Super Tuesday Results Thread

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

The fact that Joe is gaining on Bernie in the Bay Area is surprising.

[NOVA Green]

Now let's shift down a bit and take a look at some of the other rural Counties which have updated for the first time since Election Day:

Colusa County:      Colusa/Williams

2016 DEM PRIM: (1,692 DEM PRIM Votes)

(49-48 HRC)

2020: Election Day (1,080 DEM Votes)

Bernie:            401   (37.1%)
Biden:             258   (23.9%)
Bloomberg:      163   (15.1%)
Warren:            77      (7.1%)
Pete:                67      (6.2%)
Amy:                21      (1.9%)

2020: 3/5/20 Update  (1,584 Votes)

Bernie:            597  (37.7%)             +0.6%         +196 Votes
Biden:             404  (25.5%)             +1.4%         +146 Votes
Bloomberg:      238  (15.0%)             -0.1%          +75 Votes
Warren:           115  (7.3%)              +0.2%          +38 Votes
Pete:                83   (5.2%)              -0.2%          +16 Votes
Amy:                24   (1.5%)              -0.4%          + 3 Votes

Yuba County:      Linda/Olivehearst/Marysville

2016 DEM PRIM: (5,291 DEM PRIM Votes)

(52-47 Sanders)

2020: Election Day (3,127 DEM PRIM Votes)

Bernie:            953   (30.5%)
Biden:             803   (25.7%)
Bloomberg:      526   (16.8%)
Warren:           249    (8.0%)
Pete:               213    (6.8%)
Amy:                93     (3.0%)

2020: 3/6/20 Update  (5,152 Votes)          +2,025 Votes

Bernie:            1,738 (33.7%)             +3.2%         +785 Votes
Biden:             1,421 (27.6%)             +1.9%         +618 Votes
Bloomberg:       760  (14.8%)              -2.0%          +232 Votes
Warren:            434  (8.4%%)             +0.4%         +185 Votes
Pete:                271   (5.3%)               -1.5%          +58 Votes
Amy:                115   (2.2%)               -0.8%          + 22 Votes

So some initial thoughts here....

Colusa County "appears" to be mostly counted, albeit with a chunk of Provisionals that will most likely skew heavily Sanders. This is farm-worker Country, with 20% of the workforce in the agricultural sector. This is also a heavily Latino Majority County. It is also a heavily Republican County in General Elections.

Still, I would imagine that a significant amount of the '20 DEM PRIM ballots were cast by Latinos.

Yuba County is a bit of a trip, and although I'm not especially well acquainted with it, there is an odd mixture of Metro "Sac" exurbs and farming communities, an Air Force base floating around...

Although it looks like it's getting close to wrapping up, I would not be surprised to see '20 DEM PRIM votes exceed '16 DEM PRIM votes by a notch or so....

Overall this is heavily Trump Country, and although it's 28% Latino, I don't have a total grip on what that means in terms of the DEM PRIM electorate here without checking out precinct data in more extensive detail...

Still I would imagine that Bernie will continue to gain a bit over Biden, with Warren plugging along with some gains as well as we move towards the last few batches of vote dumps.

[n1240]

https://www.wfaa.com/article/news/politics/dallas-county-asks-to-recount-election-after-44-thumb-drives-discovered/287-84e19400-81bc-4256-bcb3-e25df380d699

Dallas County has about 10% of the votes uncounted.

[NOVA Green]

Let's shift course slightly and by-pass a few updates from some Counties in the Sierra Nevada for the moment, and drop down bast the "Sac" and hit some decent "Medium Population" sized places in the Heavily Latino parts of the Central Valley...



