CPRM, Pt 3: LA 11/6
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Author Topic: CPRM, Pt 3: LA 11/6  (Read 118035 times)
Gass3268
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« on: June 27, 2018, 09:59:32 AM »
« edited: September 17, 2018, 10:47:38 AM by Gass3268 »
2018 Congressional Primary Calendar (Poll Closing Times - Eastern Time):

Texas: Mar 6 (8:00 PM | 9:00 PM)

Illinois: March 20 (8:00 PM)

Indiana: May 8 (6:00 PM | 7:00 PM)
North Carolina: May 8 (7:30 PM)
Ohio: May 8 (7:30 PM)
West Virginia: May 8 (7:30 PM)

Idaho: May 15 (10:00 PM | 11:00 PM)
Nebraska: May 15 (9:00 PM)
Oregon: May 15 (10:00 PM | 11:00 PM)
Pennsylvania: May 15 (8:00 PM)

Arkansas: May 22 (8:30 PM)
Georgia: May 22 (7:00 PM)
Kentucky: May 22 (6:00 PM | 7:00 PM)
Texas (Runoff): May 22 (8:00 PM | 9:00 PM)

Alabama: June 5 (8:00 PM)
California: June 5 (11:00 PM)
Iowa: June 5 (10:00 PM)
Mississippi: June 5 (8:00 PM)
Montana: June 5 (10:00 PM)
New Jersey: June 5 (8:00 PM)
New Mexico: June 5 (9:00 PM)
South Dakota: June 5 (8:00 PM | 9:00 PM)

Maine: June 12 (8:00 PM)
Nevada: June 12 (10:00 PM)
North Dakota: June 12 (10:00 PM | 11:00 PM)
South Carolina: June 12 (7:00 PM)
Virginia: June 12 (7:00 PM)

Arkansas (Runoff): June 19 (8:30 PM)
District of Columbia: June 19 (8:00 PM)

Colorado: June 26 (9:00 PM)
Maryland: June 26 (8:00 PM)
Mississippi (Runoff): June 26 (8:00 PM)
New York: June 26 (9:00 PM)
Oklahoma: June 26 (8:00 PM)
South Carolina (Runoff): June 26 (7:00 PM)
Utah: June 26 (10:00 PM)

Alabama (Runoff): July 17 (8:00 PM)

Georgia (Runoff): July 24 (7:00 PM)

Tennessee: Aug. 2 (Thursday) (8:00 PM)

Kansas: Aug. 7 (8:00 | 9:00 PM)
Michigan: Aug. 7 (8:00 | 9:00 PM)
Missouri: Aug. 7 (8:00 PM)
Washington: Aug. 7 (11:00 PM)

Hawaii: Aug. 11 (Saturday) (12:00 AM)

Connecticut: Aug. 14 (8:00 PM)
Minnesota: Aug. 14 (9:00 PM)
Vermont: Aug. 14 (7:00 PM)
Wisconsin: Aug. 14 (9:00 PM)

Alaska: Aug. 21 (12:00 AM | 1:00 AM)
Wyoming: Aug. 21 (9:00 PM)

Arizona: Aug. 28 (10:00 PM)
Florida: Aug. 28 (7:00 | 8:00 PM)
Oklahoma (Runoff): Aug. 28 (8:00 PM)

Massachusetts: Sept. 4 (8:00 PM)

Delaware: Sept. 6 (Thursday) (8:00 PM)

New Hampshire: Sept. 11 (8:00 PM)

Rhode Island: Sept. 12 (Wednesday) (8:00 PM)

New York (State Elections): Sept. 13 (Thursday) (9:00 PM)

Louisiana: Nov. 6 (9:00 PM)

Louisiana (Runoff): Dec. 8 (9:00 PM)

Link To New York Times Results Page

CPRM, Pt 1
CPRM, Pt 2
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Golden State Guy
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« Reply #1 on: June 27, 2018, 10:08:47 AM »
Quote from: Stirring Wolf🥣🐺 on June 27, 2018, 10:06:59 AM
It's crazy how dead of a month July is for primaries.  Only a few run-offs.
Only races to watch are AL-02 runoff, GA-GOV runoff, GA-06 runoff and GA-07 runoff.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #2 on: June 27, 2018, 10:11:43 AM »
Quote from: Stirring Wolf🥣🐺 on June 27, 2018, 10:06:59 AM
It's crazy how dead of a month July is for primaries.  Only a few run-offs.

