NJ - Emerson: Booker +24%
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  NJ - Emerson: Booker +24%
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Author Topic: NJ - Emerson: Booker +24%  (Read 928 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
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« on: September 08, 2020, 12:21:08 PM »

https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/new-jersey-2020-biden-and-booker-with-significant-leads-in-the-garden-state

September 4-7, 2020
500 likely voters
MoE: 4.4%

Booker (D-inc.) 52%
Mehta (R) 28%
Someone else 5%
Undecided 16%
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President Johnson
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« Reply #1 on: September 08, 2020, 01:27:52 PM »

Booker could crack 60% here or come close to it.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #2 on: September 08, 2020, 03:43:49 PM »

Booker could crack 60% here or come close to it.

I think he'll fall short of that mark, but he will probably manage to reach 58-59%, which is about the share that Obama and Bob Menendez received in 2012. Remember that in 2014, Booker received "only" 56%, beating his Republican opponent Jeff Bell by 13% that year.
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #3 on: September 16, 2020, 07:39:54 PM »

New Poll: New Jersey Senator by Emerson College on 2020-09-07

Summary: D: 52%, R: 28%, U: 16%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #4 on: September 18, 2020, 02:37:16 PM »

Safe D.

City to watch here: Edison, Piscataway

South Asian population may be enamored with Mehta

But Safe D

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TheTide
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« Reply #5 on: September 20, 2020, 07:41:55 AM »

Booker could crack 60% here or come close to it.

I think he'll fall short of that mark, but he will probably manage to reach 58-59%, which is about the share that Obama and Bob Menendez received in 2012. Remember that in 2014, Booker received "only" 56%, beating his Republican opponent Jeff Bell by 13% that year.


Yeah, mid to high 50s for the Democrat is the normal result for New Jersey.
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cvparty
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« Reply #6 on: September 20, 2020, 03:21:10 PM »

wonder if he’ll win morris and monmouth
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #7 on: September 20, 2020, 03:27:47 PM »

wonder if he’ll win morris and monmouth

Strongly doubt it. Though he will win Somerset, which he didn't in either of his previous races.
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bronz4141
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« Reply #8 on: September 21, 2020, 11:17:58 AM »

wonder if he’ll win morris and monmouth

Strongly doubt it. Though he will win Somerset, which he didn't in either of his previous races.

Booker may win Morris before he wins Somerset

Somerset has a lot of white flight

"Broadly, Somerset used to be thought of as that bankable county – seemingly out of step with the rest of a pretty grizzled state – that protected – with that ever so useful tool of sky-high housing prices and exclusive public schools – the rich. Now it’s the place where the President of the United States threatens the mental stability of his fellow club members, while painting a global bulls-eye on everything here from the most gorgeous Victorian mansion to a dive bar to a local paint-peeling gas station. For if there is a war with North Korea, where, the idle mind is forced to ask, are the incoming nukes most likely to end up but at ground zero of this once bucolic backyard paradise, where the biggest and maybe only problem was supposed to be proximity to Newark?

A car-boosting hoodlum with a sock over his head was once the true terror of Somerset.

Now it’s a hyperactive twitter account in the hands of a 71-year-old in-between rounds of golf."


https://www.insidernj.com/suburban-passion-gop-mail-stirs-anger-standing-murphys-team-get-fire-blanketed-taxes-trump-proximity-lurid-somerset-tales/


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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #9 on: September 21, 2020, 11:31:34 AM »

wonder if he’ll win morris and monmouth

Have you ever been to Monmouth? It's a mixture of both rurals and (generally) white conservative burbs. 

There's a reason why, before JVD swapped parties, Chris Smith was the only NJ Republican left in the House. 
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cvparty
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« Reply #10 on: September 21, 2020, 02:28:44 PM »

wonder if he’ll win morris and monmouth

Have you ever been to Monmouth? It's a mixture of both rurals and (generally) white conservative burbs. 

There's a reason why, before JVD swapped parties, Chris Smith was the only NJ Republican left in the House. 
yes i have lol. NJ-04 is gerrymandered to take the most conservative parts of monmouth, ocean county provides the bulk of the GOP margin. if booker wins by 24 points or more i'm not sure why it wouldn't be competitive
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #11 on: September 21, 2020, 03:49:52 PM »

wonder if he’ll win morris and monmouth

Have you ever been to Monmouth? It's a mixture of both rurals and (generally) white conservative burbs. 

There's a reason why, before JVD swapped parties, Chris Smith was the only NJ Republican left in the House. 

Are you originally from Jersey?
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #12 on: September 21, 2020, 05:10:01 PM »

wonder if he’ll win morris and monmouth

Have you ever been to Monmouth? It's a mixture of both rurals and (generally) white conservative burbs. 

There's a reason why, before JVD swapped parties, Chris Smith was the only NJ Republican left in the House. 

Are you originally from Jersey?

Depends on whether or not that was a valid post or if I was just spewing nonsense Tongue

Seriously though, no, but I've spent quite a bit of time in Monmouth County since I started at PENN -- I've made some good friends there. 
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #13 on: September 21, 2020, 09:09:00 PM »

wonder if he’ll win morris and monmouth

Have you ever been to Monmouth? It's a mixture of both rurals and (generally) white conservative burbs. 

There's a reason why, before JVD swapped parties, Chris Smith was the only NJ Republican left in the House. 

Are you originally from Jersey?

Depends on whether or not that was a valid post or if I was just spewing nonsense Tongue

Seriously though, no, but I've spent quite a bit of time in Monmouth County since I started at PENN -- I've made some good friends there. 

Go over to Bergen or go down the shore if you want to experience the REAL New Jersey Tongue
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Mr. Matt
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« Reply #14 on: September 22, 2020, 02:23:06 PM »

wonder if he’ll win morris and monmouth

Have you ever been to Monmouth? It's a mixture of both rurals and (generally) white conservative burbs. 

Monmouth is literally Trump Country (that's the signs the county GOP, whose chairman is also the county sheriff, is putting out).
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