2016 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls **live commentary thread**
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  2016 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls **live commentary thread**
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Author Topic: 2016 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls **live commentary thread**  (Read 23828 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: November 08, 2016, 04:25:18 PM »

Poll closing times are listed here:

https://ballotpedia.org/State_Poll_Opening_and_Closing_Times_(2016)
http://www.thegreenpapers.com/G16/closing.phtml?format=gc

First polls close in parts of IN and KY at 6pm Eastern, and we may start getting some results from those states shortly thereafter, but the networks won't call either state or post the topline exit poll #s until 7pm Eastern, when the rest of the polls close in those two states.

In addition to discussing election night results, this thread will also be used for discussing the exit polls, including exit poll leaks.  Because of the post-2004 exit polling reforms, the media themselves don't have access to any exit poll #s until 5pm Eastern.  Any supposed exit poll leaks you read before 5pm are certainly fake.  After 5pm, stuff will leak.  And we'll start getting AP stories about what the exit polls say about who voted.

AP results: http://interactives.ap.org/2016/general-election/?SITE=WHBQTVELN&DEFAULTGEO=TRUE
CNN results: http://www.cnn.com/election/results




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The Other Castro
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« Reply #1 on: November 08, 2016, 04:26:01 PM »

Wow it's getting real now.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #2 on: November 08, 2016, 04:26:35 PM »

inb4bedwetters
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IceSpear
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« Reply #3 on: November 08, 2016, 04:27:11 PM »


I eagerly await the usual suspects to call the election for Trump based off early returns from Eastern Kentucky.
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Seattle
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« Reply #4 on: November 08, 2016, 04:30:28 PM »

inb4forumcrashes
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #5 on: November 08, 2016, 04:30:32 PM »

Has it really been over a year since Hillary announced?

Why yes, yes it has. And I've felt every minute of it.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #6 on: November 08, 2016, 04:30:53 PM »

Woo
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The Free North
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« Reply #7 on: November 08, 2016, 04:32:27 PM »

Yay!

I'll be here at work with all the other crazies trading these numbers Smiley
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #8 on: November 08, 2016, 04:35:44 PM »

The real question is: Will Atlas crash happen tonight?
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #9 on: November 08, 2016, 04:36:54 PM »

HERE WE GO

Don't you dare crash Atlas
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PresidentSamTilden
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« Reply #10 on: November 08, 2016, 04:40:14 PM »

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Middle-aged Europe
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« Reply #11 on: November 08, 2016, 04:40:35 PM »

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Skye
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« Reply #12 on: November 08, 2016, 04:43:31 PM »

This is it. See you on the other side.

EDIT: This is the NYT. Might want to put it in the OP.

http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/president
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #13 on: November 08, 2016, 04:48:45 PM »

Some person is saying on the TYT youtube liveshow (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dQw4w9WgXcQ) that they saw some of the early exits and they showed close races in Colorado and New Hampshire (and I think one more state?), and Trump up in Florida and North Carolina.
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #14 on: November 08, 2016, 04:48:57 PM »

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The Free North
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« Reply #15 on: November 08, 2016, 04:49:24 PM »

First exits are released at 6 EST right?
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #16 on: November 08, 2016, 04:50:05 PM »

Some person is saying on the TYT youtube liveshow (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dQw4w9WgXcQ) that they saw some of the early exits and they showed close races in Colorado and New Hampshire (and I think one more state?), and Trump up in Florida and North Carolina.

They read Drudge, probably? Cheesy
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The Free North
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« Reply #17 on: November 08, 2016, 04:50:41 PM »

Nevermind, CNN looks like they are releasing exit poll info in 10 minutes.
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No War, but the War on Christmas
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« Reply #18 on: November 08, 2016, 04:50:59 PM »

Some person is saying on the TYT youtube liveshow (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dQw4w9WgXcQ) that they saw some of the early exits and they showed close races in Colorado and New Hampshire (and I think one more state?), and Trump up in Florida and North Carolina.

There you go, it's over America. Sad
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Yank2133
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« Reply #19 on: November 08, 2016, 04:51:11 PM »

Some person is saying on the TYT youtube liveshow (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dQw4w9WgXcQ) that they saw some of the early exits and they showed close races in Colorado and New Hampshire (and I think one more state?), and Trump up in Florida and North Carolina.

Well done.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #20 on: November 08, 2016, 04:51:26 PM »


No.  The media is given access to the exit polls at 5pm Eastern, and then they start producing stories about them about 10 or 15 minutes later.  Though those stories are about "X% of voters think they're better off than 4 years ago" or "Y% are Evangelicals", etc.  The toplines don't come out until the polls have closed in a given state.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #21 on: November 08, 2016, 04:54:19 PM »

Some person is saying on the TYT youtube liveshow (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dQw4w9WgXcQ) that they saw some of the early exits and they showed close races in Colorado and New Hampshire (and I think one more state?), and Trump up in Florida and North Carolina.

*clap*
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #22 on: November 08, 2016, 04:54:58 PM »

Not exits but Trump's latest price on PredictIt before the exits comes out is around 20 cents. It was 22 cents the day before the first Comey letter then shot up to 36 cents last week but closed yesterday back at 22 cents after Comey's 2nd letter. 
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #23 on: November 08, 2016, 04:56:10 PM »

http://www.nytimes.com/elections/forecast/president NYT will begin live forecasting the President, Senate, and House at 7:15 PM Eastern
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IceSpear
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« Reply #24 on: November 08, 2016, 04:56:21 PM »

Some person is saying on the TYT youtube liveshow (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dQw4w9WgXcQ) that they saw some of the early exits and they showed close races in Colorado and New Hampshire (and I think one more state?), and Trump up in Florida and North Carolina.

I'm actually sad this is fake. If TYT said Hillary was in trouble, she'd surely be headed for a landslide. Tongue
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