CPRM, Pt 2: AL (RO) 7/17; GA (RO) 7/24; TN 8/2; 274K ballots left in CA
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  CPRM, Pt 2: AL (RO) 7/17; GA (RO) 7/24; TN 8/2; 274K ballots left in CA		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: CPRM, Pt 2: AL (RO) 7/17; GA (RO) 7/24; TN 8/2; 274K ballots left in CA  (Read 108126 times)
YE
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« Reply #750 on: June 06, 2018, 10:32:57 AM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on June 06, 2018, 08:36:26 AM
Have I mentioned how good Dave Weigel is?



Why on earth would a dime be spent by anything other than the two candidates for a D vs D runoff?
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KingSweden
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« Reply #751 on: June 06, 2018, 10:33:56 AM »
Quote from: YE on June 06, 2018, 10:32:57 AM
Quote from: Gass3268 on June 06, 2018, 08:36:26 AM
Have I mentioned how good Dave Weigel is?



Why on earth would a dime be spent by anything other than the two candidates for a D vs D runoff?

Labor (not without reason) despises AV
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #752 on: June 06, 2018, 10:35:50 AM »
Aja Brown still came second in CA-44. The transphobic nutcase came third.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #753 on: June 06, 2018, 10:48:02 AM »
Does anyone remember what time we should know the remaining number ballots per county?
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RFK Jr.’s Brain Worm
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« Reply #754 on: June 06, 2018, 10:57:27 AM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on June 06, 2018, 10:48:02 AM
Does anyone remember what time we should know the remaining number ballots per county?

Ballots have until Friday to come in, but I'm sure that some other will have been counted by then.
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nerd73
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« Reply #755 on: June 06, 2018, 11:02:09 AM »
So, what are the seats with no Democratic challengers currently? I know NC-3 doesn't have one.
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YE
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« Reply #756 on: June 06, 2018, 11:05:30 AM »
In semi-unrelated news,
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Politician
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« Reply #757 on: June 06, 2018, 11:06:45 AM »
Quote from: YE on June 06, 2018, 11:05:30 AM
In semi-unrelated news,


Good riddance.
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Alabama_Indy10
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« Reply #758 on: June 06, 2018, 11:12:25 AM »
Quote from: Alabama_Indy10 on June 04, 2018, 10:56:12 PM
Quote from: KingSweden on June 04, 2018, 02:10:37 PM
Quote from: Alabama_Indy10 on June 01, 2018, 03:40:41 PM
Quote from: Doctor Imperialism on May 31, 2018, 05:29:53 PM
Quote from: VPH on May 31, 2018, 05:13:57 PM
I'll be interested to see who wins the AL-GOV Democratic primary. Sue Bell Cobb has the advantage of having been elected statewide and has staked out a more moderate position, while Maddox is younger, more dynamic, and a little more liberal.

Maddox, I think. He'll have a Jones-esque coalition behind him, and it's not like there are many rural, white Alabama Democrats for Cobb to turn out.

Most of the Democrats I know (rural whites) are supporting Maddox. I know very few people who are voting for Cobb

If you had to guess - how much does Maddox beat Cobb by?

I'm not entirely sure.. It's hard to get a good read on the race. If it's pretty close, it could end up in a runoff with Fields taking a small amount of the vote. Going out on a limb, I say Maddox will get around 54%

Not too bad.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #759 on: June 06, 2018, 11:23:26 AM »
What is Young Kim like? Is she moderate?
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #760 on: June 06, 2018, 11:29:19 AM »
Republicans likely to hold their leads in 6 out of the 7 Clinton seats even with late ballots -->
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Holy Unifying Centrist
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« Reply #761 on: June 06, 2018, 11:30:24 AM »
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on June 06, 2018, 11:23:26 AM
What is Young Kim like? Is she moderate?

Yes. I support her over Cisneros
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #762 on: June 06, 2018, 11:34:07 AM »

Can you elaborate?
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #763 on: June 06, 2018, 11:38:25 AM »
« Edited: June 06, 2018, 12:17:37 PM by Brittain33 »

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/no-democrats-haven-t-shown-they-re-going-win-house-n880516

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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #764 on: June 06, 2018, 11:40:04 AM »
Quote from: LimoLiberal on June 06, 2018, 11:38:25 AM
Correct and potentially devastating take -->

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/no-democrats-haven-t-shown-they-re-going-win-house-n880516

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I now view the chance of a Democratic flip of the House as less than 30% in my mind. Absolutely no sign that they are replicating Clinton numbers in wealthy, minority heavy, suburban districts that they need to flip.