Merced County:      Merced

2016 DEM PRIM: (20.5k DEM Votes)

(53-45 HRC)

2020: Election Day (11,852 DEM Votes)

Bernie:         4,271   (36.0%)
Biden:          3,011   (25.4%)
Bloomberg:   1,710   (14.4%)
Warren:          829    (7.0%)
Pete:              605    (5.1%)
Amy:             271     (2.3%)

2020: 3/6/20 Update  (14,511 Votes)

Bernie:         5,295   (36.5%)             +0.5%         +1,024 Votes
Biden:          3,687   (25.4%)             +0.0%         +676 Votes
Bloomberg:   2,011   (13.9%)              -0.5%         +301 Votes
Warren:           998    (6.9%)              -0.1%         +169 Votes
Pete:               671   (4.6%)               -0.5%         +  66 Votes
Amy:               305   (2.1%)               -0.2%         + 34 Votes

Fresno County:      Fresno/Clovis

2016 DEM PRIM: (81.1k DEM Votes)

(56-43 HRC)

2020: Election Day (50,333 DEM Votes)

Bernie:         17,248 (34.3%)
Biden:          12,023 (23.9%)
Bloomberg:    7,319  (14.5%)
Warren:         3,952  (7.9%)
Pete:             3,128  (6.2%)
Amy:             1,426  (2.8%)

2020: 3/6/20 Update  (74,793 Votes)     +24,460

Bernie:         26,346 (36.5%)             +2.2%         +9,098 Votes
Biden:          20,242 (27.1%)             +3.4%         +8,129  Votes
Bloomberg:   10,122 (13.5%)              -1.0%         +2,803 Votes
Warren:          6,172  (8.3%)              +0.4%         +2,220 Votes
Pete:              3,735  (5.0%)               -1.2%         +  607  Votes
Amy:              1,777  (2.4%)               -0.4%         +  351 Votes

Kings County:      Hanford

2016 DEM PRIM: (7.2k DEM Votes)

(58-40 HRC)

2020: Election Day (3,383 DEM PRIM Votes)

Bernie:         997  (29.5%)
Biden:          953   (28.2%)
Bloomberg:   547   (16.2%)
Warren:        201   (5.9%)
Pete:            197   (5.8%)
Amy:            103   (3.0%)

2020: 3/6/20 Update  (4,473 Votes)     +1,090 Votes

Bernie:         1,378   (30.8%)             +1.3%         +381 Votes
Biden:          1,365   (30.5%)             +2.3%         +412  Votes
Bloomberg:      694  (15.5%)              -0.7%         +147 Votes
Warren:           273  (6.1%)               +0.2%         +72 Votes
Pete:               210  (4.7%)               -1.1%          +13  Votes
Amy:               111  (2.5%)               -0.5%          +8 Votes

Madera:      Madera

2016 DEM PRIM: (10.9k DEM Votes)

(53-44 HRC)

2020: Election Day (8,372 DEM PRIM Votes)

Bernie:         2,780 (33.2%)
Biden:          2,019 (24.1%)
Bloomberg:   1,290 (15.4%)
Warren:           591  (7.1%)
Pete:               541   (6.5%)
Amy:               308   (3.7%)

2020: 3/6/20 Update  (10,326 Votes)     +1,954 Votes

Bernie:         3,588   (34.7%)             +1.5%         +808 Votes
Biden:          2,649   (25.7%)             +1.6%         +630  Votes
Bloomberg:   1,507   (14.6%)              -0.8%         +217 Votes
Warren:           754   (7.3%)               +0.2%         +163 Votes
Pete:               562   (5.4%)               -0.9%          +21  Votes
Amy:               321   (3.1%)               -0.6%          +13 Votes

What do these data sets indicate?

All of these Counties are majority Latino to varying degrees.

Naturally this does not mean that the majority of the DEM PRIM electorate are Latinos...

Although most of these Counties have a regional "large population center", there are still a significant populations living in rural areas.

Merced County still has a significant number of ballots out and a +8% '16 HRC>Bernie County is currently a +11% Bernie>Biden County with a significant number of ballots yet to be counted.... I don't have the spreadsheets at my fingertips from tracking the '16 DEM CA Primary for Live Updates, but seem to recall a surge in late voting that benefited Sanders within Merced and some of these other Counties...

Fresno County is a giant wildcard in terms of how the final results end up....

