Congressional Primary Results Megathread

[Oryxslayer]

Also, apparently many counties have not counted their mail absentees yet, so the votes are going to go up by even more, especially in the metro.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

GA-14 R: RUNOFF between Greene and Cowan

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

GA-9 D: Runoff between Siskin and Pandy

Continuing to wait in GA-2 R, GA-7 D, GA-Sen D, WV-3 D, WV-SOS D, and all races in NV

[ON Progressive]

David Scott is not only below 50% now, he is fairly considerably below it at the moment. He is only at 48.28% against 3 challengers that aren’t particularly well funded. Big upset here to just force a runoff, and he could be in serious trouble for the runoff.

[Horus]

https://twitter.com/greggiroux/status/1270569327268442112?s=20

Would be great to see Scott go down.

You know Scott’s bad when both Horus and I are both rooting for him to go down, presumably for the same reason

Scott is way too conservative for his district (there's no reason Clayton county should be represented by a blue dog) and Waites has been a good state rep. Would also be nice to diversify the LGBT caucus.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

GA-7 D: RUNOFF between Bourdeaux and Romero
GA-13 D: RUNOFF between Scott and Waites

[n1240]

GA-7 D: RUNOFF between Bourdeaux and Romero
GA-13 D: RUNOFF between Scott and Waites

How can you declare either of these races a runoff? Looking at GA-07 in particular, half of Gwinnett has not yet reported mail-in absentees, and Forsyth hasn't reported any mail-in absentees. Bourdeaux is doing very well in the mail-in absentees reported in Gwinnett, earning 67% of the vote among them (whilst winning 48% of the vote in these precincts overall). Based on this information I think she will avoid a runoff.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

GA-7 D: RUNOFF between Bourdeaux and Romero
GA-13 D: RUNOFF between Scott and Waites

How can you declare either of these races a runoff? Looking at GA-07 in particular, half of Gwinnett has not yet reported mail-in absentees, and Forsyth hasn't reported any mail-in absentees. Bourdeaux is doing very well in the mail-in absentees reported in Gwinnett, earning 67% of the vote among them (whilst winning 48% of the vote in these precincts overall). Based on this information I think she will avoid a runoff.

I did not make either call until the AP did in either case here. So take it up with the AP.

[n1240]

GA-7 D: RUNOFF between Bourdeaux and Romero
GA-13 D: RUNOFF between Scott and Waites

How can you declare either of these races a runoff? Looking at GA-07 in particular, half of Gwinnett has not yet reported mail-in absentees, and Forsyth hasn't reported any mail-in absentees. Bourdeaux is doing very well in the mail-in absentees reported in Gwinnett, earning 67% of the vote among them (whilst winning 48% of the vote in these precincts overall). Based on this information I think she will avoid a runoff.

I did not make either call until the AP did in either case here. So take it up with the AP.

Fair, irresponsible call by the AP in my opinion then.

[Sestak]

GA-7 D: RUNOFF between Bourdeaux and Romero
GA-13 D: RUNOFF between Scott and Waites

How can you declare either of these races a runoff?

on GA-13]/url]

[Sir Mohamed]

Apparantly more people voted in the WV R primary than D primary. Has this happened recently? Even in 2018, there were more Dem ballots cast.

[Oryxslayer]

Apparantly more people voted in the WV R primary than D primary. Has this happened recently? Even in 2018, there were more Dem ballots cast.

No, this is new. It was helped by about 20% of dem voters leaving their ballots blank and voting only for blue dog stuff way down-ballot like the sheriff. However, it's a further sign that WV is probably not going to be electing new dems to office in the future. Any dem success would require a Beshear style incumbent to run against.

Also, welcome to election week everyone. Whether or not Ossoff avoids a runoff is all up to the 25%-33%ish (or even more) of uncounted mail ballots left outstanding.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

NV-1 D: Titus
NV-2 D: Ackerman
NV-2 R: Amodei
NV-3 D: Lee
NV-4 D: Horsford
Supreme Court B: Pickering

Uncalled: NV-1 R, NV-3 R, NV-4 R, Supreme Court D, WV-3 D, WV-SOS D, GA SEN D, GA-2 R

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Baltimore Mayor D: Scott
This completes the June 2nd primaries

[Arson Plus]

Isn't Tennant running alone, the other candidate withdrew.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

GA-2 R: Cole
WV-3 D: Watson
WV-SOS D: Sponaugle

Isn't Tennant running alone, the other candidate withdrew.

Not sure what race you're referring to, but if a withdrawn or conceded candidate still on the ballot wins a primary, the party is still required to attempt to award them the nomination.

[Arson Plus]

GA-2 R: Cole
WV-3 D: Watson
WV-SOS D: Sponaugle

Isn't Tennant running alone, the other candidate withdrew.

Not sure what race you're referring to, but if a withdrawn or conceded candidate still on the ballot wins a primary, the party is still required to attempt to award them the nomination.

WV SOS D, but the wikipedia page says that Tennant is the nominee and that she posted a tweet saying that she is the SOS candidate
https://twitter.com/NatalieTennant/status/1270781711228559360?ref_src=twsrc%5Ego...

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

GA-2 R: Cole
WV-3 D: Watson
WV-SOS D: Sponaugle

Isn't Tennant running alone, the other candidate withdrew.

Not sure what race you're referring to, but if a withdrawn or conceded candidate still on the ballot wins a primary, the party is still required to attempt to award them the nomination.

WV SOS D, but the wikipedia page says that Tennant is the nominee and that she posted a tweet saying that she is the SOS candidate
https://twitter.com/NatalieTennant/status/1270781711228559360?ref_src=twsrc%5Ego...

Oh wait, I put SOS instead of Att. Gen., gah. The call is otherwise correct.

[Oryxslayer]

Ossoff over 50% now, lets see if it holds.

[EastAnglianLefty]

What are Waites' politics? Are any of the various campaign groups likely to get involved on her behalf?

[ON Progressive]

Looks like Scott may be able to avoid a runoff unfortunately. He is at 49.4% after absentee dumps in Fulton/Cobb/Douglas, and I suspect he'll get above 50 once absentees come in for Henry/Clayton/Fayette, which were a much stronger set of counties for him than the former.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Looks like Scott may be able to avoid a runoff unfortunately. He is at 49.4% after absentee dumps in Fulton/Cobb/Douglas, and I suspect he'll get above 50 once absentees come in for Henry/Clayton/Fayette, which were a much stronger set of counties for him than the former.

[Inks]

[Gracile]

Think Ossoff will avoid a runoff if this trendline holds.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Projecting that Ossoff will avoid a runoff

The AP still believes Scott will end up in a runoff

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

And the AP retracted that call. Scott looks set to avoid a runoff.

I retracted my original call that Scott would avoid a runoff to agree with the AP's call that he would have a runoff, but looks like I was right all along. Go scott!