Fair redistricting: New York

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

01: D+08.71
02: D+10.25
03: D+13.93
04: D+08.15
05: D+11.40
06: D+17.13
07: D+07.87
08: D+19.82

Posting this map to counteract Singletxguyforfuns map.

[cvparty]

https://ibb.co/m17vFS

1(blue)-R+12.38
2(green)-R+11.71
3(purple)-D+37.49
4(orange-red)-D+6.75
5(yellow)-D+21.22
6(sea green)-D+4.25
7(grey)-D+35.31
8(light purple)-D+23.5

does a link to the photo count? I don't know how to use the gallery...

yes but it's a little inconvenient to open compared to directly embedding the image. upload the photo here, then go to the new page for your image and there'll be a link to embed it in your post

[Strudelcutie4427]

01: D+08.71
02: D+10.25
03: D+13.93
04: D+08.15
05: D+11.40
06: D+17.13
07: D+07.87
08: D+19.82

Posting this map to counteract Singletxguyforfuns map.

Yours wouldn’t work. No bridge connects the 2 cross bay ones. Mine has a bridge connecting both parts

[Bidenworth2020]

01: D+08.71
02: D+10.25
03: D+13.93
04: D+08.15
05: D+11.40
06: D+17.13
07: D+07.87
08: D+19.82

Posting this map to counteract Singletxguyforfuns map.

Yours wouldn’t work. No bridge connects the 2 cross bay ones. Mine has a bridge connecting both parts

still somehow better than yours lol

[Nyvin]

1. R+7 (connected via bridge. I wanted to make a Chesapeake-centric district. Calvert and St Marys have more in common with the Eastern Shore than they do Charles/PG)
2. R+8
3. D+32 (52% Black, 38% White)
4. D+32 (38% White, 27% Black, 24% Hispanic)
5. D+35 (69% Black)
6. R+12
7. D+11
8. D+18

I really don't think a 69% black district is going to fly :-/

[Strudelcutie4427]

1. R+7 (connected via bridge. I wanted to make a Chesapeake-centric district. Calvert and St Marys have more in common with the Eastern Shore than they do Charles/PG)
2. R+8
3. D+32 (52% Black, 38% White)
4. D+32 (38% White, 27% Black, 24% Hispanic)
5. D+35 (69% Black)
6. R+12
7. D+11
8. D+18

I really don't think a 69% black district is going to fly :-/

It’s jist how PG County is. It’s not like I was going around the whole state finding scattered black towns and packing them all into one. In Maryland black voters tend to conglomerate in either PG or Baltimore so a compact seat focused on these two would have very black populations

[Gass3268]

1. R+7 (connected via bridge. I wanted to make a Chesapeake-centric district. Calvert and St Marys have more in common with the Eastern Shore than they do Charles/PG)
2. R+8
3. D+32 (52% Black, 38% White)
4. D+32 (38% White, 27% Black, 24% Hispanic)
5. D+35 (69% Black)
6. R+12
7. D+11
8. D+18

I really don't think a 69% black district is going to fly :-/

Yeah this is another Republican gerrymander.

The fact everyone hasn't been following the VRA for this map project has been really unfortunate, it could have been really cool. But yeah, that MD-05 is totally an illegal packing.

[muon2]

01: D+08.71
02: D+10.25
03: D+13.93
04: D+08.15
05: D+11.40
06: D+17.13
07: D+07.87
08: D+19.82

Posting this map to counteract Singletxguyforfuns map.

Yours wouldn’t work. No bridge connects the 2 cross bay ones. Mine has a bridge connecting both parts

The Smith Island ferry links the two parts in Solid's plan. It doesn't run all the way across in the winter, so it's not as good of a link as a year-round bridge, but it is there like a mountain highway that closes in the winter. I plan on submitting a version that uses the Smith Island ferry, too.

[muon2]

It strikes me that counties do matter in a state like MD. When I meet people from the state, they are as often as not describing their location with phrases like "I live in Baltimore county", or "I work in PG". So with that in mind, there are 2 UCCs to keep track of. The Baltimore UCC has 6 counties (Baltimore county, Baltimore city, Anne Arundel, Howard, Harford, Carroll) and a population sufficient for 3.8 CDs. The Washington UCC has 4 counties (Montgomery, Prince Georges, Frederick, Charles) and a population sufficient for 3.1 CDs. However, the Washington UCC cuts off the three western counties with a third of CD worth of population, making a perfect UCC plan impossible, though one can still minimize excess chops in the UCCs.

