Trump approval ratings thread, 1.4

[KingSweden]

Suffolk:

40/56

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/2018/08/29/poll-trump-should-agree-mueller-questions-after-michael-cohen-guilty-plea/1127837002/

For comparison, the last USA Today/Suffolk poll (June) was 43/51.

So from -8 to -16

Yeah.  One thing to keep in mind, though, is that the previous poll was in the midst of Trump's brief North Korea bump.

Ah true. Good point.

[windjammer]

Suffolk:

40/56

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/2018/08/29/poll-trump-should-agree-mueller-questions-after-michael-cohen-guilty-plea/1127837002/

I think Trump would need to be in the mid to upper 30's for the democrats to take the senate. So that's encouraging but not enough.

[GeorgiaModerate]

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[Wisconsin SC Race 2019]

Suffolk:

40/56

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/2018/08/29/poll-trump-should-agree-mueller-questions-after-michael-cohen-guilty-plea/1127837002/

I think Trump would need to be in the mid to upper 30's for the democrats to take the senate. So that's encouraging but not enough.

Yep, pitiful numbers for the Dems, but not a shocker really as DJT seems immune to any bad news outside of Russia/Healthcare.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

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[/quote

Trump got an impressive 70% disapproval amongst 18-29 year olds.

[Thank you for being a friend...]

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[/quote

Trump got an impressive 70% disapproval amongst 18-29 year olds.

That's the most important number.  70% disapprove under 30.  That should terrify a Republican strategist.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Pennsylvania: Franklin & Marshall College, Aug. 20-26, 511 registered voters (change from June)

How would you rate the way that Donald Trump is handling his job as president?

Excellent 18 (+1)
Good 20 (+2)
Fair 10 (-3)
Poor 52 (nc)

[pbrower2a]

Pennsylvania: Franklin & Marshall College, Aug. 20-26, 511 registered voters (change from June)

How would you rate the way that Donald Trump is handling his job as president?

Excellent 18 (+1)
Good 20 (+2)
Fair 10 (-3)
Poor 52 (nc)

The excellent + good category is roughly the same as the most recent poll that anyone has taken of Pennsylvania for approval, and "poor" is very close to "strong disapproval". The word "fair" has ambiguity; you might be amazed at a 'fair' performance of a 7-year-old violinist or pianist, but you would be extremely disappointed to pay good money and hear only a 'fair' violinist or pianist. I am not sure that I can quite compare the Presidency to a concert performance, a stage act, or an athletic event.  

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/amyewalter/status/1035156391881834496

https://twitter.com/amyewalter/status/1035156790227464193

https://twitter.com/amyewalter/status/1035157090623545345

[KingSweden]

Interesting thread!

[pbrower2a]

I'm guessing that evangelical Christians are disproportionately represented among voters without college degrees. Evangelical Christianity looks hostile to college education in contrast to mainline Protestants and to Roman Catholics. People who can believe that the Earth was created in six literal days about 6000 years ago and that there was a literal worldwide flood are not likely to have much academic curiosity. If they attend post-secondary education, then it is eather strictly vocational in purpose or it is likely to end in a quick flunk-out.

[Sir Mohamed]

A big deal how they sell out to this clown in return for a few judges.

[pbrower2a]

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Trump got an impressive 70% disapproval amongst 18-29 year olds.

It's as if we have the six-year itch of a two-term Presidency in the second year. The sixth year corresponds to wave years for the opposing party -- Republicans enduring huge losses in the House and Senate in 1974 and  losing both Houses in 2006, and Democrats losing the Senate in 2014 before America became a near-single-Party dictatorship in 2016.

Maybe it is Republicans acting as if Democrats have no relevancy that rushes a Democratic wave in 2018.

[Person Man]

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Trump got an impressive 70% disapproval amongst 18-29 year olds.

It's as if we have the six-year itch of a two-term Presidency in the second year. The sixth year corresponds to wave years for the opposing party -- Republicans enduring huge losses in the House and Senate in 1974 and  losing both Houses in 2006, and Democrats losing the Senate in 2014 before America became a near-single-Party dictatorship in 2016.

Maybe it is Republicans acting as if Democrats have no relevancy that rushes a Democratic wave in 2018.

Ironically, Clinton whether the six year itch and almost go the Senate back. Even Reagan lost the Senate in 1986.

[GeorgiaModerate]

SurveyMonkey weekly tracker, Aug. 23-29, 14089 adults including 12261 registered voters

Among all adults:

Approve 44 (nc)
Disapprove 55 (+1)

Strongly approve 26 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 44  (+1)

Among RV:

Approve 45 (+1)
Disapprove 55 (nc)

Strongly approve 29 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 46 (+1)

This poll has been extremely stable, staying within a very narrow range since at least April.

[junior chįmp]

The bell tolls for the GOP (and Trump):

https://twitter.com/evansiegfried/status/1035200370346287104

https://twitter.com/evansiegfried/status/1035205969243004928

https://twitter.com/evansiegfried/status/1035208739270402048

NBC millennial poll survey

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

But... Candace Owens and Charlie Kirk said...

[GeorgiaModerate]

Florida: PPP, Aug. 29-30, 743 voters

Approve 46
Disapprove 49

[pbrower2a]

Florida: PPP, Aug. 29-30, 743 voters

Approve 46
Disapprove 49

Not much wiggle room there for the President. Governor Rick Scott behind despite using so much money? Interesting.

[BlueSwan]

I'm guessing that evangelical Christians are disproportionately represented among voters without college degrees. Evangelical Christianity looks hostile to college education in contrast to mainline Protestants and to Roman Catholics. People who can believe that the Earth was created in six literal days about 6000 years ago and that there was a literal worldwide flood are not likely to have much academic curiosity. If they attend post-secondary education, then it is eather strictly vocational in purpose or it is likely to end in a quick flunk-out.

That's being very polite about it! ;-)

[pbrower2a]

West Virginia, Harper:

Focus is on the US Senate race, and Manchin is up 47-41.

Trump approval 63 to 36.

https://www.scribd.com/document/387422578/WV-Sen-Harper-Polling-R-for-35th-State-August-2018

[Devout Centrist]

2024 will be the watershed year. Once kids who came of age during Trump can vote, the floodgates will finally open.

[KingSweden]

Those are bad long term numbers for the GOP

[Beet]

2024 will be the watershed year. Once kids who came of age during Trump can vote, the floodgates will finally open.

Already conceding 2020? Most kids who are coming of age now (under age 16) are Trump supporters, just like their parents and grandparents.

[BudgieForce]

2024 will be the watershed year. Once kids who came of age during Trump can vote, the floodgates will finally open.

Already conceding 2020? Most kids who are coming of age now (under age 16) are Trump supporters, just like their parents and grandparents.

Sure, Jan.