to apples comparison. These people, man.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #354 on: November 03, 2020, 12:36:49 PM »
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
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« Reply #355 on: November 03, 2020, 12:36:51 PM »
Quote from: Make PA Blue Again! on November 03, 2020, 12:30:29 PM
Quote from: Holmes on November 03, 2020, 12:27:13 PM
Quote from: Make PA Blue Again! on November 03, 2020, 12:23:14 PM
Per CNN, southeastern PA is looking really bad for Trump while the southwest is on par with 2016.

Well I’m sure Alleghany is looking like a disaster for Trump.

They said Pittsburgh area, which is more than just Allegheny. I have no doubt that Biden will improve over Hillary in Allegheny.

I'm very curious what the margin in Westmoreland ends up looking like. Obviously no way Biden wins there, but I do think he could get over 40% of the vote on a good night.
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Hammy
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« Reply #356 on: November 03, 2020, 12:37:01 PM »
How do the Florida numbers compare with how things were going in 2016?
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Splash
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« Reply #357 on: November 03, 2020, 12:37:12 PM »
I just. I just can't with this dude.


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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #358 on: November 03, 2020, 12:38:20 PM »

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Splash
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« Reply #359 on: November 03, 2020, 12:38:31 PM »
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Illini Moderate
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« Reply #360 on: November 03, 2020, 12:38:36 PM »
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Bojack Horseman
Wolverine22
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« Reply #361 on: November 03, 2020, 12:38:55 PM »
Quote from: Splash on November 03, 2020, 12:37:12 PM
I just. I just can't with this dude.




I’m overwhelmed by the irony.
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Gren
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« Reply #362 on: November 03, 2020, 12:39:09 PM »
Quote from: ExSky on November 03, 2020, 12:34:30 PM


Whew boy the GOP turnout is starting to fade hard.

You seem optimistic about Biden's chances in FL. Can you please elaborate?
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #363 on: November 03, 2020, 12:39:24 PM »
Quote from: Splash on November 03, 2020, 12:37:12 PM
I just. I just can't with this dude.




Literally the only person who I want to be hearing from today less than Comey is Anthony Weiner.
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redjohn
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« Reply #364 on: November 03, 2020, 12:39:40 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on November 03, 2020, 12:36:46 PM
You would think Marc Caputo would put in his tweet the total turnout in EV in 2016 when Dems were up 1.4%. It's not an apples to apples comparison. These people, man.

Literally nothing these people are saying now will matter in about six hours.
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Holmes
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« Reply #365 on: November 03, 2020, 12:41:22 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on November 03, 2020, 12:38:20 PM



Teaaaa
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Bootes Void
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« Reply #366 on: November 03, 2020, 12:41:28 PM »
Quote from: Splash on November 03, 2020, 12:38:31 PM

This doesn't seem good does it ?
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Panda Express
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« Reply #367 on: November 03, 2020, 12:41:36 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on November 03, 2020, 12:36:49 PM


That's great news. We'll have the majority of Georgia tonight. So far it seems most of these states have been prepared
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ExSky
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« Reply #368 on: November 03, 2020, 12:41:40 PM »
Quote from: Illini Moderate on November 03, 2020, 12:38:36 PM
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swf541
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« Reply #369 on: November 03, 2020, 12:42:04 PM »
Quote from: Gren on November 03, 2020, 12:39:09 PM
Quote from: ExSky on November 03, 2020, 12:34:30 PM


Whew boy the GOP turnout is starting to fade hard.

You seem optimistic about Biden's chances in FL. Can you please elaborate?

Im not as optimistic as him but I feel good about it atm

Basically the GOP needs supposedly about 400k raw vote lead to win comfortably, their main push is typicially in the morning and they are still at only a tad over 100k margin.

And on top this number has no Miami-Dade turnout which according to the Miami Herald is beating expectations.
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ExSky
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« Reply #370 on: November 03, 2020, 12:42:33 PM »
Quote from: Bootes Void on November 03, 2020, 12:41:28 PM
Quote from: Splash on November 03, 2020, 12:38:31 PM

This doesn't seem good does it ?

Far ahead of Sinemas benchmark. Relax.
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Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!
ModernBourbon Democrat
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« Reply #371 on: November 03, 2020, 12:43:19 PM »
The biggest obvious takeaway here is that old people vote super early whereas the middle aged and young vote after getting off work. In Florida, where the Republican base is old, this translates into a big early E-day lead whereas in the Midwest, where the Republican base is middle aged this translates into a sluggish start.

I still think Trump has the advantage in Florida and the disadvantage in Pennsylvania but some people are reading too much into this. I'll start caring about the turnout figures again in 5 hours.
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
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« Reply #372 on: November 03, 2020, 12:43:24 PM »


Reaganite Texas will stay Republican
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Splash
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« Reply #373 on: November 03, 2020, 12:43:37 PM »

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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #374 on: November 03, 2020, 12:43:44 PM »
Quote from: ExSky on November 03, 2020, 12:42:33 PM
Quote from: Bootes Void on November 03, 2020, 12:41:28 PM
Quote from: Splash on November 03, 2020, 12:38:31 PM

This doesn't seem good does it ?

Far ahead of Sinemas benchmark. Relax.
Alrighty then
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