I also see that precincts in DRA are labeled in a way (eg Montgomery precinct 03-001, 03-002) that suggests that they are grouped in some fashion (ie what is 03-?). The state archives call them election districts in at least one instance I found. I don't know if they are a relic of an older township system or something else. Perhaps someone local there knows the answer.

[muon2]

My plan A is fairly conventional. It's based on some 2013 work we did in the early days of erosity before we had clear ideas about county subunits in states without town/township structure. There are six chops in four counties. One of the Montgomery chops is what we were calling a microchop back then - a chop smaller than the maximum allowed 0.5% deviation. The idea was that if smaller chops were better, a chop smaller than the permitted deviation was the least onerous.

Within the chopped counties an attempt was made to follow muni lines to the extent possible.

The Washington UCC has the minimum cover of 4 CDs and is one less than the ideal pack of 3 CDs. The Baltimore UCC has the ideal pack count, but one extra cover CD. So the total chop score would be 6 (5 under the old microchop rule) + 2 (UCC) = 8. Without subunits, the erosity score is 22, but this would allow for all sorts of gerrymandering within a county, which is why subunits are now used in counties with chops over 5% of the quota.



CD 1: (-2725); PVI R+12
CD 2: (-3185); PVI D+10
CD 3: (+241); PVI D+4.9
CD 4: (+3514); PVI D+35; BVAP 41.1%, HVAP 19.6%, WVAP 29.3%
CD 5: (+3018); PVI D+23; BVAP 54.9%, WVAP 36.5%
CD 6: (-3546); PVI R+12
CD 7: (+2073); PVI D+32; BVAP 54.3%, WVAP 36.8%
CD 8: (+610); PVI D+22

[muon2]

My plan B is also from 2013. It eliminates the microchop and substantially lowers the inequality by using the Smith Island ferry to connect across the Chesapeake. There are only 5 county chops in 4 counties, and care was used to avoid munis chops as much as precincts would allow.

The UCC rules weren't in place at the time this was drawn, so while it reduces the county chops by one compared to plan A, it increases the UCC penalty. There are now 5 CDs covering the Washington UCC and only 2 packed within. The Baltimore UCC now only has 4 CDs covering the UCC but only 2 packed, so the total chop score is 5+3=8, same total as in plan A.

The overall population range is cut almost in half compared to plan A, but the simple erosity increased from 22 to 24 (counting the seasonal ferry).



CD 1: (-1493); PVI R+10
CD 2: (-1712); PVI D+4.4
CD 3: (+241); PVI D+4.9
CD 4: (+902); PVI D+39; BVAP 60.6%, HVAP 15.1%, WVAP 17.8%
CD 5: (+1656); PVI D+6.5; BVAP 32.9%
CD 6: (-665); PVI D+0.3
CD 7: (+2073); PVI D+32; BVAP 54.3%, WVAP 36.8%
CD 8: (-1002); PVI D+26

[jimrtex]

The Smith Island ferry links the two parts in Solid's plan. It doesn't run all the way across in the winter, so it's not as good of a link as a year-round bridge, but it is there like a mountain highway that closes in the winter. I plan on submitting a version that uses the Smith Island ferry, too.

Doesn't the Smith Island Ferry run from Crisfield to the island?

[muon2]

The Smith Island ferry links the two parts in Solid's plan. It doesn't run all the way across in the winter, so it's not as good of a link as a year-round bridge, but it is there like a mountain highway that closes in the winter. I plan on submitting a version that uses the Smith Island ferry, too.

Doesn't the Smith Island Ferry run from Crisfield to the island?

The ferry from Crisfield on the Eastern Shore is year-round. There is a seasonal ferry from Point Lookout (St Mary's county) on the Western Shore. Together they create a local link across the Bay.

[jimrtex]

The Smith Island ferry links the two parts in Solid's plan. It doesn't run all the way across in the winter, so it's not as good of a link as a year-round bridge, but it is there like a mountain highway that closes in the winter. I plan on submitting a version that uses the Smith Island ferry, too.