I strongly suspect that Fresno County will completely break the '16 DEM PRIM total vote numbers....

Fresno County might be a bit more dynamic than some other places and in a County of almost a Million People, the overall POP is 52% Latino, 31% Anglo, 10% Asian, and 5% Black....

Still a +13% HRC>Sanders '16 County (And one of HRC's best Counties in CA in the '16 DEM PRIM), where Provisional ballots in '16 heavily favored Bernie, these numbers may well shift dramatically...

Kings County in theory looks like a Biden flip County, mainly because the Anglos tend to vote early, and are a larger % of the electorate than in some of these other counties, was actually one of the best counties in CA for Bernie when it came to Provisional Ballot reporting.

The fact that we are nowhere close to the '16 DEM PRIM numbers might jumble it up a bit, especially with possibly "late-breaking" voters, including Latinos jumping towards Biden... Still looks to me like Sanders & Biden % numbers will continue to grow and then start to shift much more heavily Sanders (again based upon '16 DEM PRIM patterns).

Madera County:

It has practically already broken records, so although we don't know how many votes are still outstanding the late breakers should vote overwhelmingly Sanders, at least based upon patterns we observed in '16, when the PROVO votes come rolling in...

[RI]

By my records, Sanders led the 3m CA Election Night votes by 34-25 over Biden. The subsequent 950k votes have gone to Sanders by a 34-31 margin over Biden.

[DINGO Joe]

Only a handful of counties do updates on Saturday with Alameda having the largest count and it was unusual in that Bernie and Biden % dropped and Warren and Buttigieg's rose.  they did have the lowest turnout listed before this dump, so I'm guessing that a hefty chuck of the votes were early votes.

It's still looking like San Diego won't flip and I'd guess the final margin will be a little above 6%

[NOVA Green]

By my records, Sanders led the 3m CA Election Night votes by 34-25 over Biden. The subsequent 950k votes have gone to Sanders by a 34-31 margin over Biden.

Sure... this totally makes sense and is completely expected....

Still... ED Night Reporting in California, plus results in Friday Night following actual election results, do not indicate the final numbers out of the Great State of California...

Although there are many more candidates than in the '16 DEM PRIM on the ballot, the election was shifted to ST vs the "End of the Line" in June '16 when it came to DEM PRIMs, it would not be unusual at all to see massive surges towards Bernie/Biden/Warren when it comes to Late Ballots and Provisional Ballots reported...

Here's a link to some late CA results from the '16 DEM PRIM on Atlas Forum....

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=238320.msg5128533#msg5128533

[NOVA Green]

I only wish Biden could catch up and beat Bernie in California.  That would stunt his campaign even more.

Fly into LAX and drive down the Highway and you will see a Giant High-Rise on the edge of the Hotel District, shortly before you jump onto the Freeway...

You will see a giant sign and glows neon-green at Night advertising Marijuana Sales from their local dispensary right near the Airport....

You can wish what you wish, but it is pretty clear that outside of Biden supporters who have never been to Cali, that the blend that folks are smoking must be an extremely high level of THC from a Sativa strain....

Biden is not popular at all in California.... he is our equivalent to a "generic Democrat"....

We understand the concerns of our Democratic Comrades elsewhere in the Nation, but although many will put the clothespins on their noses and vote Biden over Trump in '20, many will sit out the election and not vote, which will likely significantly hurt DEM down-ballot CD races in CA.

Sorry, we are tired of being "knee-capped" for simply representing traditional New Deal Democratic policy positions...

We are tired of the "Red Scare" and needling from "fellow Democrats", who appear to have forgotten what the Democratic Party of the US stood for back in the days....

Bill Clinton screwed the DEM Party over with "Triangulation", signed and backed off on all the "Free Trade" deals that the MNC's and Financial Sector wanted (Bush Sr Lite)....

Tax cuts for the rich, Wall Street deregulation created the roots of the Great Recession....

War in Iraq backed by a HUGE numbers of DEM Senators...

At some point we need to question their judgement....

