Congressional Primary Results Megathread: AR, GA, KY & TX (Runoff) - May 22
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 28, 2024, 06:45:05 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Congressional Primary Results Megathread: AR, GA, KY & TX (Runoff) - May 22		 « previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 18 19 20 21 22 [23] 24 25 26 27 28 ... 77
Author Topic: Congressional Primary Results Megathread: AR, GA, KY & TX (Runoff) - May 22  (Read 110620 times)
Skill and Chance
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,773
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #550 on: May 08, 2018, 05:38:04 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on May 08, 2018, 05:34:55 PM
Quote from: Skill and Chance on May 08, 2018, 05:33:39 PM
Rokita now clearly overtaking Messer.  He could make a race of it, but I doubt it given how strong Braun is coming in in the south of the state.

Also if Braun keeps those margins in the Indy suburbs.

However, we've barely seen any of Rokita's district yet.
Logged
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,908
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #551 on: May 08, 2018, 05:40:29 PM »
WULFRIC PROJECTION:

District 6
Republican Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Greg Pence
3,236   68.3%
Jonathan Lamb
1,033   21.8
Mike Campbell
185   3.9
Jeff Smith
157   3.3
Stephen MacKenzie
129   2.7
4,740 votes, 3% reporting (17 of 607 precincts)
Logged
KingSweden
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,227
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #552 on: May 08, 2018, 05:42:22 PM »
Quote from: Dwarven Dragon on May 08, 2018, 05:40:29 PM
WULFRIC PROJECTION:

District 6
Republican Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Greg Pence
3,236   68.3%
Jonathan Lamb
1,033   21.8
Mike Campbell
185   3.9
Jeff Smith
157   3.3
Stephen MacKenzie
129   2.7
4,740 votes, 3% reporting (17 of 607 precincts)

Huge upset
Logged
Skill and Chance
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,773
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #553 on: May 08, 2018, 05:44:29 PM »
Quote from: KingSweden on May 08, 2018, 05:42:22 PM
Quote from: Dwarven Dragon on May 08, 2018, 05:40:29 PM
WULFRIC PROJECTION:

District 6
Republican Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Greg Pence
3,236   68.3%
Jonathan Lamb
1,033   21.8
Mike Campbell
185   3.9
Jeff Smith
157   3.3
Stephen MacKenzie
129   2.7
4,740 votes, 3% reporting (17 of 607 precincts)

Huge upset

Upset? When you are a close relative of the popular former governor/current VP?
Logged
Gass3268
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,545
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #554 on: May 08, 2018, 05:45:14 PM »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on May 08, 2018, 05:44:29 PM
Quote from: KingSweden on May 08, 2018, 05:42:22 PM
Quote from: Dwarven Dragon on May 08, 2018, 05:40:29 PM
WULFRIC PROJECTION:

District 6
Republican Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Greg Pence
3,236   68.3%
Jonathan Lamb
1,033   21.8
Mike Campbell
185   3.9
Jeff Smith
157   3.3
Stephen MacKenzie
129   2.7
4,740 votes, 3% reporting (17 of 607 precincts)

Huge upset

Upset? When you are a close relative of the popular former governor/current VP?

/s
Logged
KingSweden
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,227
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #555 on: May 08, 2018, 05:46:34 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on May 08, 2018, 05:45:14 PM
Quote from: Skill and Chance on May 08, 2018, 05:44:29 PM
Quote from: KingSweden on May 08, 2018, 05:42:22 PM
Quote from: Dwarven Dragon on May 08, 2018, 05:40:29 PM
WULFRIC PROJECTION:

District 6
Republican Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Greg Pence
3,236   68.3%
Jonathan Lamb
1,033   21.8
Mike Campbell
185   3.9
Jeff Smith
157   3.3
Stephen MacKenzie
129   2.7
4,740 votes, 3% reporting (17 of 607 precincts)

Huge upset

Upset? When you are a close relative of the popular former governor/current VP?

/s

^^^
Logged
Babeuf
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 502


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #556 on: May 08, 2018, 05:47:36 PM »
Sad to see Dan Canon losing so far, but Liz Watson is also good and pro-Medicare for All so it could be way worse.
Logged
Sestak
jk2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,289
Ukraine


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #557 on: May 08, 2018, 05:49:01 PM »
Braun appears to have it...
Logged
Hoosier_Nick
Nicholas_Roberts
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 754
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.03, S: -7.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #558 on: May 08, 2018, 05:51:33 PM »
Quote from: Babeuf on May 08, 2018, 05:47:36 PM
Sad to see Dan Canon losing so far, but Liz Watson is also good and pro-Medicare for All so it could be way worse.

