The “Who is running in 2020?” tea leaves thread, Part 2
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  The “Who is running in 2020?” tea leaves thread, Part 2		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: The “Who is running in 2020?” tea leaves thread, Part 2  (Read 222505 times)
Mr. Morden
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« Reply #1650 on: August 16, 2018, 10:17:36 PM »
Garcetti says he'll probably decide on 2020 within the first three months of 2019:

https://losangeles.cbslocal.com/2018/08/16/la-mayor-garcetti-trump-president-racist/
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #1651 on: August 16, 2018, 11:51:00 PM »
Avenatti has a new website:
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Harlow
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« Reply #1652 on: August 17, 2018, 12:47:28 AM »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on August 16, 2018, 11:51:00 PM
Avenatti has a new website:




He couldn't have found a less grainy image?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1653 on: August 17, 2018, 07:32:17 AM »
Harris makes her first Iowa endorsement.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #1654 on: August 17, 2018, 09:29:59 AM »
Quote from: Harlow on August 17, 2018, 12:47:28 AM
Quote from: Mr. Morden on August 16, 2018, 11:51:00 PM
Avenatti has a new website:




He couldn't have found a less grainy image?

LOL, "all the presidents con men" sounds really funny.
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Devils30
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« Reply #1655 on: August 17, 2018, 12:41:08 PM »
Quote from: Cal on August 16, 2018, 08:46:07 PM
Quote from: RogueBeaver on August 16, 2018, 07:05:05 PM


Bullock is moving fast

Bullock IMO has a shot to win Iowa, getting support from Tom Miller helps and we'll see what the congressional delegation and Governor are like in a couple months. If Biden, Bernie don't run it clears a lane with white rural voters there. Harris, Gillibrand, Patrick, Booker are all exceptionally poor fits in Iowa. Warren is definitely in play too.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #1656 on: August 17, 2018, 01:13:17 PM »
Quote from: Devils30 on August 17, 2018, 12:41:08 PM
Quote from: Cal on August 16, 2018, 08:46:07 PM
Quote from: RogueBeaver on August 16, 2018, 07:05:05 PM


Bullock is moving fast

Bullock IMO has a shot to win Iowa, getting support from Tom Miller helps and we'll see what the congressional delegation and Governor are like in a couple months. If Biden, Bernie don't run it clears a lane with white rural voters there. Harris, Gillibrand, Patrick, Booker are all exceptionally poor fits in Iowa. Warren is definitely in play too.

This would be huge and Bullock's best bet. Win in Iowa, gain momentum and then win either New Hampshire or Nevada (doubt he has a shot in South Carolina).
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tosk
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« Reply #1657 on: August 17, 2018, 08:16:30 PM »
Quote from: President Johnson on August 17, 2018, 01:13:17 PM
Quote from: Devils30 on August 17, 2018, 12:41:08 PM
Quote from: Cal on August 16, 2018, 08:46:07 PM
Quote from: RogueBeaver on August 16, 2018, 07:05:05 PM


Bullock is moving fast

Bullock IMO has a shot to win Iowa, getting support from Tom Miller helps and we'll see what the congressional delegation and Governor are like in a couple months. If Biden, Bernie don't run it clears a lane with white rural voters there. Harris, Gillibrand, Patrick, Booker are all exceptionally poor fits in Iowa. Warren is definitely in play too.

This would be huge and Bullock's best bet. Win in Iowa, gain momentum and then win either New Hampshire or Nevada (doubt he has a shot in South Carolina).

NH more likely IMO, SC only if he's somehow managed to push out all candidates by then which is nigh impossible. You never know though.
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Devils30
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« Reply #1658 on: August 17, 2018, 08:43:57 PM »
Without a clear frontrunner it gives a sleeper Iowa and NH winner a solid  chance of being someone who quickly takes off. Of course someone like Bullock would have to concentrate state by state before taking off but that's how it works. He also would not be toxic to the establishment like Sanders would have been had he won both states.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #1659 on: August 18, 2018, 09:57:27 AM »
Castro's decision timeline:

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2018/08/17/iowa-state-fair-2018-soapbox-schedule-politics-dates-tickets-fairgrounds-julian-castro-president/928383002/

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Swalwell:

https://abc7news.com/politics/east-bay-congressman-says-he-may-run-for-president-in-2020/3983381/

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TheBeardedOne
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« Reply #1660 on: August 18, 2018, 07:46:05 PM »
Who does everyone think Bullock would choose as his VP if he won the nomination?
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #1661 on: August 18, 2018, 07:55:24 PM »
Quote from: TheBeardedOne on August 18, 2018, 07:46:05 PM
Who does everyone think Bullock would choose as his VP if he won the nomination?