Doesn't the Smith Island Ferry run from Crisfield to the island?

The ferry from Crisfield on the Eastern Shore is year-round. There is a seasonal ferry from Point Lookout (St Mary's county) on the Western Shore. Together they create a local link across the Bay.

"Smith Island Cruises from Point Lookout are indefinitely suspended for 2017 season due to shoaling in the channel, preventing boats from reaching the island from the western side. Cruises will resume when dredging has occurred. Stay tuned for updates."

"This Cruise is Temporarily Discontinued until the Western Channel is Dredged.  Over the winter months the channel has filled with sand to a depth that is not deep enough for our cruise vessel."

This is an extremely tenuous link to Smith Island, and Smith Island is not very well connected to the Eastern Shore mainland in the first place (that is why people go there). Any plan that connects the Eastern Shore  and Western Shore other than over the Queen Anne bridge should be rejected.

[jimrtex]

This is a roughed out plan.



Ann Arundel (0.745), Baltimore (1.115), Baltimore city (0.860), Montgomery (1.347), and Prince George's (1.156) have close to a population roughly equal to one district.

This divides the rest of the state into West (1.303), East (0.962), and South (0.472). This division is adopted because the two Baltimore's are close to two districts (1.975), and the eastern district is also close to a district, even though it does divide the remainder of the Baltimore UCC three ways.

The West region drops Howard, which reduces its population to 0.905, close enough for a starting point before county splitting, and Howard is not really west anyhow. It was just a small county west of the large county axis.

It was added to Montgomery. Placement of Howard in the Baltimore UCC is based on a judgment decades ago that it was part of the Baltimore metropolitan area, and therefore the urbanized areas should be split near the Montgomery/Howard line, which keeps Howard in the Baltimore UCC.

This forced the Ann Arundel area south for its extra population giving it a total of 1.217. Montgomey-Howard and Prince George's together have a population of 2.941, enough for 3 districts. But some of this needs to be transferred to West, so Charles has been added to Prince George's.

Populations as shown on map:

Eastern Shore 0.962
Baltimore City 0.860
Baltimore County 1.115
Western Shore 1.014
West 0.905
Montgomery-Howard 1.744
Prince George's- Charles 1.399

The two Baltimore's total 1.976
The two Washington's total 3.144

Balancing shifts:

0.038 Baltimore County to Eastern Shore
0.062 Ann Arundel to Baltimore County
0.140 Baltimore County to Balltimore City generally filling out to the loop around Baltimore, with an eye to maintaining a high black population.

0.049 Charles to Eastern Shore
0.095 Howard to West, which fits better with Carrol County.

The Washington area districts will be:

Montgomery 1.000
Prince George's 0.846, Charles 0,054
Montgomery 0.347, Howard 0.303, Prince George's 0.351


This is the final plan.





The primary goal is to keep three districts out of the cores of the Washington and Baltimore areas, to the extent possible. The five large counties/city are given districts that can be identified with them, with a sixth district shared by Montgomery and Prince George's.

The county splits were done in a way that was generally aware of the Election Districts. These have been defined since at least 1950 when they were used as the minor civil divisions of the county. Of the seven counties that were divided, all but Anne Arundel still uses the 1950 districts, which believe it or not, are used the statutory descriptions of the current congressional Marymanders.

MD-1 Eastern Shore-Northeast +0.28%; R+11.80; A 80, B 14, H 3, As 2, O 1.

The district includes 10 whole counties, and Baltimore County Election Districts 5, 6, 7, and 10. 52% of the district is in Harford, Cecil, and Baltimore so it can't be truly called an Eastern Shore district, though that would likely be the popular description. 4% of the district is in Baltimore and 4% of Baltimore is in the district./

MD-2 Baltimore County  -0.09%; D+6.06; A 68, B 22, As 5, H 4, O 1.

84% of Baltimore County is in the district, 94% of the district is in the county. Since Baltimore county and city together have a population quite close two districts, an attempt was made to extend the Baltimore city district outward to balance the population. The Baltimore Beltway (I-695) was used as the boundary. The Baltimore city was extended to the west to keep the black population of that district up. Election Districts were not used in this map, and the notches in the boundary represent precincts that cross the beltway. I will produce alternatives based on Election Districts.

