Minor Party and Independent General Election Discussion

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This is a successor thread to Minor Party Primaries Results and Discussion focusing on General Election discussion rather than the primary process since most minor parties have now made nominations or have presumptive winners.

LIBERTARIAN PARTY

Jo Jorgensen/Spike Cohen

Ballot Access:

Ballot access established - 409 EV
Write-in access - 0 EV
Ballot access TBD (uncolored states) - 129 EV
No ballot access unless suing for it - 0 EV

GREEN PARTY/SOCIALIST PARTY USA/SOLIDARITY/OREGON PROGRESSIVE PARTY (PRESUMPTIVE)

Howie Hawkins/Angela Walker

Ballot Access:

Note: RI Greens have ballot access, the state party has refused to list a presidential candidate this year and petitioning will likely be as independent.

Ballot access established - 301 EV
Write-in access - 11 EV
Ballot access TBD (uncolored states) - 219 EV
No ballot access unless suing for it - 7 EV

CONSTITUTION PARTY

Don Blankenship/William Mohr

Ballot Access:

Note: NM Constitution Party has ballot access and nominated Sheila Tittle, not the CP national ticket

Ballot access established - 125 EV
Write-in access - 0 EV
Ballot access TBD (uncolored states) - 332 EV
No ballot access unless suing for it - 81 EV

ALLIANCE PARTY/REFORM PARTY/NATURAL LAW PARTY OF MICHIGAN

Rocky De La Fuente/Darcy Richardson

Ballot Access:

Note: Rocky De La Fuente is also seeking the American Independent Party nomination, which would give ballot access in California. In 2016 the party nominated Trump so outlook seems negative on that one.

Ballot access established - 97 EV
Write-in access - 0 EV
Ballot access TBD (uncolored states) - 353 EV
No ballot access unless suing for it - 98 EV

PARTY FOR SOCIALISM AND LIBERATION

Gloria La Riva/Leonard Peltier

Ballot Access:

Note: La Riva is currently suing for ballot access in Florida

Ballot access established - 83 EV
Write-in access - 0 EV
Ballot access TBD (uncolored states) - 318 EV
No ballot access unless suing for it - 137 EV

BIRTHDAY PARTY

Kanye West/Michelle Tidball

Ballot Access:

Note: Additional discussion at    
Kanye Ballot Access: Yeezus or Bust?

Ballot access established - 27 EV
Write-in access - 0 EV
Ballot access TBD (uncolored states) - 379 EV
No ballot access unless suing for it - 132 EV

AMERICAN SOLIDARITY PARTY

Brian Carroll/Amar Patel

Ballot Access:

Ballot access established - 26 EV
Write-in access - 107 EV
Ballot access TBD (uncolored states) - 303 EV
No ballot access unless suing for it - 102 EV

PROHIBITION PARTY

Phil Collins/Billy Joe Parker

Ballot Access:

Note: Collins is also seeking the American Independent Party nomination, which would give ballot access in California. In 2016 the party nominated Trump so outlook seems negative on that one.

Ballot access established - 24 EV
Write-in access - 0 EV
Ballot access TBD (uncolored states) - 352 EV
No ballot access unless suing for it - 162 EV

Campaigns with Ballot Access in 1 state:

CONSTITUTION PARTY (SPLINTER)

Sheila Tittle/TBD

Ballot access in New Mexico, consideration in Virginia

INDEPENDENT

Jade Simmons/TBD

Ballot access in Oklahoma, write-in access in Florida

Brock Pierce/TBD

Ballot access in Oklahoma

BREAD & ROSES

Jerome Segal/John de Graaf

Ballot access in Maryland

LEGAL MARIJUANA NOW PARTY

Rudy Reyes/TBD

Ballot access in Minnesota

UNITY PARTY

Bill Hammons/Eric Bodenstab

Ballot access in Colorado

INDEPENDENT PARTY OF OREGON

Joe Biden/TBD

Ballot access in Oregon

VETERAN'S PARTY OF AMERICA

Max Abramson (probable)/TBD

Ballot access in Mississippi

CONSERVATIVE PARTY OF NEW YORK

Donald Trump/Mike Pence

Ballot access in New York

Not listed are several New York state ballot fusion parties that are yet to make nominations.

Tickets with no currently confirmed ballot access:

INDEPENDENT

Joe Schriner/TBD

Write-in in Indiana

Dario Hunter/Darlene Elias

Mark Charles/TBD

Brock Pierce/TBD

SOCIALIST ACTION

Jeff Mackler/Heather Bradford

SOCIALIST EQUALITY PARTY

Joseph Kishore/Norissa Santa Cruz

SOCIALIST WORKERS PARTY

Alyson Kennedy/Malcolm Jarrett

TRANSHUMANIST PARTY

Charlie Kam/Arin Vahanian

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Sources on ballot access? This says only 36 states (+ DC) for Libertarians as of 7/1: https://www.lp.org/ballotaccess/

Green Party looks very off as well:
https://www.gp.org/ballot_access


Edit: Are these the 2016 maps

You're absolutely correct. Maps are now fixed although I'll have to find a reliable source for the Constitution Party and some of them (Wisconsin) on that one are probably inaccurate.