Elizabeth Warren, Kamala Harris, Tammy Duckworth, Tammy Baldwin
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #1662 on: August 18, 2018, 07:56:50 PM »
Quote from: TheBeardedOne on August 18, 2018, 07:46:05 PM
Who does everyone think Bullock would choose as his VP if he won the nomination?
Someone like Kamala Harris or CCM to help with minority turnout.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1663 on: August 19, 2018, 12:45:05 PM »
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #1664 on: August 19, 2018, 03:30:50 PM »
Gillibrand asked about 2020, and dodges the question:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hV-9b6z0jGE&t=22m4s

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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #1665 on: August 19, 2018, 03:33:40 PM »
The Des Moines Register runs down all the 2020 non-denials at the state fair, including McMullin:

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2018/08/19/political-highlights-iowa-state-fair-avenatti-delaney-bullock-swalwell-castro-soapbox-boehner/1018424002/

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Rookie Yinzer
RFKFan68
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« Reply #1666 on: August 19, 2018, 07:51:03 PM »
Quote from: RogueBeaver on August 16, 2018, 07:05:05 PM

I'm on the Bullock/Duckworth train.
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Shameless Lefty Hack
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« Reply #1667 on: August 20, 2018, 02:31:17 AM »

Interesting that this seems to imply that Announcement Season could start as early as mid December. Which in my admittedly  short political memory has not happened.

Though it does leave him wiggle room to *decide * in December and announce in mid January.
 
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jfern
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« Reply #1668 on: August 20, 2018, 02:36:31 AM »
Quote from: Shameless Bernie Hack on August 20, 2018, 02:31:17 AM

Interesting that this seems to imply that Announcement Season could start as early as mid December. Which in my admittedly  short political memory has not happened.

Though it does leave him wiggle room to *decide * in December and announce in mid January.
 

John Delaney decided against announcing this year. Tongue
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #1669 on: August 20, 2018, 03:37:39 AM »
Quote from: Shameless Bernie Hack on August 20, 2018, 02:31:17 AM

Interesting that this seems to imply that Announcement Season could start as early as mid December. Which in my admittedly  short political memory has not happened.

Though it does leave him wiggle room to *decide * in December and announce in mid January.
 

John Edwards announced in December of 2006 I believe.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #1670 on: August 20, 2018, 10:08:26 AM »
Quote from: RFKFan68 on August 19, 2018, 07:51:03 PM
Quote from: RogueBeaver on August 16, 2018, 07:05:05 PM

I'm on the Bullock/Duckworth train.

Me too.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #1671 on: August 20, 2018, 10:16:36 AM »
Quote from: Shameless Bernie Hack on August 20, 2018, 02:31:17 AM

Interesting that this seems to imply that Announcement Season could start as early as mid December. Which in my admittedly  short political memory has not happened.

Though it does leave him wiggle room to *decide * in December and announce in mid January.
 

Depends on what counts as announcements.  In the 2008 cycle, we got a bunch of exploratory committees being started as early as November 2006.  And exploratory committees are pretty much the same as launching your candidacy IMHO.  Though there are fewer exploratory committees these days, since the candidates rely more on PACs to do the same thing.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #1672 on: August 20, 2018, 12:22:32 PM »
If 2019 holds true with 2015 and the first debates are in August/September, but all the candidates announce in December-March, that's going to be brutal.
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MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
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« Reply #1673 on: August 20, 2018, 02:45:25 PM »
Dem Rep. Swalwell eyeing presidential run in 2020
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JG
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« Reply #1674 on: August 20, 2018, 02:59:23 PM »

So many random people are considering a run. Is it always like that?
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