Winning isn't everything if there is nothing left to win....

Sorry--- a bit OT but had to take a break before delving back into actual ST election results... 

[NOVA Green]

Time to jump back into some of the larger Metro Areas...

Let's jump back into the Bay Area

Alameda County:      Oakland/Fremont/Hayward/Berkeley (Plus honorary mentions to San Leandro, Livermore, Alameda, Pleasanton, Union City, Castro Valley, & Dublin)

2016 DEM PRIM: (320.4k DEM PRIM Votes)

(51-48 HRC)

2020:Election Night (125.5k DEM PRIM Votes)       

Bernie:         43,745  (34.2%)       
Biden:          30,590  (24.4%)
Bloomberg:   15,341  (12.2%)
Warren:        23,137  (18.4%)
Pete:              5,011   (4.0%)
_             3,044   (2.4%)
2020: 3/7/20 Update  (209.9k Votes)      +84.3k Votes

Bernie:         71,839   (34.8%)             +0.6%         +28,094 Votes
Biden:          49,335   (23.5%)             -0.9%          +18,745 Votes
Bloomberg:   25,368   (12.1%)            -0.1%           +2,231‬  Votes
Warren:        41,559   (19.8%)            +1.4%          +18,422‬ Votes
Pete:              8,901   ( 4.2%)             +0.2%          + 3,890‬ Votes
Amy:             5,495     (2.6%)             +0.2%         +2,451‬   Votes

Needless to say looks like there are tons of votes out there in the flat lands of the East Bay, especially considering the wealthy voters living in their Mansions in the Hills overlooking the Bay have already voted....

Tons of votes yet to be counted on the Flatlands of Alameda....

Once again Warren appears to be performing extremely well in "Gown & Town" Communities, but most likely the "Professor Vote" is likely cast already, so numbers will drop a bit, as will the wealthy folks living in their Mansions upon the Oakland Hills....

[NOVA Green]

The fact that Joe is gaining on Bernie in the Bay Area is surprising.

Although this is factually not true in terms of actual election results, I never expected to see Sanders winning the Bay Area in the '20 DEM PRIM.... (Was actually quite excited by various Bay Area polls that showed it as a 50-50 Bernie/Warren race...

The Bay Area was one of Sanders worst areas in the '16 CA DEM PRIM....

Meanwhile Sanders continues to gain in various parts of the Bay Area...

SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY

2016 DEM PRIM: (216.9k DEM PRIM Votes)

(54-46 HRC)

2020 DEM PRIM--- Election Night (120.9k DEM PRIM VOTES) 

Bernie---          39,571   (32.7%)
Biden---           26,605   (22.0%)
Bloomberg--     15,800   (13.1%)
Warren---         25,684   (21.2%)
Pete---               6,865   ( 5.7%)
Amy---               2,259   (1.9%)
Others---            4,091   (3.4%)

2020 DEM PRIM--- 3/4 Update (150.5k DEM PRIM VOTES)     +29.6k Votes
         
Bernie---          47,705   (31.7%)     -1.0%
Biden---           26,605   (21.4%)     -0.6%
Bloomberg--     15,800   (13.3%)      +0.2%
Warren---         25,684   (21.8%)     +0.6%
Pete---               6,865   ( 6.2%)      +0.5%
Amy---               2,259   ( 2.1%)      +0.2%
Others---            4,091   (3.5%)       +0.1%

 from
2020 DEM PRIM--- 3/5 Update (201.7k DEM PRIM VOTES)     +51.2k Votes  from 3/4/20
         
Bernie---          64,912   (32.2%)   +0.5% from 3/4      -0.2% from ED   
Biden---           47,007   (23.3%)   +1.9% from 3/4      +1.3% from ED
Bloomberg--     24,161   (12.0%)    -1.3% from 3/4      -1.1% from ED
Warren---         46,776   (23.2%)    +1.4% from 3/4     +2.0% from ED
Pete---               9,846    (4.9%)     -1.3% from 3/4      -0.8% from ED
Amy---               3,425    (1.7%)    -0.4% from 3/4       -0.2% from ED
Others---            5,577    (2.8%)     -0.7% from 3/4      -0.6% from ED

