Reuters/Ipsos: Peters +6 in MI, Cunningham +4 in NC

[VAR]

MI
Peters 49%
James 43%

https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-09/topline_reuters_michigan_state_poll_w1_09_22_2020.pdf

NC
Cunningham 48%
Tillis 44%

https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-09/topline_reuters_north_carolina_state_poll_w1_09_22_2020.pdf

[SenatorCouzens]

Very interesting. Continuing to keep my eye on the senate race in Michigan. James has money and is on the air and has an active campaign. Peters is not really "entrenched" in Michigan, and is less charismatic and certainly less telegenic than James. Still lean D given the national environment and the fundamentals of Michigan, but only lean imo.

[Tiger08]

If James and Trump were to hypothetically come from behind in MI and win (which will probably not happen), would their paths to victory be any different? I know Toomey overperformed Trump in SE PA and underperformed Trump in rural PA in '16 and both won. Would that be the case in MI?

[wbrocks67]

Very interesting. Continuing to keep my eye on the senate race in Michigan. James has money and is on the air and has an active campaign. Peters is not really "entrenched" in Michigan, and is less charismatic and certainly less telegenic than James. Still lean D given the national environment and the fundamentals of Michigan, but only lean imo.

Peters has money and is on the air and has an active campaign too. I don't understand the framing here.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

September 11-16

MI
637 likely voters
MoE for likely voters: 4.4%

Some other candidate 1%
Would not vote 0%
Not sure/prefer not to answer 6%

NC
586 likely voters
MoE for likely voters: 4.6%

Some other candidate 2%
Would not vote 1%
Not sure/prefer not to answer 6%

[SenatorCouzens]

Very interesting. Continuing to keep my eye on the senate race in Michigan. James has money and is on the air and has an active campaign. Peters is not really "entrenched" in Michigan, and is less charismatic and certainly less telegenic than James. Still lean D given the national environment and the fundamentals of Michigan, but only lean imo.

Peters has money and is on the air and has an active campaign too. I don't understand the framing here.

Oh absolutely. I'm just saying James, though an underdog, has some things going for him in a way that, say, the candidates in NH and MN don't.

[KaiserDave]

Lights out for Tillis.

[SenatorCouzens]

If James and Trump were to hypothetically come from behind in MI and win (which will probably not happen), would their paths to victory be any different? I know Toomey overperformed Trump in SE PA and underperformed Trump in rural PA in '16 and both won. Would that be the case in MI?

Probably something similar. Upscale suburbanites in Oakland County or Grosse Pointe who are still sort of split but increasingly favoring Dems and feel comfortable voting for the mainstream Biden could support James.

I'm less familiar with the rural parts of the state, but I could imagine low information Trump voters (not an insult) supporting Trump while not having much of an opinion on the Senate race supporting the incumbent.

[Yoda]

I can't adequately put into words how badly I want Collins and Cunningham to win so dems can expand SCOTUS by 4 seats. Greenfield, Harris, Bullock, Osoff and Warnock as well, but Collins and Cunningham get us to 50 is my point.