To make the population balanced, the district spills over into Anne Arundel, taking an area around the airport in the far north of the county, clearly with a Baltimore orientation, rather than an Annapolis or Washington orientation. Ann Arundel Election Districts have been updated, and are used for election of the county council, but my map takes an area entirely within Election District 1, and includes 61% of the Election District. The southern boundary of the congressional district is coincident with the Election District, which extends westward from the airport (not in MD-2). 8% of Anne Arundel is in MD-2 and 6% of MD-2 is in Anne Arundel.

MD-3 Baltimore City -0.29%; D+34.92; B 58, A 34, H 4, As 3, O 1.

MD-3 includes all of the city, and part of the the county inside the Baltimore Beltway, mainly on the west side of the city. 100% of the city, and 12% of the county is in the district. 86% of the district is in the city, with the other 14% in the county.

MD-4 Western Shore +0.02%, R+3.32, A 76, B 15, H 5, As 3, O 2.

MD-4 includes most of Anne Arundel (not in MD-2), all of Calvert and St. Mary's and the more remote parts of Charles. 92% of Anne Arundel is in the district, and 68% of the district is in Arundel. Calvert and St. Mary's have 12% and 15% of the district respectively. MD-4 includes Election Districts 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 10 (about half of the county population is in Election District 6 in the St. Charles area. 24% of the county is in MD-4, and the area forms 5% of the district.

MD-5 West +0.04%, R+11.41 A85, B 7, H 4, As 4, O 1

MD-5 includes Allegany, Garrett, and Washington in the western panhandle, Frederick and Carroll, and part of Howard. 24% of Howard is in the district, and 10% of the district is in Howard. MD-5 includes Election Districts 3 and 4, and 63% of Election District 2 which is directly west of Baltimore. These are generally along I-70, and are a good fit for the Carroll part of the district, and the link to the western part of the district. The division of the county was also looking forward to the drawing of MD-7.

MD-6 Montgomery +0.19%, D+22.27, A 56, As 15, H 15, B 11, O 2.

The entire district is in Montgomery, with 74% of the county in the district. The district is generally west of the District of Columbia, including Chevy Chase, Bethesda, Rockville, and Gaithersburg.

MD-7 Howard, Montgomery, and Prince George's -0.19%, D+24.93, A 37, B 30, H 19, As  10, O 3.

MD-7 is 35% in Prince George's, 34% in Montgomery, and 30% in Howard, and contains 30%, 26%, and 76% of the county population. I-95 between Washington and Baltimore forms the "Main Street" of the district.

In Montgomery, MD-7 includes Election District 5, and 58% of Election District 13, that is northeast of Georgia Avenue. Election District 13 has about 26% of the Montgomery population. The division was dictated by population, desire for clean boundaries, and selecting areas with more blacks (MD-7 is a majority-minority district).

In Prince George's, MD-7 includes Election Districts 1, 10, 17, 19, and 21 which are generally along the county line. The notch in the eastern boundary is around Election District 16, which was excluded for population balance.

In Howard, MD-7 includes Election Districts 1, 5, and 6, and the part of Election District 2 that is not in MD-5. The area is generally the southern part of the county and is an extension of the Montgomery-Prince George's line along I-95.

MD-8 Prince George's -0,19%; D 37.41%; B 69, A 18, H 8, As 3, O 2.

MD-8 includes 70% of Prince George's, which forms 84% of the district. The area is generally east and south of the District of Columbia and is comprised of Election Districts, 2 through 9, 11 through 16, 18, and 20.

MD-8 also includes the northern part of Charles particularly around St. Charles which has about half the county population. 76% of Charles is in MD-8, which forms 16% of the district. MD-8 includes Election Districts 6 through 9.


Summary

Standard Deviation of Deviation: 0.18%.

County splits: 7.

Population victimized by county splits 1.081, which is 13.5% of the state population. But if we exclude the population in excess of a district in Baltimore, Montgomery, and Prince George's which must be split, 0.422 or 5.3% of the population (304,798) is victimized.

There are 4 Democratic districts, 2 Republican, and 2 competitive, one Democratic-leaning, and one Republican leaning.

There are two Black-majority (VAP) districts, and another minority-majority district.

