Congressional Primary Results Megathread: AR, GA, KY & TX (Runoff) - May 22

[Roronoa D. Law]

Well lets be honest it is Texas if Democrats crack more than 40% in the Congressional Ballot that is a win.

[henster]

I will wait for results from Beto's CD if he underperforms there then he has a serious problem with Latinos in general.

[Oryxslayer]

Beto underperforming aside this is great primary #'s for dems

why?

More dem votes in the senate race the rep votes right now...

Correction, bad math, dems only 50K behind Rs in senate votes. Not that bad for a state like texas, and without el paso done yet.

[136or142]

Well lets be honest it is Texas if Democrats crack more than 40% in the Congressional Ballot that is a win.

Democrats topped 40% in the Congressional Ballot in 2016.

I can't find my notebook right now with the aggregate totals, but I think the 2016 Texas aggregate Congressional total was 57% Republican 40% Democratic.

[henster]

Beto only at 58% in Harris Co. EV.

http://electiondata.harrisvotes.com/Cumulative/Dem/cumulative.htm

[bilaps]

Beto underperforming aside this is great primary #'s for dems

why?

More dem votes in the senate race the rep votes right now...

Correction, bad math, dems only 50K behind Rs in senate votes. Not that bad for a state like texas, and without el paso done yet.

but big chunk of these votes are early vote, right?

[Pandaguineapig]

Beto underperforming aside this is great primary #'s for dems

why?

More dem votes in the senate race the rep votes right now...

Correction, bad math, dems only 50K behind Rs in senate votes. Not that bad for a state like texas, and without el paso done yet.

But it's mostly early vote, republicans tend to do better with election day voters

[136or142]

Any place to listen to the primary returns on the radio or watch it on television?

I found this.

Thanks!

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTIONS:

7 Rep.   77%John Culberson*   23%Edward Ziegler   1%
14 Dem.   75%Adrienne Bell   25%Levy Barnes   2%
14 Rep.   80%Randy Weber*   16%Bill Sargent   2%
17 Dem.   65%Rick Kennedy   35%Dale Mantey   2%
18 Dem.   87%Sheila Jackson Lee*   13%Richard Johnson   <1%
22 Rep.   80%Pete Olson*   13%Danny Nguyen   2%
23 Rep.   83%Will Hurd*   18%Alma Arredondo-Lynch   2%
24 Rep.   73%Kenny Marchant*   27%Johnathan Davidson   1%
26 Dem.   63%Linsey Fagan   37%Will Fisher   1%
26 Rep.   76%Michael Burgess*   24%Veronica Birkenstock   1%
29 Dem.   63%Sylvia R. Garcia   22%Tahir Javed   1%
30 Dem.   65%Eddie Bernice Johnson*   22%Barbara Mallory Caraway   <1%
31 Rep.   62%John Carter*   38%Mike Sweeney   1%
32 Rep.   80%Pete Sessions*   20%Paul Brown   1%
33 Dem.   76%Marc Veasey*   24%Carlos Quintanilla   1
36 Dem.   73%Dayna Steele   27%Jon Powell   2%

[Gass3268]

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[Gass3268]

Also Democrats have almost already topped their 2014 Senate Primary Turnout with only 1% of precincts and some early vote.

[Doimper]

lol @ the concern trolls running around in this thread:

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/971204285156519936

[Holmes]

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The Beto collapse continues.

[henster]

Wasserman seemed pretty concerned about Beto's performance so its more than concern trolling.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Wulfric Projections:

U.S. Senate
Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Beto O'Rourke
276,189   62.5%
Sema Hernandez
98,094   22.2
Edward Kimbrough
67,379   15.3
2% reporting (117 of 7,694 precincts)

Republican Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Ted Cruz*
494,861   84.4%
Mary Miller
37,267   6.4
Bruce Jacobson
25,240   4.3
 Others   28,837   4.9
2% reporting (131 of 7,687 precincts)


Governor
Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Lupe Valdez
185,164   42.2%
Andrew White
136,794   31.2
Cedric Davis
35,082   8.0
 Others   82,094   18.7
2% reporting (117 of 7,694 precincts)

Republican Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Greg Abbott*
525,489   90.0%
Barbara Krueger
51,424   8.8
Larry S. Kilgore
7,082   1.2
2% reporting (131 of 7,687 precincts)

Republican Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Dan Patrick*
370,166   75.9%
Scott Milder
117,601   24.1
2% reporting (130 of 7,687 precincts)

Land Commissioner
Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Miguel Suazo
287,417   69.9%
Tex Morgan
123,715   30.1
2% reporting (130 of 7,694 precincts)

Republican Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
George P. Bush*
274,170   56.9%
Jerry Patterson
145,973   30.3
Davey Edwards
35,667   7.4
Rick Range
25,748   5.3
2% reporting (140 of 7,687 precincts)

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

You guys do realize the GOP casted nearly twice as many ballots in the primary in Texas in 2016, right?

2.8 million gop voters
1.4 million dem voters

Dems are doing far, far better than they did in 2016 so far.

[bilaps]

lol @ the concern trolls running around in this thread:

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/971204285156519936

this guy is doing the same thing mcdonald did for the general election. you'll see when november comes how important is special election in oklahoma house

[Gass3268]

lol @ the concern trolls running around in this thread:

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/971204285156519936

this guy is doing the same thing mcdonald did for the general election. you'll see when november comes how important is special election in oklahoma house

What the heck are you talking about?

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

lol @ the concern trolls running around in this thread:

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/971204285156519936

this guy is doing the same thing mcdonald did for the general election. you'll see when november comes how important is special election in oklahoma house

"The only poll that counts is election day"

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

lol @ the concern trolls running around in this thread:

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/971204285156519936

this guy is doing the same thing mcdonald did for the general election. you'll see when november comes how important is special election in oklahoma house

"The only poll that counts is election day"

Lol. And the GOP has been losing pretty hard most election days -- even harder than polling indicates.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Wulfric Projections:

16 Dem.   61%Veronica Escobar   22%Dori Fenenbock   1%
16 Rep.   73%Rick Seeberger   27%Alia Garcia-Ureste   1%

[Pandaguineapig]

How dare you sully the name of Michael MacDonald, the formula of predicting elections based off of anecdotal turnout reports and early voting was pure genius!!

[Landslide Lyndon]

How dare you sully the name of Michael MacDonald, the formula of predicting elections based off of anecdotal turnout reports and early voting was pure genius!!

Can you stop trying to derail the thread?

[Gass3268]

How dare you sully the name of Michael MacDonald, the formula of predicting elections based off of anecdotal turnout reports and early voting was pure genius!!

All he did was report and provide graphs of the early vote. There was no formula.

[bilaps]

laugh as hard as you want but special election for some house seat in oklahoma isn't indicative for midterms

i'm looking at raw numbers from tonight and i can't see a lot of optmism in TX for dems. maybe i'm wrong, but this guy is clearly a cheerleader for democrats just like mcdonald. he looks at numbers with blue eyes.