Who's going to qualify for the Democratic debates?

[Not Me, Us]

https://twitter.com/AndrewYangVFA/status/1105082002083119104
Yang is almost at 65,000.

That's actually pretty wild. Honestly, Yang is ahead of his time. 10 years from now, UBI will be a mainstream Democratic position.

[Mr. Morden]

We have a new Monmouth poll, but because of the DNC rule that your three qualifying polls for each candidate must be from different pollsters, and the last Monmouth poll already had a slew of candidates getting 1%, the only change it makes is increasing de Blasio from zero to one qualifying polls in which he's at 1% (again, leaving out people like Brown, who've already ruled out a run):

Biden 4
Harris 4
O’Rourke 4
Sanders 4
Warren 4
Booker 3
Klobuchar 3
———qualification line———
Buttigieg 2
Castro 2
Gabbard 2
Gillibrand 2
Bennet 1
Bullock 1
de Blasio 1
Delaney 1
Hickenlooper 1
Inslee 1
Yang 1

[UWS]

Biden, Sanders, Harris, Warren, O’Rourke, Booker, Klobuchar, Castro, Gillibrand and Hickenlooper.

[Former Crackhead Mike Lindell]

According to his website - Yang has hit 65,000 donors!

[Cold War Liberal]

I hope Buttigieg gets into the debates. I think he’d be a pretty good debater.

[Spiffy]

I hope Buttigieg gets into the debates. I think he’d be a pretty good debater.

Looks like he’s getting close. He raised about $600,000 from 22,000 people after his CNN town hall. That’s not including how many have already donated. We’ll have to see though.

[LabourJersey]

Do we know how many individual donations the other candidates have at this point? Or do we have to wait under after March 31 to find out how they did in the 1st quarter?

[Mr. Morden]

Do we know how many individual donations the other candidates have at this point? Or do we have to wait under after March 31 to find out how they did in the 1st quarter?

Even once the quarter ends, I don't think they're obligated to release their total number of unique donors in the public FEC documents.  Just the total $ raised and spent.  The number of unique donors is something that the candidates will release on their own initiative if and when they think it's advantageous to do so.

[Spiffy]

https://twitter.com/petebuttigieg/status/1105912069872848898?s=21

[Sestak]

So Yang and Pete both likely in the debates at this point.

Would be hilarious if they got in but Castro didn't.

[PaperKooper]

So we have:

Qualified on polling:
Biden
Harris
O’Rourke
Sanders
Warren
Booker
Klobuchar

Qualified on fundraising:
Yang

Current fundraising:
Buttigieg - 85%
Williamson - ~30% as of a week ago

I can't find anything about:
Castro
Gabbard - Twitter fundraising pleas imply she hasn't qualified yet, but it could just be marketing
Gillibrand
Delaney
Hickenlooper
Inslee
Messam

[QAnonKelly]

If the DNC wants to get serious about not having Trump's tax returns, they need to not let anyone on the debate stage until they've released ten years of returns themselves. There's still plenty of time but afaik Warren is the only one who's done it in the capacity of running for president. Some of the others have done it in their other offices' capacity. Put your money where your mouth is.

[NyIndy]

So we have:

Qualified on polling:
Biden
Harris
O’Rourke
Sanders
Warren
Booker
Klobuchar

Qualified on fundraising:
Yang

Current fundraising:
Buttigieg - 85%
Williamson - ~30% as of a week ago

I can't find anything about:
Castro
Gabbard - Twitter fundraising pleas imply she hasn't qualified yet, but it could just be marketing
Gillibrand
Delaney
Hickenlooper
Inslee
Messam

As for people who haven’t qualified yet, at least Pete, Gillibrand, and Hickenlooper are going to make it imo.

[Reluctant Republican]

https://twitter.com/bkamisar/status/1106254802105892864

[Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook]

I like how Biden is qualified and he still isn't officially running.

[Cold War Liberal]

YAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAS PETE

[Cold War Liberal]

Mayor Pete has apparently reached over 70,000 donors.

[Grassroots]

They better split it like the 2016 GOP debates.

[7,052,770]

They better split it like the 2016 GOP debates.

It is, but it's split randomly into 2 groups, rather than frontrunners and separate kid's table.

[Former Crackhead Mike Lindell]

It is, but it's split randomly into 2 groups, rather than frontrunners and separate kid's table.

It's absurd that we likely won't get all the frontrunners on stage together.

[7,052,770]

It is, but it's split randomly into 2 groups, rather than frontrunners and separate kid's table.

It's absurd that we likely won't get all the frontrunners on stage together.

I like it. I want the longshots to have their chance to be on equal footing with the "frontrunners."

[Cold War Liberal]

It is, but it's split randomly into 2 groups, rather than frontrunners and separate kid's table.

It's absurd that we likely won't get all the frontrunners on stage together.

I like it. I want the longshots to have their chance to be on equal footing with the "frontrunners."

[Mr. Morden]

Note that Buttigieg's fundraising counts even though he "only has an exploratory committee".  That's because any $ raised in an exploratory committee can just be rolled over into his "real campaign" once that launches, since exploratory committees *are* regular presidential campaigns with a different name slapped on them.  So the sense in which Buttigieg, Gillibrand, Weld, etc. "haven't really started their campaigns yet" is essentially a semantic fiction.

Also note that it took Buttigieg ~2 months to hit 65,000 donors, and it sounds like Delaney still hasn't hit that number despite having been in the race for years now.  Not sure how much we can extrapolate from that to assess how the other candidates are doing, but it's another indication that if, for example, Seth Moulton really does wait until May to announce his decision on whether to run, he's not going to have enough time to qualify for the June debate.  He presumably won't be able to raise $ that fast, and at the slow rate that we're getting polls (none of which are including Moulton yet) it's highly doubtful that he'll get in on the basis of polling either.

[7,052,770]

What are the chances that, assuming we don't have 20 qualify through the regular rules, that they waive the rules for current members of Congress to avoid embarrassing them?

Like I don't think they would bend the rules for Williamson, but they would probably give Delaney, Swalwell, or Moulton a spot if they have space for them.

[PaperKooper]

Qualified on polling:
Biden
Booker
Harris
Klobuchar
O’Rourke
Sanders
Warren

Qualified on fundraising:
Buttigieg
Yang

Has yet to qualify:
Delaney (1 qualifying poll) - Hasn't qualified yet, offering donations to charity for donations
Gabbard (2) - Twitter fundraising pleas imply she hasn't qualified yet, but it could just be marketing
Messam (0) - Definitely hasn't qualified yet (also not verified on twitter)
Williamson (0) - ~30% as of a week ago

I can't find anything about:
Castro (2)
Gillibrand (2)
Hickenlooper (1) - Rased $1M in 48 hours after launch
Inslee (1)

Hasn't formed exploratory committee, can't fundraise yet:
Bennet (1)
de Blasio (1)
Bullock (1)