MD-1 38% in Baltimore UCC, 62% outside UCC
MD-2 100% in Baltimore UCC
MD-3 100% in Baltimore UCC
MD-4 68% in Baltimore UCC, 5% in Washington UCC, 27% outside UCC
MD-5 33% in Baltimore UCC, 32% in Washington UCC, 35% outside UCC
MD-6 100% in Washington UCC
MD-7 30% in Baltimore UCC, 70% in Washington UCC
MD-8 100% in Washington UCC

[ilikeverin]

For those mappers who are using rules (e.g., Muon, jimrtex), would there be anything in your rules against making the PG/MontCo districts more concentric than with straight lines?  As a (former) resident of PG, it seems to me like, say, Upper Marlboro and even Bowie might have more in common with Waldorf and California than they do with Suitland, Capitol Heights or Mount Rainier, so it might be nicer for districts to wrap around the District than have boundaries that are like spokes on a wheel.  Basically, if PG must be split (and especially if it must be combined with Montgomery), I want an "inside the Beltway" district and an "outside the Beltway" district.  At the same time, I know this would violate other (perfectly reasonable) criteria that others have used, and wasn't sure about your rules.

[jimrtex]

See addenda about Anne Arundel

It strikes me that counties do matter in a state like MD. When I meet people from the state, they are as often as not describing their location with phrases like "I live in Baltimore county", or "I work in PG". So with that in mind, there are 2 UCCs to keep track of. The Baltimore UCC has 6 counties (Baltimore county, Baltimore city, Anne Arundel, Howard, Harford, Carroll) and a population sufficient for 3.8 CDs. The Washington UCC has 4 counties (Montgomery, Prince Georges, Frederick, Charles) and a population sufficient for 3.1 CDs. However, the Washington UCC cuts off the three western counties with a third of CD worth of population, making a perfect UCC plan impossible, though one can still minimize excess chops in the UCCs.

I also see that precincts in DRA are labeled in a way (eg Montgomery precinct 03-001, 03-002) that suggests that they are grouped in some fashion (ie what is 03-?). The state archives call them election districts in at least one instance I found. I don't know if they are a relic of an older township system or something else. Perhaps someone local there knows the answer.

At least in Baltimore County, they are quite regular. For the 1950 Census, they were the minor civil divisions reported by the Census Bureau.

Legislative districts in statute are described in terms of a nested hierarchy of county, election district, precinct, census geography (census tracts and blocks). That is, even though county, census tract, census block, are sufficient to describe an area, they are described as parts of precincts within election districts. They are also used for congressional districts!

They are also used in descriptions of real property, and some county party executive committees.
There are some references to election districts in the alcoholic beverage code, perhaps for local option?

The constitution appears to give the right to vote in the election district of residence.



I think it would be quite reasonable to minimize division of election districts, and treat them as townships, particularly given Maryland's lack of cities.

On the other hand, the election districts in Anne Arundel are quite regular in population, do not match the 1950 Census, and are apparently used to elect the current 7-member council. They may have redistricted a bit since 2010. The district closest to Washington is about 10% over, likely due to spillover from Prince George's, and the district immediately south of Baltimore, around the airport, is about 5% undepopulated.

[jimrtex]

For those mappers who are using rules (e.g., Muon, jimrtex), would there be anything in your rules against making the PG/MontCo districts more concentric than with straight lines?  As a (former) resident of PG, it seems to me like, say, Upper Marlboro and even Bowie might have more in common with Waldorf and California than they do with Suitland, Capitol Heights or Mount Rainier, so it might be nicer for districts to wrap around the District than have boundaries that are like spokes on a wheel.  Basically, if PG must be split (and especially if it must be combined with Montgomery), I want an "inside the Beltway" district and an "outside the Beltway" district.  At the same time, I know this would violate other (perfectly reasonable) criteria that others have used, and wasn't sure about your rules.

The concern would be if you had two districts spanning the Montgomery-Prince George's line, which would give you an extra county cut. This is specifically illegal under the proposed constitutional amendment in Ohio. Generally if you are cutting a county, it is preferred that you make a smaller cut, and it somewhat parallel to the county line.

But an inside the beltway district might be OK, if outside the beltway you had the district boundaries on the county line. I'm guessing that the inside the beltway district would be a bit short on population, so might add on in either county.

