COVID-19 Mega thread

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/McCormickJohn/status/1238098819226710016

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/JesseRodriguez/status/1238101106988847106

[Koharu]

For those wanting math explained, and those doubting the severity of this situation, please read this whole article. It's long, but it explains things in easy to digest ways.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

At what point does societal breakdown occur where people are mugging/murdering each other over toilet paper and such?

I'd say it's when hospitals have to start triaging patients wartime-style, so not far beyond where Italy is now. It's hard to overemphasize the potential threat of an overwhelmed medical system, far beyond just people dying from one specific disease.

Totally unrelated but Crumpets your sig has always been one of my favorites lol.

[GeorgiaModerate]

For those wanting math explained, and those doubting the severity of this situation, please read this whole article. It's long, but it explains things in easy to digest ways.

Long but terrific, clear and understandable.  Thank you for posting it.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

https://mobile.twitter.com/JakeSherman/status/1238093413242765314

[Sir Mohamed]

https://mobile.twitter.com/JakeSherman/status/1238093413242765314

How far have we come if it's not possible to have coordinated and NON-partisan response to a global health crisis like this? Seriously?

[GoTfan]

For those wanting math explained, and those doubting the severity of this situation, please read this whole article. It's long, but it explains things in easy to digest ways.

This whole thing has triggered a major flare-up in my anxiety and depression. I'm struggling to stay hpeful.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

https://mobile.twitter.com/JakeSherman/status/1238093413242765314

How far have we come if it's not possible to have coordinated and NON-partisan response to a global health crisis like this? Seriously?

The replies are just awful.  Some hoping KM and his family get wiped out by the virus, others applauding not giving into the Democrat hoax. 

Really, people?

[Middle-aged Europe]

https://mobile.twitter.com/JakeSherman/status/1238093413242765314

How far have we come if it's not possible to have coordinated and NON-partisan response to a global health crisis like this? Seriously?

In the current situation you should probably trust your state governments more than the federal government. If someone's going to pull the chestnuts out of the fire it will probably your governor.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

I do need some help with these kinds of figures. Many seemingly expert or reliable sources have suggested that anywhere between 30-80% of the overall population may expect to be infected even in a "positive" outcome where infections are spread out over a longer timeframe. How exactly does this tally with the figures out of South Korea and China that show infections on the decline or at least exhibiting slowing growth? Are they expected to stabilize at some level and remain there for an extended period?

This is quite simple: quoted figures about projected case numbers of proportion of the population likely to be infected are rough estimates for what one would expect for a new flu-like contagious respiratory infection against which there is no immunity in the population. Precisely because this is new, we don't actually know how accurate these assumptions are, but they are of the sort that it is best that public health authorities use as the grounding for their policies, even if they turn out not to be. Does that make sense?

We* know a remarkable amount about this virus considering how new it is, and that's a very good thing, but we still don't know much about it, precisely because it is so new. People who tell you otherwise are bluffers.

_{*Well, you and I don't, obviously. But relevant scientists do.}

[Catholics vs. Convicts]

https://mobile.twitter.com/JakeSherman/status/1238093413242765314

How far have we come if it's not possible to have coordinated and NON-partisan response to a global health crisis like this? Seriously?

Everything is partisan in 2020. Its hard to see how that will end any time soon.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

For those wanting math explained, and those doubting the severity of this situation, please read this whole article. It's long, but it explains things in easy to digest ways.

This whole thing has triggered a major flare-up in my anxiety and depression. I'm struggling to stay hpeful.

The article was written by the author of other noted classics in the field of epidemiology such as '8 Reasons Why Your Ad Attribution Approach Is Wrong' and 'What I Learned Building a Horoscope That Blew Up On Facebook'.

Anyway, if following this causing a major flare-up of serious mental health issues, then I would urge you to stop following this.

[Sir Mohamed]

A new study finds that warmer temperatures are unlikely to contain virus spread. Will have just a minor effect. The study has not officialy been published and verified, but from a credible source of American scientists.


Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the post-pandemic period

There is an urgent need to project how transmission of the novel betacoronavirus SARS-CoV-2 will unfold in coming years. These dynamics will depend on seasonality, the duration of immunity, and the strength of cross-immunity to/from the other human coronaviruses. Using data from the United States, we measured how these factors affect transmission of human betacoronaviruses HCoV-OC43 and HCoV-HKU1. We then built a mathematical model to simulate transmission of SARS-CoV-2 through the year 2025. We project that recurrent wintertime outbreaks of SARS-CoV-2 will probably occur after an initial pandemic wave. We summarize the full range of plausible transmission scenarios and identify key data still needed to distinguish between them, most importantly longitudinal serological studies to determine the duration of immunity to SARS-CoV-2.

[Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden]

The legislation, as it stands now, includes provisions for free testing for coronavirus, bolstering of unemployment insurance, paid medical leave for those out of work due to the disease and additional money to ensure children continue to get subsidized lunches if schools close.

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/03/12/kevin-mccarthy-republicans-to-oppose-democratic-coronavirus-bill-126962

Not even an explanation as to why Republicans are against this.  It's like they want to get slaughtered in November.

I mean, what even is their thought process here?  Killing people to own the libs?

[GeorgiaModerate]

The legislation, as it stands now, includes provisions for free testing for coronavirus, bolstering of unemployment insurance, paid medical leave for those out of work due to the disease and additional money to ensure children continue to get subsidized lunches if schools close.

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/03/12/kevin-mccarthy-republicans-to-oppose-democratic-coronavirus-bill-126962

Not even an explanation as to why Republicans are against this.  It's like they want to get slaughtered in November.

I mean, what even is their thought process here?  Killing people to own the libs?

Anything that might cost businesses money = bad.

[Torrain]

Scottish First Minister Nicola Sturgeon confirms that UK is moving from Containment to Delay phase of Coronavirus plan.

That means that sports matches, public assembly and school attendence could be under review.

Sturgeon jumped the gun, and held a press conference before the Prime Minister, so details are sketchy at the moment.

It's now expected that there will be significant transmission, it's just a question of how much we can 'flatten the curve'.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

https://mobile.twitter.com/JakeSherman/status/1238093413242765314

How far have we come if it's not possible to have coordinated and NON-partisan response to a global health crisis like this? Seriously?

♫♫♫♫
Everything is partisan in its own way
Like a starry summer night or a snow covered winter's day.
Ah, sing it Forum
Everybody's partisan in their own way
Under Trump's genius, corona gonna come and stay.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

The legislation, as it stands now, includes provisions for free testing for coronavirus, bolstering of unemployment insurance, paid medical leave for those out of work due to the disease and additional money to ensure children continue to get subsidized lunches if schools close.

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/03/12/kevin-mccarthy-republicans-to-oppose-democratic-coronavirus-bill-126962

Not even an explanation as to why Republicans are against this.  It's like they want to get slaughtered in November.

I mean, what even is their thought process here?  Killing people to own the libs?

Randian extremism. Next question.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Most college basketball conference tournaments are being canceled this morning.  I expect the NCAA tournament will follow suit shortly.

[Santander]

Most college basketball conference tournaments are being canceled this morning.  I expect the NCAA tournament will follow suit shortly.

Let's just give Louisville the title to make up for stealing their 2013 banner.

[Torrain]

Breaking: Trudeau is self-isolating

https://twitter.com/CameronAhmad/status/1238131151874732032?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw

[ilikeverin]

This feels like a Trump induced public health issue:

https://twitter.com/mmcintire/status/1238019976163995655?s=20

I was supposed to be over the Atlantic, heading east, at the time that Trump was making his announcement. I panicked the day before and cancelled. I am so glad!

[Santander]

I was supposed to be over the Atlantic, heading east, at the time that Trump was making his announcement. I panicked the day before and cancelled. I am so glad!

I was going to be in Paris for the weekend, and United would never kick me off a flight, but I'm glad I canceled, too.

[Gass3268]

WTF?

https://twitter.com/AnaCabrera/status/1238126303238410243?s=20