🇩🇪 German elections (federal & EU level)

[Continential]

I am happy to see our dear friend, Tender Branson talking to us about German politics before he gets banned again.

[Antonio the Sixth]

According to the district results, the SPD looses votes in Lower Bavaria

It’s the Rio Grande Valley all over again.

The Democrats lost votes there last year to Trump.

for completely unrelated reasons...

Yes. I made a joke.

Sorry, it's hard to tell with all the unironic bad takes flying around here.

[Yeahsayyeah]

CSU won München-Ost by a margin of 11 per cent over the greens. The Bundestag is going to explode, because of the compensation seats.

How would the Bundestag going down to 250 direct seats impact future elections?

Less propability of overhang seats and though less compensation seats. The seat number of the Bundestag would probably go down. On the other hand, there would be more nivellation of local patterns, because of bigger districts.

[mileslunn]

Any chance Die Linke falls below 5% threshold thus not able to get top up seats?  Looks like it will be close.

[Sven der Igel]

The only real Rio Grande comparison that may be made is the SPD's seeming decline in Munich?

Bavarians and Upper Austrians don’t like the SPDÖs for some kind of reason.

Scholz gains a lot more elsewhere, like in the East.

hey tender ik it's you

I don’t know what you are talking about.

[parochial boy]

I'm wondering, seems likely - but based on that Berlin result, it could wind up being that the SPD does relatively "better" away from the city centres as those places move heavily towards the Greens. So will be interesting to see how results in the Kölns, Bremens etc... compare to the rest of the country

[Ethelberth]

Maximal number of seats is now about 6000.

[brucejoel99]

Any chance Die Linke falls below 5% threshold thus not able to get top up seats?  Looks like it will be close.

No, because they're winning their 3 direct constituencies, so they'll still be entitled to PR seats even if they fall below 5%.

[RGM2609]

But is Linke more likely to have 5% than not? Because it could still signal the end for them if they fail

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

Any chance Die Linke falls below 5% threshold thus not able to get top up seats?  Looks like it will be close.

I assume it's safe to say that the Linke is going to pass the 5% hurdle.
Even if they shouldn't, they are going to win three direct seats so that they will re-enter the Bundestag as a parliamentary faction.

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

Any chance Die Linke falls below 5% threshold thus not able to get top up seats?  Looks like it will be close.

They're only ahead In 2 atm

No, because they're winning their 3 direct constituencies, so they'll still be entitled to PR seats even if they fall below 5%.

[Logical]

Two more CDU->SPD flips
Ludwigshafen/Frankenthal
Harburg

[Clarko95 📚💰📈]

Berlin housing expropriation referendum currently leading with 57% 🤔🧐

[President Johnson]

Fun fact: CDU far right candidate Hans Georg Maaßen has lost his district by a ten point margin. And Karl Lauterbach (SPD) won with 45% in a landslide.

[brucejoel99]

Any chance Die Linke falls below 5% threshold thus not able to get top up seats?  Looks like it will be close.

No, because they're winning their 3 direct constituencies, so they'll still be entitled to PR seats even if they fall below 5%.

They're only ahead In 2 atm

Source? Haven't seen any update since:

DIE LINKE is currently ahead in Wahlkreis 84,86 and 153 (2 Berlin seats and 1 in Leipzig). Looks like they will make it even if they end up under the threshold.

[soundchaser]

Can anyone explain to me why Piraten is still a thing?

[Unbeatable Titan Susan Collins]

Any chance the free voters enter? Do they need to be at 5% nationally or in one state?

[Oryxslayer]

Apparently the SPD are gonna get 3 to 4 of the direct seats from Thuringia, and the Greens are gonna win 2 to 3 in Hamburg.

[Diouf]

Any chance Die Linke falls below 5% threshold thus not able to get top up seats?  Looks like it will be close.

They're only ahead In 2 atm

No, because they're winning their 3 direct constituencies, so they'll still be entitled to PR seats even if they fall below 5%.

Three.

https://wahlergebnis.leipzig.de/4/bt2021/14713000/praesentation/ergebnis.html?wahl_id=3&stimmentyp=0&id=ebene_-5_id_85

https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/wahlen/BU2021/AFSPRAES/ergebnisse_wahlkreis_86.html

https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/wahlen/BU2021/AFSPRAES/ergebnisse_wahlkreis_84.html

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

[Logical]

Any chance Die Linke falls below 5% threshold thus not able to get top up seats?  Looks like it will be close.

No, because they're winning their 3 direct constituencies, so they'll still be entitled to PR seats even if they fall below 5%.

They're only ahead In 2 atm

Source? Haven't seen any update since:

DIE LINKE is currently ahead in Wahlkreis 84,86 and 153 (2 Berlin seats and 1 in Leipzig). Looks like they will make it even if they end up under the threshold.

They're still ahead in all 3 with 80-90% of the vote in. I believe its safe to call it for them.

[Leading Political Consultant Ma Anand Sheela]

The Linke result is interesting, in that you have to wonder how much of it is Eastern pensioners voting for Scholz because he comes off as more post-communist than the actual post-communists, and how much of it is those pensioners, er, not voting for anyone. They have to be hoping that it's primarily the former, otherwise they have to start making up ground in the west real fast.

Anyway, pleased to see the best SPD result in over a decade!

[Panhandle Progressive]

https://twitter.com/ElectsWorld/status/1442220391393542146

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

CSU won München-Ost by a margin of 11 per cent over the greens. The Bundestag is going to explode, because of the compensation seats.

How would the Bundestag going down to 250 direct seats impact future elections?

Less propability of overhang seats and though less compensation seats. The seat number of the Bundestag would probably go down. On the other hand, there would be more nivellation of local patterns, because of bigger districts.

Do you mean "levelling out" (a.k.a become more stable)?

[NOVA Green]

Did 37: Luchow-Dannenberg-Luneburg just flip in Niedersachen to SPD?