Congressional Special Election (last call! unstickied after NY-27 final results)

[Gracile]

Mecklenburg is more than half in, and McCready's lead has been cut down to 16%. Bishop still leads overall. Bishop has the advantage.

[The Free North]

This is a district drawn by a cult for a cult so what a surprise that the cult is winning it. I wonder how many absentee ballots they stole this time.

We're all upset, but please don't do this.

Thanks.

[MT Treasurer]

More Robeson precincts came in, down to a 4-point lead for McCrory now. Was McCready +15 last November.

[Lisa's voting Biden]

Well I said it would be a 1-3 point McCready win. I was way wrong lol.

[DrScholl]

This is a district drawn by a cult for a cult so what a surprise that the cult is winning it. I wonder how many absentee ballots they stole this time.

We're all upset, but please don't do this.

Thanks.

I didn't do anything against the rules of the site. Any party that cheats and supports someone as President who is clearly unstable and a fraud isn't a political party anymore, it is a cult. I'm not upset, I'm just telling the truth.

Please don't chastise me, I'm not your child. Thanks.

[Nyvin]

A 2,558 vote margin is a lot to expect out of Mecklenburg....lol.   I think Bishop won.

Let's just try to remember - THIS IS NOT A SWING DISTRICT!   If results like this were replicated across the country Republicans would be losing in a landslide,  the GOP really doesn't have much to be happy about here either.

[swf541]

Looking at the vote changes, did the african american vote collapse or was just Harris a uniquely bad candidate?

[Bidenworth2020]

Am I the only one who still thinks McCready has an edge, especially after absentees?

[bagelman]

More Robeson precincts came in, down to a 4-point lead for McCrory now. Was McCready +15 last November.

Just as I feared. Is this Native turnout down? If not...why?!

[Lisa's voting Biden]

This is a district drawn by a cult for a cult so what a surprise that the cult is winning it. I wonder how many absentee ballots they stole this time.

We're all upset, but please don't do this.

Thanks.

I didn't do anything against the rules of the site. Any party that cheats and supports someone as President who is clearly unstable and a fraud isn't a political party anymore, it is a cult. I'm not upset, I'm just telling the truth.

Please don't chastise me, I'm not your child. Thanks.

Salt

[Thunder98]

My prediction of a 0.5% McCready win will most likely be wrong. lol

[Oryxslayer]

Looking at the vote changes, did the african american vote collapse or was just Harris a uniquely bad candidate?

'

Not really. If we end up having to write McReady's obituary, it will be because of turnout differentials and Robinson Lumbees:

https://twitter.com/JMilesColeman/status/1171601325592862721

[Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin]

Am I the only one who still thinks McCready has an edge, especially after absentees?

If Mecklenburg precincts are all identical, I think he wins by about 3,000 votes... but somehow I think his lead there is going to fall.

And there it goes, I think. Going to be close, though.

[Matty]

What on earth is going on with native American vote in age of trump??

[Gracile]

Mecklenburg is now 38/50 in, McCready is leading it by 7.5k (13.4%), Bishop is winning the district by about 3.3k.

[swf541]

Looking at the vote changes, did the african american vote collapse or was just Harris a uniquely bad candidate?

'

Not really. If we end up having to write McReady's obituary, it will be because of turnout differentials and Robinson Lumbees:

https://twitter.com/JMilesColeman/status/1171601325592862721

Thanks for the response, have not really followed this race, tbh i did not realize the native population was that significant

[Lisa's voting Biden]

Bishop now ahead by an even 2 points with 87% in.

[DrScholl]

This is a district drawn by a cult for a cult so what a surprise that the cult is winning it. I wonder how many absentee ballots they stole this time.

We're all upset, but please don't do this.

Thanks.

I didn't do anything against the rules of the site. Any party that cheats and supports someone as President who is clearly unstable and a fraud isn't a political party anymore, it is a cult. I'm not upset, I'm just telling the truth.

Please don't chastise me, I'm not your child. Thanks.

Salt

Who are you and what does that even mean?

I'm just making the point because some of you all will be posting that this races means that Trump is guaranteed to be re-elected. A Republican winning in a gerrymandered district is hardly an upset.

[OneJ]

What on earth is going on with native American vote in age of trump??

Uh...low turnout.

[cvparty]

wow robeson county voters are so edgy

[OBD]

Yeah Bishop definitely won. RIP.

[Storr]

What on earth is going on with native American vote in age of trump??

Lumbees are very racially mixed with whites and blacks. Culturally many are like rural whites, being protestant. They aren't like tribes out west.

[Lisa's voting Biden]

Robeson in 100%. McCready only carried it by 1.1%

[Gracile]

Robeson is in and McCready only won it 50.3-49.2 - way down from last year.

[Xing]

Well, looks like this is over, since the latest Mecklenburg dump actually netted Bishop a few thousand votes. Of course, this is about 10 points worse than Trump's performance, but Republicans can spin it as a win due to how they play the expectations game. I don't think McCready helped himself with a lot of his rhetoric about "the left" either...