NV Caucus Results Thread (doors close at 2 CT)
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Author Topic: NV Caucus Results Thread (doors close at 2 CT)  (Read 50140 times)
Gass3268
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« Reply #125 on: February 22, 2020, 02:23:41 PM »
« edited: February 22, 2020, 02:31:10 PM by Gass3268 »
Bold Prediction: We are don't get any results today.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #126 on: February 22, 2020, 02:27:34 PM »
Is the Nevada Democratic Party posting results themselves on their own website?  Or just leaving that up to the news orgs?
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We Live in Black and White
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« Reply #127 on: February 22, 2020, 02:28:41 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on February 22, 2020, 02:23:41 PM
Bold Prediction:  We are don't get any results today.

Please don't even speak that sin into existence.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #128 on: February 22, 2020, 02:28:44 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on February 22, 2020, 02:27:34 PM
Is the Nevada Democratic Party posting results themselves on their own website?  Or just leaving that up to the news orgs?

I have not been able to find a results page on the Nevada dems website. However, it is not like any results were posted on the one the Iowa dems had so.
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
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« Reply #129 on: February 22, 2020, 02:29:24 PM »
Regardless of the results, this is some good news for Dems in general. NV is not going to vote for Trump in the General:
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Walmart_shopper
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« Reply #130 on: February 22, 2020, 02:31:44 PM »
Quote from: Crumpets on February 22, 2020, 02:02:22 PM
Your friendly quadrennial reminder that having a caucus on a Saturday prevents many observant Jews from participating.

Not really. But I would imagine that states like NY and NJ with large Orthodox populations would be crazy to do this on a Saturday.
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Baki
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« Reply #131 on: February 22, 2020, 02:32:14 PM »
MSNBC entrance poll

53% women
47% men
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #132 on: February 22, 2020, 02:32:41 PM »


So turnout will likely be way up on 2016, but since people preferred to vote early, it won't be a Titanic shift
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Baki
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« Reply #133 on: February 22, 2020, 02:33:05 PM »
MSNBC entrance poll

M4A:

62% support
34% oppose
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #134 on: February 22, 2020, 02:33:06 PM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on February 22, 2020, 02:23:29 PM
Reminder as we get close to the entrance poll period, the entrance poll could be rather far off from the final results depending on whether the early vote was incorporated into it's projections.
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Xing
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« Reply #135 on: February 22, 2020, 02:33:26 PM »
Quote from: 👁️👁️ on February 22, 2020, 02:29:24 PM
Regardless of the results, this is some good news for Dems in general. NV is not going to vote for Trump in the General:



Yeah, but Sanders is a “bad fit” for NV or something like that (even if he wins here by a lot), so Toss-Up/Tilt R with Sanders imho tbqh
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Ebsy
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« Reply #136 on: February 22, 2020, 02:35:30 PM »
Initial race numbers lead me to believe the initial exits are going to be worthless, as usual.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #137 on: February 22, 2020, 02:35:39 PM »
I guess they're already releasing some demographic info from entrance polls?:
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2016
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« Reply #138 on: February 22, 2020, 02:36:16 PM »
Quote from: Baki on February 22, 2020, 02:33:05 PM
MSNBC entrance poll

M4A:

62% support
34% oppose
Oh my World. If true Sanders has a clear edge.

CNN Entrance Poll
66 % White
17 % Hispanic
10 % Black
4 % Asian

was 12 % Black and 19 % Hispanic in 2016 when Clinton beat Sanders.
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Baki
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« Reply #139 on: February 22, 2020, 02:36:20 PM »
CNN entrance poll

Race

White 66-AA 10-Hispanic 17-Asian 3
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #140 on: February 22, 2020, 02:37:28 PM »

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American2020
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« Reply #141 on: February 22, 2020, 02:37:42 PM »
Quote from: 👁️👁️ on February 22, 2020, 02:29:24 PM
Regardless of the results, this is some good news for Dems in general. NV is not going to vote for Trump in the General:



Great news for Nevada.
I'd like to see it in PA, MI, WI, NC, GA and AZ.
IA is out of touch for me.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #142 on: February 22, 2020, 02:39:49 PM »
Does any1 know if these entrants poll include early voters too ?

I don’t think we can draw any conclusions otherwise ...
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Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden
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« Reply #143 on: February 22, 2020, 02:40:12 PM »

Son of a bitch.
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W
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« Reply #144 on: February 22, 2020, 02:41:10 PM »
W signing on! May we live in interesting times. Here's my final order prediction (bold = confident):

1. Sanders
2. Warren
3. Steyer
4. Biden
5. Buttigieg
6. Klobuchar
7. Gabbard
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
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« Reply #145 on: February 22, 2020, 02:42:10 PM »
Quote from: Scott 🤡🌏 on February 22, 2020, 02:40:12 PM

Son of a bitch.
Did this guy just say Joe Byer? LMFAO
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #146 on: February 22, 2020, 02:42:46 PM »
« Edited: February 22, 2020, 02:47:08 PM by Oryxslayer »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on February 22, 2020, 02:33:06 PM
Quote from: Oryxslayer on February 22, 2020, 02:23:29 PM
Reminder as we get close to the entrance poll period, the entrance poll could be rather far off from the final results depending on whether the early vote was incorporated into it's projections.

I know I'm fighting against a tidal wave here, but seriously,  let's try and put some breaks to on the entrance poll hype train, since we so far have heard nothing about the early vote in regards to the entrance poll.
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W
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« Reply #147 on: February 22, 2020, 02:44:34 PM »
With the fact that in all likelihood there will be more early votes than caucusgoers, I'd say entrance poll data (as well as the caucus system) are completely out the window.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #148 on: February 22, 2020, 02:46:34 PM »
51% say they're first time caucus-goers.
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
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« Reply #149 on: February 22, 2020, 02:47:22 PM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on February 22, 2020, 02:42:46 PM
Quote from: Oryxslayer on February 22, 2020, 02:33:06 PM
Quote from: Oryxslayer on February 22, 2020, 02:23:29 PM
Reminder as we get close to the entrance poll period, the entrance poll could be rather far off from the final results depending on whether the early vote was incorporated into it's projections.

I know I'm fighting against a title wave here, but seriously,  let's try and put some breaks to on the entrance poll hype train, since we so far have heard nothing about the early vote in regards to the entrance poll.

MSNBC (Steve Kornacki) said the entrance poll results they had so far were ONLY early vote.
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