Who will win Macomb County, MI?
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Question: Who will win Macomb County, MI?
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Biden		  
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Author Topic: Who will win Macomb County, MI?  (Read 2977 times)
AGA
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« on: October 08, 2020, 08:32:52 PM »
54-42 Trump in 2016, 51-47 Obama in 2012.
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: October 08, 2020, 08:34:18 PM »
Seems like Trump should win it but not by the margin he did last time.  If Biden's winning it then I'd assume he's winning Michigan by double digits or close.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #2 on: October 08, 2020, 08:34:22 PM »
The economy is still messed up, Biden will win it
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Gass3268
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« Reply #3 on: October 08, 2020, 08:37:31 PM »
Up until the floor feel out for Trump I thought he would win in the low double digits. I'm now saying Biden in the low single digits.
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #4 on: October 08, 2020, 08:38:58 PM »
Trump by 7 points.
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Big Abraham
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« Reply #5 on: October 08, 2020, 08:48:51 PM »
Biden is not hated in the Rust Belt like Hillary was. I suspect a modest Biden victory
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #6 on: October 08, 2020, 09:44:47 PM »
Trump +2-4
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mileslunn
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« Reply #7 on: October 08, 2020, 10:33:56 PM »
It will be close and can go either way.  Trump probably gets about 2-5% higher than his overall Michigan support so if Biden is winning Michigan by sizeable margin takes it, if closer Trump holds it.
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« Reply #8 on: October 08, 2020, 10:58:03 PM »
Trump by 1 to 2 pts
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Splash
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« Reply #9 on: October 09, 2020, 12:17:09 AM »
Trump although it'll be close. I usually don't play the margin game but something like 51-48 sounds right. His win there will be more than canceled out by Oakland County, where I suspect Biden has a non-negligible chance at breaking 60% or at least matching Whitmer's seventeen or eighteen point win in 2018.
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Zarrius
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« Reply #10 on: October 09, 2020, 12:44:39 AM »
It heavily depends on Biden's margin of victory in Michigan; a >5.5% statewide margin will land Macomb in the Dem column.
This is a pure toss-up county; I'd hazard a guess that Biden wins it by <2%.
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« Reply #11 on: October 09, 2020, 12:53:24 AM »
Biden. He doesn't need it though.
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AGA
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« Reply #12 on: October 09, 2020, 12:54:10 AM »
Quote from: Zarrius on October 09, 2020, 12:44:39 AM
It heavily depends on Biden's margin of victory in Michigan; a >5.5% statewide margin will land Macomb in the Dem column.
This is a pure toss-up county; I'd hazard a guess that Biden wins it by <2%.

Welcome to the forum!
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Zarrius
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« Reply #13 on: October 09, 2020, 12:57:51 AM »
Quote from: AGA on October 09, 2020, 12:54:10 AM
Quote from: Zarrius on October 09, 2020, 12:44:39 AM
It heavily depends on Biden's margin of victory in Michigan; a >5.5% statewide margin will land Macomb in the Dem column.
This is a pure toss-up county; I'd hazard a guess that Biden wins it by <2%.

Welcome to the forum!

Thank you! I've been lurking here since the 2014 mid term elections but only now have I decided to take the plunge and register here. Looking forward to being part of this forum! Smiley
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Badger
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« Reply #14 on: October 09, 2020, 01:54:55 AM »
Quote from: Zarrius on October 09, 2020, 12:57:51 AM
Quote from: AGA on October 09, 2020, 12:54:10 AM
Quote from: Zarrius on October 09, 2020, 12:44:39 AM
It heavily depends on Biden's margin of victory in Michigan; a >5.5% statewide margin will land Macomb in the Dem column.
This is a pure toss-up county; I'd hazard a guess that Biden wins it by <2%.

Welcome to the forum!

Thank you! I've been lurking here since the 2014 mid term elections but only now have I decided to take the plunge and register here. Looking forward to being part of this forum! Smiley

(checks avatar. sees red)

"Welcome!" Grin Wink
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« Reply #15 on: October 09, 2020, 02:07:05 AM »
Likely R - Trump wins Macomb by 8 points while losing Michigan by 4 points
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SingingAnalyst
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« Reply #16 on: October 09, 2020, 04:33:49 AM »
Macomb is already the only Humphrey '68 - Bush '92 - Gore '00 county in the nation.

I believe it will continue its habit of supporting incumbent Republicans who go on to lose (as it did Ford in '76 and Bush in '92), but it will be close. Biden will carry MI and the election (though I'm trying not to be overly optimistic; I already voted).
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #17 on: October 09, 2020, 08:37:30 AM »
Quote from: Zarrius on October 09, 2020, 12:57:51 AM
Quote from: AGA on October 09, 2020, 12:54:10 AM
Quote from: Zarrius on October 09, 2020, 12:44:39 AM
It heavily depends on Biden's margin of victory in Michigan; a >5.5% statewide margin will land Macomb in the Dem column.
This is a pure toss-up county; I'd hazard a guess that Biden wins it by <2%.

Welcome to the forum!

Thank you! I've been lurking here since the 2014 mid term elections but only now have I decided to take the plunge and register here. Looking forward to being part of this forum! Smiley

We're happy to have you!
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Pennsylvania Deplorable
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« Reply #18 on: October 09, 2020, 11:26:08 AM »
Quote from: MR. KAYNE WEST on October 08, 2020, 08:34:22 PM
The economy is still messed up, Biden will win it
The economy is messed up in Michigan because Whitmer closed the state. South Dakota is doing fine. It really comes down to who voters blame. In my experience (PA has similar harsh shutdown rules), old people tend to blame Trump more, which is perhaps understandable as they are the most at risk and favor lockdowns more. Younger and middle aged people are angry at Wolf for crippling the economy and their social lives.
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Senator Spark
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« Reply #19 on: October 09, 2020, 11:46:31 AM »
Donald J. Trump
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SevenEleven
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« Reply #20 on: October 09, 2020, 11:58:18 AM »
Biden by 3.
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Old Man Willow
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« Reply #21 on: October 09, 2020, 12:10:24 PM »
Biden 50-48.
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MplsDem
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« Reply #22 on: October 09, 2020, 12:29:23 PM »
Whitmer won it in 2018, but only by 3.5 points. If the polls in the other Detroit suburban counties are to be believed, it should go narrowly for Biden.  I don't see Macomb going by more than a couple points either way though.
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H. Ross Peron
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« Reply #23 on: October 09, 2020, 02:37:11 PM »
Quote from: Pennsylvania Deplorable on October 09, 2020, 11:26:08 AM
Quote from: MR. KAYNE WEST on October 08, 2020, 08:34:22 PM
The economy is still messed up, Biden will win it
The economy is messed up in Michigan because Whitmer closed the state. South Dakota is doing fine. It really comes down to who voters blame. In my experience (PA has similar harsh shutdown rules), old people tend to blame Trump more, which is perhaps understandable as they are the most at risk and favor lockdowns more. Younger and middle aged people are angry at Wolf for crippling the economy and their social lives.

Kirsti Noem is a sociopathic hag who refused unemployment benefits for her home state.

I suspect Macomb will go for Biden narrowly. In general, I expect the suburban WWC Obama/Trump areas (Macomb or Staten Island) to swing toward the Dems more than the truly rural or small city WWC Obama/Trump areas.
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Kuumo
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« Reply #24 on: October 09, 2020, 02:53:00 PM »
Trump wins it 50-48.
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