COVID-19 Megathread 4: Grandma Got Run Over by the Dow Jones

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Looks like another Tuesday of terrible numbers after a somewhat promising weekend.   Global deaths today have already surpassed Sunday and Monday’s numbers, and it looks like the US will set a new record for daily deaths by a pretty big margin.

[Inmate Trump]

My state, Georgia, isn’t projected to peak until May 1 (as of now) with a total death projection nearing 4000.

Meanwhile California, which far surpasses us population wise, is only projected to have something around 1500 deaths total.

Why such a far discrepancy considering the population differences?

[GeorgiaModerate]

My state, Georgia, isn’t projected to peak until May 1 (as of now) with a total death projection nearing 4000.

Meanwhile California, which far surpasses us population wise, is only projected to have something around 1500 deaths total.

Why such a far discrepancy considering the population differences?

Better/earlier mitigation, and a population taking it more seriously.  I was talking about this with a couple colleagues in the Bay Area yesterday.  They say that for the most part, the streets are empty.  People are going out only when absolutely necessary for groceries, pharmacy, etc., and that close to 100% of those are wearing masks. 

I don't know where you are in Georgia, but here in Forsyth County there are far more people out and about, and the last time I went grocery shopping maybe 25% of the shoppers (and almost none of the staff) were wearing masks.

[Calthrina950]

My state, Georgia, isn’t projected to peak until May 1 (as of now) with a total death projection nearing 4000.

Meanwhile California, which far surpasses us population wise, is only projected to have something around 1500 deaths total.

Why such a far discrepancy considering the population differences?

I certainly believe that the individual responses of the state governors is a major factor in this. I don't like Gavin Newsom, but he has run a strong response to the pandemic in California, while Brian Kemp is ignorant and deferred on taking action.

[Tekken_Guy]

Looks like another Tuesday of terrible numbers after a somewhat promising weekend.   Global deaths today have already surpassed Sunday and Monday’s numbers, and it looks like the US will set a new record for daily deaths by a pretty big margin.

Probably just a backlog of weekend cases being counted.

[FrancoAgo]

Why is their testing rate dropping?
I’d think Italy of all places would want to ramp up efforts to test everyone. 

There is no official reason,
my biased opinion that industrial associations are influencing for the open back, less test less positives

[GP270watch]

 The United States will have a record number of deaths counted today. The national peak had been projected to be April 15th, let's hope that is still the case.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

jimrtex, what happened to you, man? You used to be cool.

[Grassroots]

New York yesterday had it's lowest amount of new cases since mid march, the rate in the state is exponentially decreasing.

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

Coronavirus is this generation’s WMD.

Fear mongering hysteria, built on faulty intelligence. History will not be kind to the overreaction and all the tragedy brought on by the sharp economic downturn.

[Grassroots]

Coronavirus is this generation’s WMD.

Fear mongering hysteria, built on faulty intelligence. History will not be kind to the overreaction and all the tragedy brought on by the sharp economic downturn.

k

[100% pro-life no matter what]

My state, Georgia, isn’t projected to peak until May 1 (as of now) with a total death projection nearing 4000.

Meanwhile California, which far surpasses us population wise, is only projected to have something around 1500 deaths total.

Why such a far discrepancy considering the population differences?

I certainly believe that the individual responses of the state governors is a major factor in this. I don't like Gavin Newsom, but he has run a strong response to the pandemic in California, while Brian Kemp is ignorant and deferred on taking action.

That doesn't explain anything.  Tennessee wasn't super fast in shutting down, and the UW model only projects 481 deaths and a peak of less than 10% of hospital capacity.  For every example supporting that story, you can find one that doesn't support it.

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

Coronavirus is this generation’s WMD.

Fear mongering hysteria, built on faulty intelligence. History will not be kind to the overreaction and all the tragedy brought on by the sharp economic downturn.

k

You won’t feel so dismissive when the fallout from this cripples your generation for the next decade.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Ignoring the MAGAT here, here are the stats:

[Calthrina950]

My state, Georgia, isn’t projected to peak until May 1 (as of now) with a total death projection nearing 4000.

Meanwhile California, which far surpasses us population wise, is only projected to have something around 1500 deaths total.

Why such a far discrepancy considering the population differences?

I certainly believe that the individual responses of the state governors is a major factor in this. I don't like Gavin Newsom, but he has run a strong response to the pandemic in California, while Brian Kemp is ignorant and deferred on taking action.

That doesn't explain anything.  Tennessee wasn't super fast in shutting down, and the UW model only projects 481 deaths and a peak of less than 10% of hospital capacity.  For every example supporting that story, you can find one that doesn't support it.

I've underlined the critical sentence of my post in response to this. I did not try to claim that this was the only factor at play, but it is a factor. And for the record, Kentucky to your north responded much more quickly and effectively to this outbreak, and hence has a better trajectory in terms of cases. And there are many examples of where such decisive action might have curtailed the pandemic's spread, such as in Florida, which has been noted numerous times on here.

[Grassroots]

Coronavirus is this generation’s WMD.

Fear mongering hysteria, built on faulty intelligence. History will not be kind to the overreaction and all the tragedy brought on by the sharp economic downturn.

k

You won’t feel so dismissive when the fallout from this cripples your generation for the next decade.

It will harm us, but the response isn't going to change that.

[Stockdale for Veep]

Coronavirus is this generation’s WMD.

Fear mongering hysteria, built on faulty intelligence. History will not be kind to the overreaction and all the tragedy brought on by the sharp economic downturn.

That means around 2030 we will find out that the virus was created in an American lab.

[GP270watch]

 Can blue avatars pick a story?

 One day it's "China lied, they're numbers are awful and way more people died."

 The next day it's "Covid-19 is a hoax and it's all overblown..."

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Can blue avatars pick a story?

 One day it's "China lied, they're numbers are awful and way more people died."

 The next day it's "Covid-19 is a hoax and it's all overblown..."

Maybe not every blue avatar has the same exact thoughts?  And, maybe it can be true both that China lied and that the panic and shutdowns are overreactions?

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

Trump is going to ride this victory over the Invisible Enemy to a second term. “Mission Accomplished”

Hmmm....

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Trump is going to ride this victory over the Invisible Enemy to a second term. “Mission Accomplished”

Hmmm....

Keep telling yourself that Habibi

[Calthrina950]

Trump is going to ride this victory over the Invisible Enemy to a second term. “Mission Accomplished”

Hmmm....

You're forgetting the second, far more nefarious enemy that could be his undoing, and which has already begun to manifest itself: a recession. If the economy continues to go into freefall after the pandemic subsidies, then Trump's chances will be harmed. No President (aside from Franklin D. Roosevelt, and those were extraordinary circumstances) has ever won reelection while the economy has been in recession.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Trump announcing he is pulling all funding from WHO and will sanction research by them

[Dr. Arch]

Trump announcing he is pulling all funding from WHO and will sanction research by them

You're kidding.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Trump announcing he is pulling all funding from WHO and will sanction research by them

You're kidding.

Nope