2020 DEM PRIM--- 3/7 Update (231.5k DEM PRIM VOTES)     +29.8k Votes  from 3/5/20
         
Bernie---          75,349   (32.5%)   +0.3% from 3/5      -0.2% from ED  +17,207‬ from 3/5
Biden---           55,480   (24.0%)   +0.7% from 3/5      +2.0% from ED  +8,473  from 3/5
Bloomberg--     26,997   (11.7%)    -0,3% from 3/5      -1.4% from ED    +2,836‬ from 3/5
Warren---         53,865   (23.3%)    +0.1% from 3/5     +2.1% from ED   +7,089 from 3/5
Pete---             10,238    (4.4%)     -0.5% from 3/5      -1.3% from ED     +  392‬ from 3/5
Amy---              3,579    (1.5%)      -0.2% from 3/5      -0.4% from ED     + 154‬  from 3/5

Santa Clara County:

We have a couple post election Night Updates

951,292   TOT Registered Voters:

2012 GE: (70-27 Obama)
2016 GE: (73-21 HRC)

2016 DEM PRIM: (277.5k DEM PRIM Voters)

(57%-42% HRC vs Sanders)

2020 DEM PRIM: Election Night (153.5k Votes)

Bernie:               49,818  Votes  (32.4%)
Biden:                30,916   Votes (20.1%)
Bloomberg:         27,243   Votes (17.7%)
Warren:              18,261   Votes  (11.9%)
Pete:                  11,477   Votes  (7.5%)
Amy:                   7,223    Votes   (4.7%)
Others:                8,594     Votes  (5.6%)

2020 SANTA CLARA COUNTY 3/4 UPDATE DEM PRIM VOTES (162.2k)   +8.7k Votes

Bernie:               51,786   Votes     (31.9%)      + 1,968 Votes (-0.5%)
Biden:                33,405   Votes     (20.6%)      + 2,489 Votes (+0.5%)
Bloomberg:         28,721  Votes     (17.7%)       + 1,478‬ Votes (+ 0.0%)
Warren:              19,745   Votes    (12.2%)       + 1,484 Votes (+0.3%)
Pete:                  12,005   Votes    ( 7.4%)        +   528  Votes (-0.1%)
Amy:                  7,644     Votes   ( 4.7%)         +  421 Votes   (+ 0.0%)
Others:               8,873     Votes   ( 5.6%)         +  279 Votes  (+ 0.0%)

2020 DEM PRIM: 3/5 Update  (177.9k Votes)        +38.5k votes from ED

Bernie:               56,392    Votes  (31.7%)     -0.5% from ED      -0.2% from 3/4
Biden:                38,166    Votes  (21.5%)     +1.4% from ED     +0.9% from 3/4
Bloomberg:         31,052    Votes  (17.5%)     -0.2% from ED      -0.2% from 3/4
Warren:              22,033    Votes   (12.4%)    +0.5% from ED     +0.2% from 3/4
Pete:                  12,693    Votes   ( 7.1%)      -0.4% from ED     -0.3% from 3/4
Amy:                   8,184    Votes   ( 4.7%)     +0.0% from ED     +0.0% from 3/4
Others:                9,350   Votes    ( 5.3%)      -0.3% from ED     -0.3% from 3/4

2020 DEM PRIM: 3/5 Update  (177.9k Votes)        +38.5k votes from ED

Bernie:               56,392    Votes  (31.7%)     -0.5% from ED      -0.2% from 3/4
Biden:                38,166    Votes  (21.5%)     +1.4% from ED     +0.9% from 3/4
Bloomberg:         31,052    Votes  (17.5%)     -0.2% from ED      -0.2% from 3/4
Warren:              22,033    Votes   (12.4%)    +0.5% from ED     +0.2% from 3/4
Pete:                  12,693    Votes   ( 7.1%)      -0.4% from ED     -0.3% from 3/4
Amy:                   8,184    Votes   ( 4.7%)     +0.0% from ED     +0.0% from 3/4
Others:                9,350   Votes    ( 5.3%)      -0.3% from ED     -0.3% from 3/4

