CPRM, Pt 3: LA 11/6

[Pyro]

NYT calls it for Cuomo

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION:

Attorney General

Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Letitia James
213,823   49.7%
Zephyr Teachout
127,013   29.5
Sean Patrick Maloney
80,031   18.6
Leecia Eve
9,726   2.3
430,593 votes, 26% reporting (3,863 of 15,083 precincts)

[ON Progressive]

I wanted Teachout to win badly. At least Maloney didn't win, so that's a compensation.

[Devout Centrist]

I wish the VRA of '65 had applied to New York. Too bad Shelby v. Holder eviscerated it. This is a joke.

Felder is up 54-46, and gaining. 43% in.

I wouldn't be shocked if some on the court went the other way in that circumstance then and said the VRA applied to religious minorities as well, specifically to protect people like Simcha Felder and Dov Hikind.

I specifically meant the special provisions regarding preclearance. NYC used to be in this category at the county level, but not the rest of New York.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION:

17 Dem.   63%Simcha Felder (IDC)*   37%Blake Morris (Progressive)

[Sestak]

DID EVERYONE FORGET WHAT "CPRM" STOOD FOR OR WHAT BOARD THIS IS?

[Holmes]

DID EVERYONE FORGET WHAT "CPRM" STOOD FOR OR WHAT BOARD THIS IS?

Is it that big of a deal?

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

DID EVERYONE FORGET WHAT "CPRM" STOOD FOR OR WHAT BOARD THIS IS?

No congressional primaries tonight, the title itself even says "state elections".

WULFRIC PROJECTION:

13 Dem.   56%Jessica Ramos (Progressive)   44%Jose Peralta* (IDC)

1-1 for the IDC so far, with 7 races uncalled.

[Nyvin]

Savino and Felder are pretty safe to win.    Hamilton, Alcantara, Carlucci, and Peralta have all pretty much lost.

Avella and Klein still too close,  Valesky is quite a bit behind, but not impossible to catch up.

These are the 8 IDC members and Felder btw.

[Adam Griffin]

They just called SD18 for Salazar.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

A solid win for the IDC:

23 Dem.   67%Diane Savino (IDC)*    21%Jasmine Robinson (Progressive)

2-1 IDC.

[Florida Man for Crime]

Good to see most IDC seemingly going down.

[Oryxslayer]

State of IDC:

11, 13, 17, 20, 23, 31, 34, 38 and 53.

11: 52% Liu, 48% Avella* 81% in
13: 56% Ramos, 44% Peralta* 76% in
17: 61% Felder*, 39% Morris, 74% in
20: 56% Myrie, 44% Hamilton*, 77%
23: 67% Savino*, 21% Robinson, 79% in
31: 56% Jackson, 38% Alcantara*, 64% in
34: 51% Biaggi, 49% Klein*, 67% in
38: 60% Goldberg, 40% Carlucci* 2% in
53: 53% May, 47% Valesky*, 10% in

IDC*, Victor

Basically, they are all getting wreaked, even as the progressives die at the top of ticket.

[Adam Griffin]

Fun fact: what's left in Erie County (and based on Hochul's 80/20 margin there right now; assuming that holds) would be just enough to put her back in the lead w/o any other votes being counted. Upstate tends to be going her way and there's not too terribly much left in NYC relatively speaking (and what is remaining - actually now that I'm looking at it - probably leans toward Williams)...and there's of course Long Island + Westchester, which she'll probably carry by 10+ points.

Hochul probably pulls it off but I don't think the margin will be much larger for either candidate than it is right now (4-5 points).

[Virginiá]

It's ok. This thread's purpose is basically finished, so New York state election discussion is fine as far as I am concerned.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

31 Dem.   56%Robert Jackson (Progressive)   38%Marisol Alcantara (IDC)*

2-2 now.

[Brittain33]

DID EVERYONE FORGET WHAT "CPRM" STOOD FOR OR WHAT BOARD THIS IS?

I moderate the board and if you put a gun to my head I couldn't tell you what CPRM stands for.

In any case, this is the last primary night before Election Day and this board gets more traffic than the Gubernatorial/Statewide forum, so I don't see any harm.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

20 Dem.   56% Zellnor Myrie (Progressive)   44%Jesse Hamilton (IDC)*

3-2 Progressive.

[Adam Griffin]

DID EVERYONE FORGET WHAT "CPRM" STOOD FOR OR WHAT BOARD THIS IS?

Yeah, for whatever reason, every primary night, the discussion for all races happens on this board - even when there are no congressional races. I suppose it's because there are no specific dedicated threads (other than the state megathreads) consistently on the gubernatorial/statewide boards, but...it would obviously make sense for them to occur on the statewide board given that can cover everything.

Just a bad habit that developed that has become tradition, I suppose.

[Sestak]

Yeah, ok, apologies. I think I just got frustrated when I realized I had been looking at the wrong thread (the Nixon one) for like an hour.

[Adam Griffin]

Maybe it's the sample (only 10% in), but Cuomo is actually doing worse in Erie County than he is statewide...

[Nyvin]

Here's the IDC members and their districts with 2016 Pres numbers:




(Courtesy of DKE)

[Adam Griffin]

~600 precincts in Williams-won NYC boroughs outstanding that he's thus far won by 20 points, and ~600 precincts in Hochul-won boroughs outstanding that she's thus far won by 10 points.

With Syracuse, Buffalo, Albany, Westchester & Long Island mostly all outstanding, I don't see how Hochul loses.

FYI: Williams' margin is now down to 2 points.

[Virginiá]

DID EVERYONE FORGET WHAT "CPRM" STOOD FOR OR WHAT BOARD THIS IS?

I moderate the board and if you put a gun to my head I couldn't tell you what CPRM stands for.

In any case, this is the last primary night before Election Day and this board gets more traffic than the Gubernatorial/Statewide forum, so I don't see any harm.

best guess: Congressional Primary Results Megathread

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

YUGE win for the progressives, seriously rofl:

38 Dem.   69%Julie Goldberg (Progressive)    31%David Carlucci (IDC)*

4-2 Progressive.