ND-SEN: But you are, Blanche, you are

[Gass3268]

Rep. Cramer comes across as really whiny in this WaPost article about Trump support for Heitkamp

[ON Progressive]

Rep. Cramer comes across as really whiny in this WaPost article about Trump support for Heitkamp

I'm starting to be more confident in Heitkamp than I am in Nelson at this point.

[Young Conservative]

Rep. Cramer comes across as really whiny in this WaPost article about Trump support for Heitkamp

I'm starting to be more confident in Heitkamp than I am in Nelson at this point.

Probably smart. Heitkamp knows how to navigate a close election. Nelson hasn't had a close election in two decades.

[KingSweden]

Rep. Cramer comes across as really whiny in this WaPost article about Trump support for Heitkamp

I'm starting to be more confident in Heitkamp than I am in Nelson at this point.

Probably smart. Heitkamp knows how to navigate a close election. Nelson hasn't had a close election in two decades.

Agree with you, though I think both win in the end.

[ON Progressive]

This quote from said article mentioned earlier is almost comically absurd:

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[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Rep. Cramer comes across as really whiny in this WaPost article about Trump support for Heitkamp

I'm starting to be more confident in Heitkamp than I am in Nelson at this point.

Probably smart. Heitkamp knows how to navigate a close election. Nelson hasn't had a close election in two decades.

Agree with you, though I think both win in the end.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

This quote from said article mentioned earlier is almost comically absurd:

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Is Cramer cut out for this politics thing?

[KingSweden]

Cramer is not running a very good campaign

[Bidenworth2020]

Safe D-> Safer D

[JG]

This quote from said article mentioned earlier is almost comically absurd:

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Because Trump is known for being a real gentleman to women, nasty or not.

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

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That was Arkansas Yankees first post on the forum.

[fluffypanther19]

Rep. Cramer comes across as really whiny in this WaPost article about Trump support for Heitkamp

I'm starting to be more confident in Heitkamp than I am in Nelson at this point.

Probably smart. Heitkamp knows how to navigate a close election. Nelson hasn't had a close election in two decades.

Agree with you, though I think both win in the end.

This quote from said article mentioned earlier is almost comically absurd:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Is Cramer cut out for this politics thing?

lol cramer is so bad; was he the best the ND Reps could find?

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Strong Lean R 53-45 for Cramer.

[BudgieForce]

So something I just learned, North Dakota has the third largest Soy Crop in the United States. Guess which industry is getting hammered by Trump's tariffs? I think Heidi has an opening.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-04-04/china-tariffs-could-wreck-republicans-in-november

[Politician]

Strong Lean R 53-45 for Cramer.

King Lear, is that you?

[MycroftCZ]

The feeling I get out of North Dakota is that Heitkamp is really putting in the work for a second term while Cramer sorta expects to be elected because to state is red(ish)... I'd still say advantage Heitkamp in ND

[Virginiá]

The feeling I get out of North Dakota is that Heitkamp is really putting in the work for a second term while Cramer sorta expects to be elected because to state is red(ish)... I'd still say advantage Heitkamp in ND

If that is the case, you'd think he would understand that this election cycle is, if anything, better for her than 2012. Obama got blown out by just shy of 20 points in 2012 and she still won. Now she's an incumbent who is reasonably popular or at least neutral, and running in a year that some think will be the biggest Dem wave year since the 80s, or 2006 at the very least. This is really the best environment she could ask for. The only thing that would make it better is if she drew a toxic opponent.

[Xing]

People underestimated Heitkamp in 2012 when polling showed her losing the race (sometimes even by a lot), but I’m sure they won’t be making that same mistake this year again.

North Dakota polling doesn't have the same consistent Republican bias like Nevada polling, so I wouldn't be so quick to assume that polls will underestimate Heitkamp again, at least not by the same margin.

[Doimper]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1012070304091435010

Not very subtle.

[MycroftCZ]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1012070304091435010

I wonder what his nickname for Heitkamp will be...

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Strong Lean R 53-45 for Cramer.

King Lear, is that you?

She has been down by 4 and 5 in two of the three polls. Saying she loses by 8 is not that much of a departure from reality. H&ll, it is even with the moe man.

[UncleSam]

Strong Lean R 53-45 for Cramer.

King Lear, is that you?

She has been down by 4 and 5 in two of the three polls. Saying she loses by 8 is not that much of a departure from reality. H&ll, it is even with the moe man.

I do think that North Dakota will be one of if not the hardest state hit by the SCOTUS news for Democrats. North Dakota is very socially conservative and strongly pro-life. That being said, I don't think there is any reason to think that Heitkamp will lose by 8 at this point. Maybe SCOTUS turns a 2 or 3 point deficit into a 4 or 5 point loss, but we have not yet seen any evidence she will lose badly, or even that she's worse than a tossup.

Still think this race is merely tilt R, though I do think this is starting to look like it'll flip before any other Trump state seats outside of Indiana or (bizarrely) Florida.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Strong Lean R 53-45 for Cramer.

King Lear, is that you?

She has been down by 4 and 5 in two of the three polls. Saying she loses by 8 is not that much of a departure from reality. H&ll, it is even with the moe man.

I do think that North Dakota will be one of if not the hardest state hit by the SCOTUS news for Democrats. North Dakota is very socially conservative and strongly pro-life. That being said, I don't think there is any reason to think that Heitkamp will lose by 8 at this point. Maybe SCOTUS turns a 2 or 3 point deficit into a 4 or 5 point loss, but we have not yet seen any evidence she will lose badly, or even that she's worse than a tossup.

Still think this race is merely tilt R, though I do think this is starting to look like it'll flip before any other Trump state seats outside of Indiana or (bizarrely) Florida.

How the h$ll am I King Lear when my guess falls within the moe of two of the three polls out?! Completely ridiculous and annoying!

[Zaybay]

Guys, the SC nomination only effects voters if they hold it until after midterms. Also, according to Pew Research, Republican enthusiasm is high, you guys think it can get higher? Unlikely. The reason Democrats are winning is because they have a larger base, a larger amount of enthusiasm, and the backing of independents, and if you guys are saying that the SC seat will really counter all of these, then I have nothing to say.

[Zaybay]

Strong Lean R 53-45 for Cramer.

King Lear, is that you?

She has been down by 4 and 5 in two of the three polls. Saying she loses by 8 is not that much of a departure from reality. H&ll, it is even with the moe man.

I do think that North Dakota will be one of if not the hardest state hit by the SCOTUS news for Democrats. North Dakota is very socially conservative and strongly pro-life. That being said, I don't think there is any reason to think that Heitkamp will lose by 8 at this point. Maybe SCOTUS turns a 2 or 3 point deficit into a 4 or 5 point loss, but we have not yet seen any evidence she will lose badly, or even that she's worse than a tossup.

Still think this race is merely tilt R, though I do think this is starting to look like it'll flip before any other Trump state seats outside of Indiana or (bizarrely) Florida.

How the h$ll am I King Lear when my guess falls within the moe of two of the three polls out?! Completely ridiculous and annoying!

The problem is that you are generally, from what Ive seen so far, the most hackish in favor of Reps when it comes to predictions. Yes, she is down in the polls, but she was in 2012. The campaign season has barely begun and Cramer has already said a load of stupid stuff. The tariffs are going to continually hammer the state. The state is elastic. Generally, I hate to make predictions this far out because there are too many variables that could swing the election one way or the other. Tossup is appropriate, Strong Lean R, at least this early, is not.