The results have come from the northern part of the district, Watson's base. She's probably the favorite so far, but until the vote comes out more from across the KY border I wouldn't count him out.
Logged
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,908
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #559 on: May 08, 2018, 05:56:31 PM »
WULFRIC PROJECTION:

U.S. House District 5
Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Dee Thornton
1,050   52.9%
Kyle Moore
498   25.1
Dion Douglas
191   9.6
 Others   246   12.4
1,985 votes, 2% reporting (14 of 597 precincts)
Logged
Bismarck
Chancellor
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,367


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #560 on: May 08, 2018, 05:57:40 PM »
Early results point to a Braun victory. Messer seems to be running third in most of the state but is winning his own district more solidly than Rokita is winning his.
Logged
Strudelcutie4427
Singletxguyforfun
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,375
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #561 on: May 08, 2018, 06:00:20 PM »
When’s WV close? I’m just hoping to see Blankenšhit lose
Logged
Doimper
Doctor Imperialism
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,030


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #562 on: May 08, 2018, 06:01:01 PM »
Quote from: Singletxguyforfun on May 08, 2018, 06:00:20 PM
When’s WV close? I’m just hoping to see Blankenšhit lose

You're in for a bad time, lol
Logged
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,908
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #563 on: May 08, 2018, 06:03:24 PM »
WULFRIC PROJECTION:

Republican Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Mike Braun
27,332   42.4%
Todd Rokita
18,690   29.0
Luke Messer
18,421   28.6
64,443 votes, 6% reporting (330 of 5,375 precincts)
Logged
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,707
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #564 on: May 08, 2018, 06:03:26 PM »
Quote from: Singletxguyforfun on May 08, 2018, 06:00:20 PM
When’s WV close? I’m just hoping to see Blankenšhit lose

Polls close at 7:30, not sure how quickly results tend to come in once the polls are closed
Logged
KingSweden
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,227
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #565 on: May 08, 2018, 06:05:10 PM »
Quote from: Dwarven Dragon on May 08, 2018, 06:03:24 PM
WULFRIC PROJECTION:

Republican Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Mike Braun
27,332   42.4%
Todd Rokita
18,690   29.0
Luke Messer
18,421   28.6
64,443 votes, 6% reporting (330 of 5,375 precincts)

It is extremely foolish to make this probjection with 94% of the vote outstanding
Logged
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,908
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #566 on: May 08, 2018, 06:07:44 PM »
WULFRIC PROJECTION:

U.S. House District 7
Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
André Carson*
109   73.2%
Sue Spicer
27   18.1
Curtis Godfrey
9   6.0
 Others   4   2.7
149 votes, 1% reporting (4 of 457 precincts)
Logged
Hoosier_Nick
Nicholas_Roberts
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 754
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.03, S: -7.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #567 on: May 08, 2018, 06:11:44 PM »
Quote from: KingSweden on May 08, 2018, 06:05:10 PM
Quote from: Dwarven Dragon on May 08, 2018, 06:03:24 PM
WULFRIC PROJECTION:

Republican Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Mike Braun
27,332   42.4%
Todd Rokita
18,690   29.0
Luke Messer
18,421   28.6
64,443 votes, 6% reporting (330 of 5,375 precincts)

It is extremely foolish to make this probjection with 94% of the vote outstanding

I disagree. We've got a good amount of data from varied sections of the state and all come to the same conclusion.
Logged
Skye
yeah_93
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,587
Venezuela


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #568 on: May 08, 2018, 06:14:29 PM »
Quote from: KingSweden on May 08, 2018, 06:05:10 PM
Quote from: Dwarven Dragon on May 08, 2018, 06:03:24 PM
WULFRIC PROJECTION:

Republican Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Mike Braun
27,332   42.4%
Todd Rokita
18,690   29.0
Luke Messer
18,421   28.6
64,443 votes, 6% reporting (330 of 5,375 precincts)

It is extremely foolish to make this probjection with 94% of the vote outstanding

As much as I'd like to make fun of Wulfric's silly projections, Braun sure is looking like the winner tonight.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,545
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #569 on: May 08, 2018, 06:15:12 PM »
You folks are really struggling to pick up on KingSweden's sarcasm.
Logged
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,707
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #570 on: May 08, 2018, 06:17:49 PM »
Quote from: Hoosier_Nick on May 08, 2018, 06:11:44 PM
Quote from: KingSweden on May 08, 2018, 06:05:10 PM
Quote from: Dwarven Dragon on May 08, 2018, 06:03:24 PM
WULFRIC PROJECTION:

Republican Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Mike Braun
27,332   42.4%
Todd Rokita
18,690   29.0
Luke Messer
18,421   28.6
64,443 votes, 6% reporting (330 of 5,375 precincts)

It is extremely foolish to make this probjection with 94% of the vote outstanding

I disagree. We've got a good amount of data from varied sections of the state and all come to the same conclusion.

The fact that I can't say with confidence whether Rokita or Messer looks better positioned to beat Braun is a pretty good indication that Braun will probably win. He might end up with less than 40% of the vote, but he still looks like he's favored now anyway.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,545
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #571 on: May 08, 2018, 06:19:27 PM »
Worst result so far is Rokita being down about 6 points in Boone County (Indy suburbs), considering most of it is in his district.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,753


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #572 on: May 08, 2018, 06:19:34 PM »
Funnily enough, we have all 3 7:30 closing time states primaries on the same day; today.

I am hoping Republicans throw away the WV Senate Race with Blankenship, and I hope Democrats nominate a true progressive in the OH Governor Race with Cordray.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,753


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #573 on: May 08, 2018, 06:20:51 PM »
District 5 and 2 are the only realistic Democratic House pickups in the state.
Logged
KingSweden
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,227
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #574 on: May 08, 2018, 06:22:19 PM »
Quote from: King Iear on May 08, 2018, 06:21:35 PM
Quote from: Solid4096 on May 08, 2018, 06:20:51 PM
District 5 and 2 are the only realistic Democratic House pickups in the state.
Nope, Districts 3 and 9 are competitive as well.

IN-3 is not happening barring a D+25 wave
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 18 19 20 21 22 [23] 24 25 26 27 28 ... 77  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.051 seconds with 11 queries.