2020 DEM PRIM: 3/7 Update  (219.3k Votes)        +41.4k votes from 3/5/20

Bernie:               70,397     Votes  (32.1%)     -0.3% from ED      +0.4% from 3/5
Biden:                52,131     Votes  (23.8%)     +3.7% from ED     +2.2% from 3/5
Bloomberg:         36,114     Votes  (16.5%)     -0.2% from ED      -1.2% from 3/5
Warren:              27,873     Votes   (12.7%)    +0.8% from ED     +0.3% from 3/5
Pete:                  13,528      Votes   (6.2%)      -1.3% from ED     -0.9% from 3/5
Amy:                  8,860        Votes   (4.0%)     -0.7% from ED      -0.7% from 3/5

Now we also have some Counties in the Bay Area first to report post ED results:

Marin County: (76.8k DEM Votes- '16)

(56-43 HRC)

2020 DEM PRIM: Election Night (46.1k Votes)

Bernie:               10,742   Votes  (23.3%)
Biden:                11,613    Votes (25.2%)
Bloomberg:          9,738     Votes (21.1%)
Warren:               7,162     Votes  (15.6%)
Pete:                   3,260      Votes  (7.1%)
Amy:                   2,151      Votes  (4.7%)

2020 DEM PRIM: 3/7 Update (58.4k Votes)

Bernie:               13,279    Votes  (22.8%)          -0.5%        +2,537‬
Biden:                14,631     Votes (25.1%)          -0.1%       +3,018
Bloomberg:         12,229     Votes (21.0%)          -1.1%       +2,491‬
Warren:               9,470      Votes  (16.2%)         +0.6%      +2,308‬
Pete:                   4,223       Votes  (7.2%)           +0.1%      +963
Amy:                   2,807       Votes  (4.8%)           +0.1%      +656‬

Never really saw San Mateo or Contra Costa Counties as Sanders strongholds, but will be interesting to watch as the votes are counted....

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I am trying to figure out why did Jesse Jackson waited a week after ST in order to endorse Bernie? Bernie could of beaten Biden in the South, if Bernie had that endorsement sooner

[Eraserhead]

I am trying to figure out why did Jesse Jackson waited a week after ST in order to endorse Bernie? Bernie could of beaten Biden in the South, if Bernie had that endorsement sooner

lol.

[Orwell]

I am trying to figure out why did Jesse Jackson waited a week after ST in order to endorse Bernie? Bernie could of beaten Biden in the South, if Bernie had that endorsement sooner

lol.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

I am trying to figure out why did Jesse Jackson waited a week after ST in order to endorse Bernie? Bernie could of beaten Biden in the South, if Bernie had that endorsement sooner

lol.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I am trying to figure out why did Jesse Jackson waited a week after ST in order to endorse Bernie? Bernie could of beaten Biden in the South, if Bernie had that endorsement sooner

lol.

Come now, Jesse Jackson is very connected the Obama-Biden administration and worked for Bill Clinton.  It's no coincidence that Jesse Jackson waited after ST to endorse Bernie

[Panhandle Progressive]

I am trying to figure out why did Jesse Jackson waited a week after ST in order to endorse Bernie? Bernie could of beaten Biden in the South, if Bernie had that endorsement sooner

i hate to jump on the bandwagon...but

lol

[NOVA Green]

All right--- where to start with updated results from the California 2020 DEM PRIM?

1.) the first Friday after Election Day is where typically we see most Counties at least start to report preliminary updates from Election Night, so there are a slew of updates, even from Counties where we had no real election data other than the initial numbers.

2.) We are now starting to see from a broader perspective the shifts in voting patterns as many of the "Early Early + Same Day voting numbers come in, and percentages for candidates who had dropped out prior to ST, start to decrease significantly.