There's always Mexico if you need to sate your electoral appetite.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #3 on: June 27, 2018, 10:42:50 AM »
July is a dry mnth, immigration has a role to play, but it will be downplayed
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #4 on: June 27, 2018, 01:50:33 PM »
WULFRIC PROJECTION - FINISHING UP CO:

Treasurer - R
Counties Reporting: 99 % PercentageVotes
Justin Everett36.94%160,271
Polly Lawrence25.08%108,799
Brian Watson37.98%164,746
433,816

That concludes this set of primaries.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #5 on: June 27, 2018, 07:44:06 PM »
August 14 is my birthday. I hope for good things out of Connecticut, Minnesota, and Wisconsin.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #6 on: June 27, 2018, 07:59:41 PM »
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on June 27, 2018, 07:44:06 PM
August 14 is my birthday. I hope for good things out of Connecticut, Minnesota, and Wisconsin.

We'll send you a lobster roll, some lutefisk, and a case of beer. Wink
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #7 on: June 28, 2018, 12:45:03 AM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on June 27, 2018, 07:59:41 PM
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on June 27, 2018, 07:44:06 PM
August 14 is my birthday. I hope for good things out of Connecticut, Minnesota, and Wisconsin.

We'll send you a lobster roll, some lutefisk, and a case of beer. Wink

Eat the lobster, drink the beer, and set the lutefisk on fire.
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Lachi
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« Reply #8 on: June 28, 2018, 10:41:24 PM »
Holy sh**t, they're STILL counting in CA?!
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Skunk
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« Reply #9 on: June 28, 2018, 11:01:19 PM »
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on June 27, 2018, 07:44:06 PM
August 14 is my birthday. I hope for good things out of Connecticut, Minnesota, and Wisconsin.
Oh hey our birthdays are only a day apart. Tongue
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #10 on: June 29, 2018, 04:59:37 AM »
Quote from: Fmr. Lincoln Gov. Lok on June 28, 2018, 10:41:24 PM
Holy sh**t, they're STILL counting in CA?!

It's almost done. Those results might always be final.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #11 on: June 29, 2018, 06:49:27 PM »
Quote from: The Unbearable Invicibility of Hillary Clinton on June 28, 2018, 12:45:03 AM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on June 27, 2018, 07:59:41 PM
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on June 27, 2018, 07:44:06 PM
August 14 is my birthday. I hope for good things out of Connecticut, Minnesota, and Wisconsin.

We'll send you a lobster roll, some lutefisk, and a case of beer. Wink

Eat the lobster, drink the beer, and set the lutefisk on fire.

Haha sounds good. Though I actually don't drink alcohol. I'll substitute the beer for some Wisconsin cheese curds. By the way, lutefisk is made with lye isn't it? Wouldn't that make it volatile if it were to be set on fire? I'm no chemist, so I'm not totally sure but it just sounds like something that could happen.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #12 on: July 09, 2018, 04:34:37 AM »
So are the California results basically official now?
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wesmoorenerd
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« Reply #13 on: July 09, 2018, 04:43:58 AM »
Quote from: SHO MI YOWA BUREIV HAAT on July 09, 2018, 04:34:37 AM
So are the California results basically official now?

Pretty much, according to the Secretary of State website they finished processing the last ballots three days ago.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #14 on: July 10, 2018, 06:36:58 AM »
Then here are some numbers!


Governor
Democrats: 62.51% (+1.16 from ED results)
Republicans: 36.17% (-1.21)
Others: 1.31% (+0.05)

The 26.34% Democratic margin is actually a Republican swing from 2016's PVI, by 1.56 points, although it's still a 7.11-point Democratic swing from 2012.


Senate
Democrats: 63.45% (+1.41)
Republicans: 33.22% (-1.44)
Others: 3.33% (+0.03)

The 30.22% margin is a +2.32 swing for Democrats from 2016, and a +10.99 swing from 2012.


House races

Democratic margin and swing from 2012 and 2016 for the 10 potentially competitive districts (including some longshots):
CA-7: 6.53% (+6.45% from 2012, -2.88% from 2016)
CA-10: -4.21% (-3.95% from 2012, -5.08% from 2016)
CA-21 : -25.64% (-32.88% from 2012, -39.18% from 2016)
CA-22: -17.36% (+1.50% from 2012, -5.75% from 2016)
CA-25: -3.70% (+1.97% from 2012, -8.32% from 2016)
CA-36: 10.06% (+10.75% from 2012, +3.38% from 2016)
CA-39: -8.41% (-0.89% from 2012, -14.96% from 2016)
CA-45: -5.59% (+10.02% from 2012, -8.96% from 2016)
CA-48: -7.04% (+8.50% from 2012, -6.67% from 2016)
CA-49: 2.99% (+13.44% from 2012, -2.42% from 2016)

