New Hampshire Primary Thread (polls close at 6-7 CT)
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  New Hampshire Primary Thread (polls close at 6-7 CT)
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Author Topic: New Hampshire Primary Thread (polls close at 6-7 CT)  (Read 53549 times)
Dr. Arch
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« Reply #1125 on: February 11, 2020, 09:50:31 PM »

Is there enough vote left for Pete to squeak this out realistically? I'm not familiar enough with NH.

Yes
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DrScholl
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« Reply #1126 on: February 11, 2020, 09:51:15 PM »

With center left candidates getting so many votes it is clear that if Sanders gets the nomination that he cannot ignore moderate voters. The path to victory is real progressives (not Joe Rogan types incorrectly labeled as progressive), traditional
Democrats and moderate suburbanites.

lol what are you gonna do, vote Trump?

No, but my point is that Sanders supporters act as if he can win without the traditional Democratic base and suburbanites or as if he can take those voters for granted.
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Santander
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« Reply #1127 on: February 11, 2020, 09:51:18 PM »

Third-place victory speech like Marco did after Iowa...
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #1128 on: February 11, 2020, 09:52:25 PM »


A lot of well populated highly educated suburban places left to vote too.

Imagine if one of Amy/Pete wasn't in the race.  Tonight would be a coronation.
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Sorenroy
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« Reply #1129 on: February 11, 2020, 09:52:51 PM »

Sanders probably wins, but barely winning NH should probably be regarded as an underperformance for him and certainly casts doubt on any argument he is the national favorite.

Sanders crashes to a disappointing first place finish, losing by -4,000 votes.
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shua
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« Reply #1130 on: February 11, 2020, 09:52:52 PM »

Who is Henry Hewes and why did he win 14 write in votes in the farthest north town?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Henry_Hewes_(politician)

Because Northern NH is weird or those votes should be for Klob.


it's weird - DDHQ has something completely different (than NYT's weird result), with Tulsi in 2nd place.

Quote
Pete Buttigieg    17    20.48%
Tulsi Gabbard    16    19.28%
Amy Klobuchar    15    18.07%
Bernie Sanders    9    10.84%
Joe Biden    9    10.84%
Other    8    9.64%
Tom Steyer    5    6.02%
Elizabeth Warren    4    4.82%
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SN2903
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« Reply #1131 on: February 11, 2020, 09:53:08 PM »

Amy is better at debates than rallies. Yikes..Awkward..
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Nathan
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« Reply #1132 on: February 11, 2020, 09:53:22 PM »

Is there enough vote left for Pete to squeak this out realistically? I'm not familiar enough with NH.

In theory, yes, but the margin is just not closing fast enough.
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Former Crackhead Mike Lindell
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« Reply #1133 on: February 11, 2020, 09:54:38 PM »

Get new jokes, Amy
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1134 on: February 11, 2020, 09:54:39 PM »

With 33% of the vote in, Bernie was ahead by 4.5%

With 70% of the vote in, Bernie is ahead by 2.2%
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1135 on: February 11, 2020, 09:54:59 PM »

We are expecting 80K+ votes left in the remaining towns if the SoS prediction holds. So there is certainly enough left fto make this close.

Also, lol at Amy repeating lines like Rubio. She's got a few jokes that seemingly get pulled out at every possible moment.
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Ray Goldfield
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« Reply #1136 on: February 11, 2020, 09:55:25 PM »

Third-place victory speech like Marco did after Iowa...

I'd say a third-place victory speech when you were expected to finish fifth is very different from one when you're hoping to finish 1/2.

This puts Klobuchar back in the race.
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Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
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« Reply #1137 on: February 11, 2020, 09:55:53 PM »

With 33% of the vote in, Bernie was ahead by 4.5%

With 70% of the vote in, Bernie is ahead by 2.2%

And with 100% of the vote in, Bernie will be ahead by somewhere between 0% and 2%.
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atheist4thecause
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« Reply #1138 on: February 11, 2020, 09:56:16 PM »

Update on my anecdotal stories with my girlfriend who is not very political but a major Amy Klobuchar fan. She's now shopping for Amy Klobuchar gear given the results. When I asked her about why now, she said because now she thinks Amy actually has a chance. Klobuchar momentum is real. It's not about whether Klobuchar has a chance or not, it's about the perception that a non-political person thinks she can win.
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Green Line
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« Reply #1139 on: February 11, 2020, 09:56:19 PM »

Third-place victory speech like Marco did after Iowa...

Pete needs to learn from Marco's mistake and literally claim victory.  The media will cover it regardless.
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Former Crackhead Mike Lindell
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« Reply #1140 on: February 11, 2020, 09:56:46 PM »

Sanders - Trump
Klobuchar - Kasich
Buttigieg - Cruz AND Rubio
Biden - Bush
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Florida Man for Crime
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« Reply #1141 on: February 11, 2020, 09:56:59 PM »

Are there enough votes outstanding for pete to win?

No. I told you this like an hour ago, all you had to do was read it.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #1142 on: February 11, 2020, 09:57:20 PM »

With 33% of the vote in, Bernie was ahead by 4.5%

With 70% of the vote in, Bernie is ahead by 2.2%

And with 100% of the vote in, Bernie will be ahead by somewhere between 0% and 2%.

Yeah NH is Titanium Tilt Sanders
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Gracile
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« Reply #1143 on: February 11, 2020, 09:57:57 PM »

I think Buttigieg will make it close, but come short of the win.
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Santander
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« Reply #1144 on: February 11, 2020, 09:58:11 PM »

With center left candidates getting so many votes it is clear that if Sanders gets the nomination that he cannot ignore moderate voters. The path to victory is real progressives (not Joe Rogan types incorrectly labeled as progressive), traditional
Democrats and moderate suburbanites.

lol what are you gonna do, vote Trump?

Not vote.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1145 on: February 11, 2020, 09:58:25 PM »

Really good speech for Klobuchar.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1146 on: February 11, 2020, 09:58:26 PM »

71%:

Bernie +1.9%
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buritobr
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« Reply #1147 on: February 11, 2020, 09:58:48 PM »

According to the results, is it already possible to play this anthem in order to celebrate?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FGqMMpMkKXs&t=70s
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
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« Reply #1148 on: February 11, 2020, 09:58:52 PM »
« Edited: February 11, 2020, 10:02:58 PM by Interlocutor »

2% are what separate Atlas between pages of "Bernie wins!" posts or "But Atlas told me Bernie would win!"posts
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Illini Moderate
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« Reply #1149 on: February 11, 2020, 09:59:07 PM »

Third-place victory speech like Marco did after Iowa...

Pete needs to learn from Marco's mistake and literally claim victory.  The media will cover it regardless.

You made this joke already. It’s still not landing...
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