3.) Generally from my coverage of the '16 CA DEM PRIM, County Election results are the most accurate when it comes to not only updated election result numbers, but also measuring how many votes are still outstanding.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=238320.msg5115877#msg5115877

4.) For example the CA "Unprocessed Ballot Report Page" is useful as a rough guide, but towards the end of the '16 CA DEM PRIM, I was still awaiting on some 50k provisional ballots from Alameda County that never materialized (because they were "double-booked" and not updated in the system.

5.) We are now starting to get at least some rough precinct level information for CA from the LA Times (although beware it is behind the actual results significantly, just look at the Santa Clara total candidate vote numbers for example which is barely above ED numbers posted by the County).

Generally I would use this map as a guideline of precinct results from election Night numbers only without double-checking against Statewide/County numbers when available. But hey--- it's still pretty cool for a starting point.

There LA County numbers are from the 3/4 Update, so even in SoCal, there is some lag time for them to get the numbers translated into a precinct level (although not hating on the Times at all--- love that they are doing this!!!!)

https://www.latimes.com/projects/2020-california-primaries-precincts-results/

6.) Although there are still tons of DEM PRIM ballots out there, Biden's strong support among ED In-Person Voters appears to be a bit different from the '16 DEM PRIM pattern, so even late VbMs appear not be going as heavily Sanders as one might have suspected based upon the dynamics of the '16 DEM PRIM.

7.) We really don't have a good handle on Provisional Ballots yet, although we do know from the '16 DEM PRIM these tended to skew overwhelmingly Sanders, and were more representative of younger voters, working-class Latino voters, so regardless of how the late VbMs break down (which in some of the larger POP Centers may well benefit Sanders), it is still too early to predict with any confidence what the final % spread will be within the 2020 DEM PRIM.

Will follow-up with some more specific CA DEM PRIM updates shortly, but wanted to at least put this out there for many of y'all that haven't been through one of these CA DEM PRIM counting contests before....

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

We are 48 hours away from Biden likely securing the nomination.

[IceSpear]

We are 48 hours away from Biden likely securing the nomination.

What do you mean by this? Functionally, he is already the nominee. If you mean technically, that still wouldn't be the case even if wins every delegate on March 10th.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

We are 48 hours away from Biden likely securing the nomination.

What do you mean by this? Functionally, he is already the nominee. If you mean technically, that still wouldn't be the case even if wins every delegate on March 10th.

I mean in that the pundits will start writing off Sanders and we can throw whatever small chance he had at a comeback in the trash.

[NOVA Green]

We are 48 hours away from Biden likely securing the nomination.

WTF does this have to do with Super Tuesday and election results?   

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

We are 48 hours away from Biden likely securing the nomination.

WTF does this have to do with Super Tuesday and election results?  

There's no March 10th Super Tuesday results thread yet

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Everything is returning to normal in the polling, since, there is no more Bernie surge, in VA, NC, TX, there aren't those ridiculous numbers favoring Bernie in those swing states

[2016]

We are 48 hours away from Biden likely securing the nomination.

What do you mean by this? Functionally, he is already the nominee. If you mean technically, that still wouldn't be the case even if wins every delegate on March 10th.

He is just talking nonsense! Sanders won't get out until at least after March 17th when IL, OH, AZ and FL vote. Bernie wants a 1 and 1 with Biden on the Debate Stage (March 15th), the shot he has been waiting for all Primary Season.

Meanwhile coming back to this Results Thread the AP FINALLY updated the Colorado Numbers and Sanders now has a 114K lead.

Everyone kind of saying that Sanders won't win a single State on Tuesday which obviously won't happen. Given the Polling Fiasco Pollsters had polling the Michigan Primary four years ago don't be surprised if the Race is really close or Bernie stuns the Establishment again.

[2016]

CA reported another Batch of Results and Sanders pushed his lead to almost now 300K. While the Percentages were going down since Election Night, the Raw Vote Totals are actually going up in favour of Bernie.