So it looks like all Dem incumbents are safe (I know, duh), Levin seems favored in CA-49, and CA-10 and CA-25 seems like Democrats' best bets for further pickups in the State (so much for MUH ORANGE COUNTY!!! being decisive). Valadao still did absurdly well given his district, but I guess low Hispanic turnout explains at least part of it. Nunes is also safe (again, I know, duh). CA-39 is particularly disappointing given that the D-R margin is even worse than it should be based on 2012 numbers. Generally speaking, Hillary's performance in 2016 seems to have been something of an anomaly, although some gains have consolidated.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #15 on: July 16, 2018, 12:57:53 AM »
CA primary results were made official and certified on Friday:

http://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/prior-elections/statewide-election-results/statewide-direct-primary-june-5-2018/statement-vote
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Alabama_Indy10
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« Reply #16 on: July 17, 2018, 10:02:28 AM »
Just got home from voting. Turnout looks very low. I was number 13 at my precinct. Was number 38 in the primary and voted at the same time.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #17 on: July 17, 2018, 04:17:39 PM »
Quote from: Alabama_Indy10 on July 17, 2018, 10:02:28 AM
Just got home from voting. Turnout looks very low. I was number 13 at my precinct. Was number 38 in the primary and voted at the same time.

Which district do you live in?
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Yellowhammer
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« Reply #18 on: July 17, 2018, 04:27:28 PM »
Quote from: Alabama_Indy10 on July 17, 2018, 10:02:28 AM
Just got home from voting. Turnout looks very low. I was number 13 at my precinct. Was number 38 in the primary and voted at the same time.
Wasn't turnout for the runoff like 4% or something ridiculously low in 2014?
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Alabama_Indy10
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« Reply #19 on: July 17, 2018, 04:38:40 PM »
Quote from: Yellowhammer on July 17, 2018, 04:27:28 PM
Quote from: Alabama_Indy10 on July 17, 2018, 10:02:28 AM
Just got home from voting. Turnout looks very low. I was number 13 at my precinct. Was number 38 in the primary and voted at the same time.
Wasn't turnout for the runoff like 4% or something ridiculously low in 2014?
I don't remember exactly what it was but I'm pretty sure it was below 10%. Which is pretty ridiculous.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #20 on: July 17, 2018, 07:03:37 PM »
Quote from: Alabama_Indy10 on July 17, 2018, 04:38:40 PM
Quote from: Yellowhammer on July 17, 2018, 04:27:28 PM
Quote from: Alabama_Indy10 on July 17, 2018, 10:02:28 AM
Just got home from voting. Turnout looks very low. I was number 13 at my precinct. Was number 38 in the primary and voted at the same time.
Wasn't turnout for the runoff like 4% or something ridiculously low in 2014?
I don't remember exactly what it was but I'm pretty sure it was below 10%. Which is pretty ridiculous.

Who did you vote for?
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
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« Reply #21 on: July 17, 2018, 07:05:19 PM »
Not congressional, but here's a link to the LG/AG runoff results since I can't find it anywhere else.

LG - http://data.montgomeryadvertiser.com/election-results/race/al-lieutenant-governor--gop-runoff/20180717AL1022/

AG - http://data.montgomeryadvertiser.com/election-results/race/al-attorney-general--gop-runoff/20180717AL2031/
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Gass3268
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« Reply #22 on: July 17, 2018, 07:06:23 PM »
I hear there was rain in NoAL-02, RIP... I see myself out.
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Alabama_Indy10
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« Reply #23 on: July 17, 2018, 07:12:05 PM »
Quote from: Bagel23 on July 17, 2018, 07:03:37 PM
Quote from: Alabama_Indy10 on July 17, 2018, 04:38:40 PM
Quote from: Yellowhammer on July 17, 2018, 04:27:28 PM
Quote from: Alabama_Indy10 on July 17, 2018, 10:02:28 AM
Just got home from voting. Turnout looks very low. I was number 13 at my precinct. Was number 38 in the primary and voted at the same time.
Wasn't turnout for the runoff like 4% or something ridiculously low in 2014?
I don't remember exactly what it was but I'm pretty sure it was below 10%. Which is pretty ridiculous.

Who did you vote for?

Ainsworth for LG, King for AG, Pate for Ag Commissioner..
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IceSpear
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« Reply #24 on: July 17, 2018, 07:16:50 PM »
I hope Roby crushes the turncoat Nancy Pelosi voter. Smiley
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