Compactness-wise there might be concern about the shape of the district, but that is in part because you are following an external state boundary (around D.C.).  I'm not real big on compactness measures, when you are constructing districts from components, rather than carving with an knife.

[Torie]

My plan B is also from 2013. It eliminates the microchop and substantially lowers the inequality by using the Smith Island ferry to connect across the Chesapeake. There are only 5 county chops in 4 counties, and care was used to avoid munis chops as much as precincts would allow.

The UCC rules weren't in place at the time this was drawn, so while it reduces the county chops by one compared to plan A, it increases the UCC penalty. There are now 5 CDs covering the Washington UCC and only 2 packed within. The Baltimore UCC now only has 4 CDs covering the UCC but only 2 packed, so the total chop score is 5+3=8, same total as in plan A.

The overall population range is cut almost in half compared to plan A, but the simple erosity increased from 22 to 24 (counting the seasonal ferry).



CD 1: (-1493); PVI R+10
CD 2: (-1712); PVI D+4.4
CD 3: (+241); PVI D+4.9
CD 4: (+902); PVI D+39; BVAP 60.6%, HVAP 15.1%, WVAP 17.8%
CD 5: (+1656); PVI D+6.5; BVAP 32.9%
CD 6: (-665); PVI D+0.3
CD 7: (+2073); PVI D+32; BVAP 54.3%, WVAP 36.8%
CD 8: (-1002); PVI D+26

To complete the Muon2 saga here, the map below is quite similar to Muon2's above, but avoids that chop into Frederick County, which is expensive from a chop count (a county chop, plus a pack penalty point for the Balto UCC area, and another cover penalty for the DC UCC area. The cost of avoiding that chop, is two more county chops elsewhere, one in Caroline County, and a chop into Montgomery county from the south. So the chop count is 7, rather than Muon2's 8. Obviously one would draw Muon2's map rather than this one, absent the UCC penalty regime coming into being.

The chop of the western CD into Montgomery looks erose, but it avoids a subunit chop. That chop design, and that little jab of the CD from the south going into the county,  also happens to get the Pub PVI in the western CD up to 1.25%, not enough to push it out of the swing zone, but close, and probably in reality it is a Pub leaning CD, since it was until Trump ran in it, who tanked the Pub numbers here. Other Pubs would probably run better. So while our skew scores are the same, in reality they really aren't quite. I was unable to avoid subunit chops elsewhere in macro-chopped counties, but I don't think Muon2's map did either, since the maps basically have the same design.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

By the way, I am interested in knowing what the muon rules scores would be for all of these Maryland maps.

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Maryland Non-Partisan plan.

My non-partisan redistricting plan for Maryland maintains the two majority Black VRA districts, while adding a third Plurality (48.8%) Black VRA district. Beyond the 3 required county splits due to each containing a population in excess of one congressional district only one county, Howard, is unnecessarily split, that is it's population is smaller than a congressional district.

District 1 R+11.75 - 41.4 - 57.0
District 2 D+10.38 - 58.7 - 39.7
District 3 D+04.72 - 53.2 - 45.4
District 4 D+37.85 - 86.3 - 12.9 - 48.8 African American
District 5 D+21.21 - 72.6 - 26.6 - 50.1 African American
District 6 R+11.58 - 41.7 - 56.7
District 7 D+31.07 - 81.3 - 17.6 - 56.4 African American
District 8 D+22.53 - 69.5 - 29.4

[Torie]

If one cannot cross the bay with a CD in the south, due to inadequate ferry service, then the below is my plan. There is no subunit chop for the green CD chop into Baltimore County, but there are for the Montgomery and St. Charles chops and for the tan CD chop into Baltimore County. Assuming the subunit chops for macro chopped counties are not counted, the chop count is back up to eight.  The subunits in MD are often inconveniently high in population. One needs to get lucky to avoid a subunit chop, like I was with my former map as to the western CD chop into Montgomery County. The St. Charles-Montgomery CD is about 45% BVAP, which should be a performing black CD and thus legal under the VRA.