I can't wait until you promise to leave this forum if Democrats take the House and then less than 24 hours after the election you break that promise.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #765 on: June 06, 2018, 11:41:07 AM »
Quote from: LimoLiberal on June 06, 2018, 11:38:25 AM
Correct and potentially devastating take -->

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/no-democrats-haven-t-shown-they-re-going-win-house-n880516

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I now view the chance of a Democratic flip of the House as less than 30% in my mind. Absolutely no sign that they are replicating Clinton numbers in wealthy, minority heavy, suburban districts that they need to flip.

Another embarrassing #hottake. There are still millions of left leaning votes left to be counted. 
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #766 on: June 06, 2018, 11:42:13 AM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on June 06, 2018, 11:41:07 AM
Quote from: LimoLiberal on June 06, 2018, 11:38:25 AM
Correct and potentially devastating take -->

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/no-democrats-haven-t-shown-they-re-going-win-house-n880516

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I now view the chance of a Democratic flip of the House as less than 30% in my mind. Absolutely no sign that they are replicating Clinton numbers in wealthy, minority heavy, suburban districts that they need to flip.

Another embarrassing #hottake. There are still millions of left leaning votes left to be counted. 

What is with these "pundits" and their knee-jerk reactions to results?
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Gass3268
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« Reply #767 on: June 06, 2018, 11:44:19 AM »
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on June 06, 2018, 11:42:13 AM
Quote from: Gass3268 on June 06, 2018, 11:41:07 AM
Quote from: LimoLiberal on June 06, 2018, 11:38:25 AM
Correct and potentially devastating take -->

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/no-democrats-haven-t-shown-they-re-going-win-house-n880516

Quote
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Quote
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I now view the chance of a Democratic flip of the House as less than 30% in my mind. Absolutely no sign that they are replicating Clinton numbers in wealthy, minority heavy, suburban districts that they need to flip.

Another embarrassing #hottake. There are still millions of left leaning votes left to be counted. 

What is with these "pundits" and their knee-jerk reactions to results?

They got to get their takes in while people care. No one is going to care in month when all the votes have been counted.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #768 on: June 06, 2018, 11:47:47 AM »
Quote from: darthpi on June 06, 2018, 11:40:04 AM
Quote from: LimoLiberal on June 06, 2018, 11:38:25 AM
Correct and potentially devastating take -->

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/no-democrats-haven-t-shown-they-re-going-win-house-n880516

Quote
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Quote
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I now view the chance of a Democratic flip of the House as less than 30% in my mind. Absolutely no sign that they are replicating Clinton numbers in wealthy, minority heavy, suburban districts that they need to flip.

I can't wait until you promise to leave this forum if Democrats take the House and then less than 24 hours after the election you break that promise.

“What I said was win the House AND WY-Sen and well they only did one so I’m not going.”
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nerd73
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« Reply #769 on: June 06, 2018, 11:49:30 AM »
Quote from: KingSweden on June 06, 2018, 11:47:47 AM
Quote from: darthpi on June 06, 2018, 11:40:04 AM
Quote from: LimoLiberal on June 06, 2018, 11:38:25 AM
Correct and potentially devastating take -->

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/no-democrats-haven-t-shown-they-re-going-win-house-n880516

Quote
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Quote
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I now view the chance of a Democratic flip of the House as less than 30% in my mind. Absolutely no sign that they are replicating Clinton numbers in wealthy, minority heavy, suburban districts that they need to flip.

I can't wait until you promise to leave this forum if Democrats take the House and then less than 24 hours after the election you break that promise.

“What I said was win the House AND WY-Sen and well they only did one so I’m not going.”

So how did Democrats pickup WY-Sen while losing the house?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #770 on: June 06, 2018, 11:51:22 AM »
Quote from: Technocracy Timmy on June 06, 2018, 11:48:34 AM
Y’all still taking LL’s bait?

Limoliberal should open a fishing store at this point. He reels them in like nobody’s business.

I'm starting to think about unignoring him.  From the posts you guys quote, it looks like he may have some value as a reverse prognosticator.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
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« Reply #771 on: June 06, 2018, 12:02:49 PM »
Good chart on the general tendency of Democrats to oveperform in California in November vs June:



2016 is probably a bit off due to not having a contested Republican presidential primary.
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VPH
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« Reply #772 on: June 06, 2018, 12:38:53 PM »
Looks like NJ-02 is Likely GOP. Van Drew raised nearly 30 times what his GOP opponent has.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #773 on: June 06, 2018, 12:44:21 PM »
Quote from: VPH on June 06, 2018, 12:38:53 PM
Looks like NJ-02 is Likely GOP. Van Drew raised nearly 30 times what his GOP opponent has.

You mean Likely Dem?
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #774 on: June 06, 2018, 12:49:52 PM »
Quote from: Newt Gingrich on June 06, 2018, 08:38:15 AM
Quote from: Gass3268 on June 06, 2018, 08:37:55 AM
When all the vote counting is over, Democrats might end up with more votes cast in Orange County:


RINO Tom won't be happy to see this.
lol what is this forum's obsession with RINO Tom?
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