Iowa Caucus Results Thread (pg 148 - full results)

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Or perhaps there just isn't much enthusiasm in this primary period. No one in this race is particularly exciting or inspiring to the electorate as a whole.

I don't know what is worse.

[This user has not been convicted of 34 felonies]

Any word AT ALL from Troy Price/IADP this morning??

[GP270watch]

What a fiasco. The Democrats are off to a great start!

[Xing]

Any word on when we're getting more results? Or is New Hampshire going to have all of its results in before Iowa?

[redjohn]

You'd assume we get the results sometime today. If the party was competent, at least.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1225087228482899976

Doesn't look very good for Bernie.

[Tender Branson]

Any updates ?

Just came home from work (it’s snowing like sh*t) ...

[Grassroots]

UUUUUUUUUUUUUAAARGGHHHHHHHHH UAGAGGHHHHRRRRRRHHHHHH AAAAAAAAAARRGGGHHH UHHHHHHHHHHHGGGGHHHHHHHH AAAAAAUUUGGGHHGHHHHHHHHH UUUGGGGHHHHHHH

[Florida Man for Crime]

Some data on finalised turnout in a few rural counties, looks like decline in democratic strength in rural Iowa probably led to turnout falling in small town counties whereas it held up in the big cities.

https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/1225064859773079552

That's a bad sign if Dems want to win IA back.

Dems were never going to win back IA, that has always been a delusion.

[jaichind]

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1225087228482899976

Doesn't look very good for Bernie.

Well, as of right now Sanders and Warren initial preference vote share are over-performing entrance polls while Biden and Buttigieg are under-preforming them. If we are going to take entrance polls as a reference to calibrate from then for sure the outstanding votes should lean  Biden and Buttigieg.  Question is how much to trust entrance polls as being reflexive of reality. 

[Gass3268]

Early afternoon, whatever that means.

https://twitter.com/edokeefe/status/1225106172094701569?s=20

[Xing]

Early afternoon, whatever that means.

https://twitter.com/edokeefe/status/1225106172094701569?s=20

So, maybe before 5:30 PM, then?

[Tender Branson]

Can’t wait until this freakshow is over ...

I guess NH votes are counted within 2-3 hours next Tuesday ?

[Grassroots]

Early afternoon, whatever that means.

https://twitter.com/edokeefe/status/1225106172094701569?s=20

WOOOOOOOOOOOOO WWWWOOOOOOOOO

YEEEEEEEEEESSSSSSSSSSSSSSS

[DrScholl]

Democrats flipped the Iowa House delegation from 3-1 Republican to 3-1 Democratic and they hold majority registration in 3 out of 4 congressional districts. It's a mistake to write Democrats off here just yet. Iowa won't be a tipping point, but if the presidency flips then Iowa could be one of the states that flips.

[Annatar]

Is Iowa some kind of failed state now where it takes days to count the vote and the vote gets released in small batches to control the narrative.

[Gass3268]

Does anyone have the turnout by county for 2016?

[Tender Branson]

Is Iowa some kind of failed state now where it takes days to count the vote and the vote gets released in small batches to control the narrative.

The Iowa SoS reporting system actually works pretty well in elections.

You need to blame the Dem. Party only, not the state ...

[Annatar]

Is Iowa some kind of failed state now where it takes days to count the vote and the vote gets released in small batches to control the narrative.

The Iowa SoS reporting system actually works pretty well in elections.

You need to blame the Dem. Party only, not the state ...

Fair enough, the Iowa dem party is basically behaving like the corrupt govt of a failed state.

[Florida Man for Crime]

Democrats flipped the Iowa House delegation from 3-1 Republican to 3-1 Democratic and they hold majority registration in 3 out of 4 congressional districts. It's a mistake to write Democrats off here just yet. Iowa won't be a tipping point, but if the presidency flips then Iowa could be one of the states that flips.

1) Notice how you focus on the House delegation but totally ignore the statewide races like the Governors race. What we are talking about here is winning the state of IA, not winning some CDs. Yes, some CDs are more competitive than the state as a whole, but that is because of the way the CDs are currently drawn (with IA-04 being a R vote sink).

2) If voter registration were so significant, then Democrats would be winning West Virginia.

[Grassroots]

I think this caucus has evolved into a substantial argument against gov size reduction (giving out services for private groups to do). Not saying that's my position now, but it's a pretty good argument against it.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Early afternoon, whatever that means.

https://twitter.com/edokeefe/status/1225106172094701569?s=20

WOOOOOOOOOOOOO WWWWOOOOOOOOO

YEEEEEEEEEESSSSSSSSSSSSSSS

We now have 73%! Hooray! We did it, boys!

[Grassroots]

Early afternoon, whatever that means.

https://twitter.com/edokeefe/status/1225106172094701569?s=20

WOOOOOOOOOOOOO WWWWOOOOOOOOO

YEEEEEEEEEESSSSSSSSSSSSSSS

We now have 73%! Hooray! We did it, boys!

I doubt it's going to be 2%. Probably around 15%.

[DrScholl]

Democrats flipped the Iowa House delegation from 3-1 Republican to 3-1 Democratic and they hold majority registration in 3 out of 4 congressional districts. It's a mistake to write Democrats off here just yet. Iowa won't be a tipping point, but if the presidency flips then Iowa could be one of the states that flips.

1) Notice how you focus on the House delegation but totally ignore the statewide races like the Governors race. What we are talking about here is winning the state of IA, not winning some CDs. Yes, some CDs are more competitive than the state as a whole, but that is because of the way the CDs are currently drawn (with IA-04 being a R vote sink).

2) If voter registration were so significant, then Democrats would be winning West Virginia.

Blah, blah, blah, blah. If we want to talk statewide races, Democrats actually did flip a constitutional office in 2018. Iowa is quite different than West Virginia, because the ancestral Democratic factor is mostly absent. Democratic registration in West Virginia has clearly declined, whereas Democrats have added votes in Iowa. House races are federal like the presidency, so they are quite relevant to mention. But I'm not going to argue back and forth with you.

[Antonio the Sixth]

I think this caucus has evolved into a substantial argument against gov size reduction (giving out services for private groups to do). Not saying that's my position now, but it's a pretty good argument against it.

There was a book written after the 2000 election called Downsizing Democracy and that title feels more relevant than ever.