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Poll
Question: What will Coronavirus be best remembered for?
#1
The people who got sick and died
 
#2
The economy crashing
 
#3
The shutdown of social life
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 171

Author Topic: COVID-19 Mega thread  (Read 131244 times)
ON Progressive
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« Reply #1400 on: March 11, 2020, 07:37:02 PM »

I believe this is due to the fact that the total # under treatment is growing rapidly again, and deaths seem to happen quicker than recoveries.

This is largely because (at least this is the case in Ontario, the standard for “recovered” might be different elsewhere) recorded recoveries require at least two straight negative tests at least 24 hours apart. Meanwhile, a death can obviously be recorded when the patient dies without any of that delay.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #1401 on: March 11, 2020, 07:39:08 PM »

They say Biden can’t win the youth vote. Well Trump just sunk an entire semester down the toilet.

Biden will win the youth vote against Trump-any Democrat would. I think the argument more so has been that he would do worse than Sanders, and would experience lower turnout. Biden can remedy that defect by choosing a younger, more progressive running mate who could appeal to those voters, and to minority/female voters as well.
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Meclazine for Israel
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« Reply #1402 on: March 11, 2020, 07:42:25 PM »
« Edited: March 11, 2020, 08:01:40 PM by Meclazine »

Death rate.

Officially 4,615 died and 67,003 recovered. The case fatality rate rose to 6.4%. This is the 3rd day in a row the case fatality rate has risen. I believe this is due to the fact that the total # under treatment is growing rapidly again, and deaths seem to happen quicker than recoveries.

In the USA, you have 38 deaths, and 15 recovered.

So what is the case fatality rate in the USA? 253%?

That version or formula is clearly not meaningful for this analysis.

https://www.britannica.com/science/case-fatality-rate

"Case fatality rate, also called case fatality ratio, in epidemiology, the proportion of people who die from a specified disease among all individuals diagnosed with the disease over a certain period of time. "

It's not the number of deaths over the number of recovered.

The only day when that would be accurate is after the virus has finished and there are no active cases remaining.

We talked about this on page 19.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
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« Reply #1403 on: March 11, 2020, 07:43:21 PM »

They say Biden can’t win the youth vote. Well Trump just sunk an entire semester down the toilet.

Biden will win the youth vote against Trump-any Democrat would. I think the argument more so has been that he would do worse than Sanders, and would experience lower turnout. Biden can remedy that defect by choosing a younger, more progressive running mate who could appeal to those voters, and to minority/female voters as well.

And what's important is how many votes he wins by. Winning the youth vote huge doesn't matter so much if turnout is low.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1404 on: March 11, 2020, 07:45:20 PM »

Please don't sidetrack this thread into discussing things like youth turnout in November.  There are about 600 threads in the 2020 board that are better places for stuff like that.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #1405 on: March 11, 2020, 07:47:50 PM »

They say Biden can’t win the youth vote. Well Trump just sunk an entire semester down the toilet.

Biden will win the youth vote against Trump-any Democrat would. I think the argument more so has been that he would do worse than Sanders, and would experience lower turnout. Biden can remedy that defect by choosing a younger, more progressive running mate who could appeal to those voters, and to minority/female voters as well.

And what's important is how many votes he wins by. Winning the youth vote huge doesn't matter so much if turnout is low.

Agreed. And it has to be kept in mind that Sanders himself has failed to produce the turnout in the primary that he's been promising-for reasons that aren't fully clear to me. So it is not a guarantee with any Democratic nominee. They will probably be better served by striving to energize turnout among minority-particularly black-voters and among suburbanites. Biden, because of his ties with Obama and his position as a center-left Democrat (which he has been throughout his entire political career), can accomplish this, and will be further aided if his running mate is not only younger and progressive but themselves also a minority.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #1406 on: March 11, 2020, 07:48:06 PM »

Please don't sidetrack this thread into discussing things like youth turnout in November.  There are about 600 threads in the 2020 board that are better places for stuff like that.

Sorry. I was trying to make a joke.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #1407 on: March 11, 2020, 07:48:31 PM »

Please don't sidetrack this thread into discussing things like youth turnout in November.  There are about 600 threads in the 2020 board that are better places for stuff like that.

I agree. I'll say no more about it. I made my last post after you had posted yours.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1408 on: March 11, 2020, 08:11:01 PM »

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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #1409 on: March 11, 2020, 08:12:45 PM »

If I have to endure 4 more years of this, cause you can't/won't hold your nose for Biden, I swear to god...
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Green Line
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« Reply #1410 on: March 11, 2020, 08:14:22 PM »

This is going to be a great depression.  What THE F?!  This makes no sense.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1411 on: March 11, 2020, 08:18:03 PM »

Tom Hanks and Rita Wilson both have contracted COVID-19

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Donald Trump’s Toupée
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« Reply #1412 on: March 11, 2020, 08:29:12 PM »
« Edited: March 11, 2020, 08:50:35 PM by Donald Trump’s Hair »

Precisely this. #EndtheHysteria

Best thing I have read.

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Torrain
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« Reply #1413 on: March 11, 2020, 08:31:04 PM »
« Edited: March 11, 2020, 08:36:16 PM by Torrain »

Tom Hanks and Rita Wilson both have contracted COVID-19



I’m sorry to hear that, diabetics tend to have a harder time, and Hanks has always seemed like a decent man.

Note: the Hanks are in Australia, not LA, for clarity.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1414 on: March 11, 2020, 08:31:41 PM »





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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1415 on: March 11, 2020, 08:39:51 PM »

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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
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« Reply #1416 on: March 11, 2020, 08:49:22 PM »

The problems in China and South Korea are starting to go away. This should peak sometime later this month, and we can hopefully slowly reintegrate into society in April.

I'd be careful about making those kinds of predictions, TG. 

We really can't know those kinds of things without sufficient data -- something that we don't have because of, amongst other things, a lack of a viable testing reagent. 

More importantly, if you're likely to get punished for having too many cases in your province, you have a strong incentive to underreport.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1417 on: March 11, 2020, 08:53:00 PM »



So it's OK for American citizens to bring the virus with them.
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Yank2133
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« Reply #1418 on: March 11, 2020, 08:56:01 PM »

If I have to endure 4 more years of this, cause you can't/won't hold your nose for Biden, I swear to god...

Hopefully, this will be the wake up call to some voters. Trump is wait out of his depth here.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #1419 on: March 11, 2020, 08:57:52 PM »

Dow futures down over 700 points atm.
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Torrain
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« Reply #1420 on: March 11, 2020, 09:03:18 PM »


So it's OK for American citizens to bring the virus with them.

It’s a double-edged sword. Trade will persist, and British Airways won’t collapse, but the odds are that US citizens will contribute to our local outbreak, which is coming along quite briskly as it is...
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #1421 on: March 11, 2020, 09:03:33 PM »

So when’s a good time to stack up on emergency food
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fluffypanther19
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« Reply #1422 on: March 11, 2020, 09:05:27 PM »

So when’s a good time to stack up on emergency food
. now. just went to a local walmart and they are literally running out of toilet paper. the toiletry aisle was like 75% empty
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The Dowager Mod
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« Reply #1423 on: March 11, 2020, 09:05:51 PM »

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fluffypanther19
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« Reply #1424 on: March 11, 2020, 09:07:00 PM »

this is getting crazy. this entire year so far has been crazy
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