image upload api

[cvparty]

a summary of all Maryland entries

1. R+7 (connected via bridge. I wanted to make a Chesapeake-centric district. Calvert and St Marys have more in common with the Eastern Shore than they do Charles/PG)
2. R+8
3. D+32 (52% Black, 38% White)
4. D+32 (38% White, 27% Black, 24% Hispanic)
5. D+35 (69% Black)
6. R+12
7. D+11
8. D+18

https://ibb.co/m17vFS

1(blue)-R+12.38
2(green)-R+11.71
3(purple)-D+37.49
4(orange-red)-D+6.75
5(yellow)-D+21.22
6(sea green)-D+4.25
7(grey)-D+35.31
8(light purple)-D+23.5

• I tried to keep metro areas together
• Southeast Baltimore Co. and Anne Arundel are similar demographically and geographically which is why I put them together. This arrangement puts Howard with Baltimore County which makes a lot of sense. (The 3rd is contiguous by I-695)

1: R+12
2: D+14
3: R+1
4: D+36
5: D+19
6: R+11
7: D+33
8: D+24

01: D+08.71
02: D+10.25
03: D+13.93
04: D+08.15
05: D+11.40
06: D+17.13
07: D+07.87
08: D+19.82

plan A


CD 1: (-2725); PVI R+12
CD 2: (-3185); PVI D+10
CD 3: (+241); PVI D+4.9
CD 4: (+3514); PVI D+35; BVAP 41.1%, HVAP 19.6%, WVAP 29.3%
CD 5: (+3018); PVI D+23; BVAP 54.9%, WVAP 36.5%
CD 6: (-3546); PVI R+12
CD 7: (+2073); PVI D+32; BVAP 54.3%, WVAP 36.8%
CD 8: (+610); PVI D+22

plan B


CD 1: (-1493); PVI R+10
CD 2: (-1712); PVI D+4.4
CD 3: (+241); PVI D+4.9
CD 4: (+902); PVI D+39; BVAP 60.6%, HVAP 15.1%, WVAP 17.8%
CD 5: (+1656); PVI D+6.5; BVAP 32.9%
CD 6: (-665); PVI D+0.3
CD 7: (+2073); PVI D+32; BVAP 54.3%, WVAP 36.8%
CD 8: (-1002); PVI D+26

MD-1 Eastern Shore-Northeast +0.28%; R+11.80; A 80, B 14, H 3, As 2, O 1.
MD-2 Baltimore County  -0.09%; D+6.06; A 68, B 22, As 5, H 4, O 1.
MD-3 Baltimore City -0.29%; D+34.92; B 58, A 34, H 4, As 3, O 1.
MD-4 Western Shore +0.02%, R+3.32, A 76, B 15, H 5, As 3, O 2.
MD-5 West +0.04%, R+11.41 A85, B 7, H 4, As 4, O 1
MD-6 Montgomery +0.19%, D+22.27, A 56, As 15, H 15, B 11, O 2.
MD-7 Howard, Montgomery, and Prince George's -0.19%, D+24.93, A 37, B 30, H 19, As  10, O 3.
MD-8 Prince George's -0,19%; D 37.41%; B 69, A 18, H 8, As 3, O 2.
Summary
County splits: 7.

There are 4 Democratic districts, 2 Republican, and 2 competitive, one Democratic-leaning, and one Republican leaning.

There are two Black-majority (VAP) districts, and another minority-majority district.

District 1 R+11.75 - 41.4 - 57.0
District 2 D+10.38 - 58.7 - 39.7
District 3 D+04.72 - 53.2 - 45.4
District 4 D+37.85 - 86.3 - 12.9 - 48.8 African American
District 5 D+21.21 - 72.6 - 26.6 - 50.1 African American
District 6 R+11.58 - 41.7 - 56.7
District 7 D+31.07 - 81.3 - 17.6 - 56.4 African American
District 8 D+22.53 - 69.5 - 29.4

image upload api

[Torie]

You left off my map that completed the Muon2 saga, that has the lowest chop count.



PVI
1.  28.03% D
2.  7.25% D
3.  39.25% D
4.  4.99% D
5.  4.57% D
6.  1.25% R
7.  31.44% D
8.  9.94% R




PVI
1.  21.85% D
2.  21.67% D
3.  36.25% D (44.2% BVAP, 19.5% HVAP)
4.  4.99% D
5.  8.39% D
6   10.84% R
7.   31.44% D (54.3% BVAP)
8.   11.74% R

[cvparty]

okie, you should also probably include PVI data cuz some panelists will outright throw out maps that have none