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Why is Biden on the Independent Party of Oregon?

They held a "primary" online for their presidential ticket with all major candidates from both parties (Biden, Bernie, Trump). Biden won and thus although he hasn't to my knowledge "accepted" it has the party's endorsement. The IPO is a bit weird with what "endorsed" candidates they get on the ballot and which they do not so whether there is actual ballot fusion or not is TBD.

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The Conservative Party of NY has endorsed Trump/Pence. Hunter is running as an independent green.

Added!

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Maps are all updated now, I also made them for some more parties.

My current take on third parties in this election is Kanye West may have some interesting results (either way lower than expected or way higher and probably incredibly anomalous results state-by-state) and I also have a gut feeling the American Solidarity Party is gonna grow the most out of this election proportionally compared to the other parties. Certainly seen more buzz around them than around the other parties but once again, Twitter is not real life. They have a weird reverse Libertarian set of policy which cluld probably garner a niche voter base.

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Today is the ballot deadline for Maine and Washington.

Maine requires 4,000 signatures which is fairly steep as far as the total population goes comparative to the rest of the state. At around 0.3% of the state population, it's 39/51 in terms of signatures required vs state population.

Washington requires 1,000 signatures which is actual 3/51 at around 0.012% of the state population.

Pretty much any campaign with a decent on the ground effort can make the Washington threshold, it'll be way more interesting to see who made the cut in Maine.

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The Libertarians are being incredibly libertarian and offering paid signature collection gigs.

https://twitter.com/VerminSupreme/status/1286868683323772928

Nothing compared to Kanye's team apparently giving out $10 a signature which may honestly be a better gig if your integrity means nothing.

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Today is the ballot deadline for Maine and Washington.

Maine requires 4,000 signatures which is fairly steep as far as the total population goes comparative to the rest of the state. At around 0.3% of the state population, it's 39/51 in terms of signatures required vs state population.

Washington requires 1,000 signatures which is actual 3/51 at around 0.012% of the state population.

Pretty much any campaign with a decent on the ground effort can make the Washington threshold, it'll be way more interesting to see who made the cut in Maine.

Do you think the Libertarians will make ballot access in Maine?

As they achieved under 10,000 votes in 2018 they lost party status and with it automatic ballot access in Maine. It's my opinion if they've made a concerted effort that they'll be able to regain that status, or at least get on the ballot this cycle. If they do not, it will be the first state whose ballot they miss.

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So do we know how ME and WA turned out? 

My spreadsheet was inaccurate with WA's deadline. Today was the cutoff for holding a nominating convention which is a prerequisite of minor party candidates however all forms must be in by 8/7.

No news yet out of Maine although the deadline is now passed.

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Any idea on how the third parties will do in 2020 compared to 2016?

All polling indicates very poorly, perhaps 2004 levels. Kanye West is a wild card if he gets successfully on more ballots, could get a considerable amount of votes, could get next to none. No way he outperforms Johnson 2016 however.

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Leonard Peltier has ceased being apart of the PSL ticket for health reasons

This Sunil Freeman guy is basically a no name in who the party usually promotes, so I’m guessing they chose him because he’s far up the hierarchy in the Washington D.C. branch, a branch that was the original branch of the WWP after the East Coast that split from the WWP to form the PSL in the first place.

A shame. Peltier's case is tragic and this ticket if anything would've drawn more attention to it.

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I lost power for three days (thanks Isaias!) but I'll get this stuff updated as soon as possible.

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Colorado ballot access, per BAN:

The seven qualified parties are: Democratic, Republican, Libertarian, Green, Constitution, Unity, and Approval Voting.

The candidates who qualified by paying the fee, in alphabetical order, are: Brian Carroll (American Solidarity), Mark Charles (independent), Phil Collins (Prohibition), Rocky De La Fuente (Alliance), Dario Hunter (Progressive), Princess Jacob-Fambro (independent), Alyson Kennedy (Socialist Workers), Joseph Kishore (Socialist Equality), Kyle Kopitke (Independent American), Gloria La Riva (Socialism & Liberation), Joe McHugh (independent), Brock Pierce (independent), and Kanye West (independent).

Who the heck are the Unity or Approval Voting parties?

Unity seems centristy, Approval Voting is single issue to wnact approval voting (candidate most people vote "approve" for gets elected, aka more confusing ranked choice)