New poll hype thread
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Author Topic: New poll hype thread  (Read 94660 times)
swf541
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« Reply #1050 on: October 31, 2016, 09:36:11 AM »

Someone in the Gary Johnson subreddit yesterday reported that they were polled on their cell phone by CNN/ORC. He is in PA so it could either be a PA poll or National poll.

Grandfather was polled in PA yesterday as well, though i think it was PPP
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #1051 on: October 31, 2016, 09:40:53 AM »

Indiana: Trump + 9, Bayh + 1, Gregg + 9
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #1052 on: October 31, 2016, 09:41:55 AM »

Trump +10
Tie
Gregg +6
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #1053 on: October 31, 2016, 09:44:12 AM »

IN:

Trump +8
Bayh +5
Gregg +4
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elcorazon
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« Reply #1054 on: October 31, 2016, 09:52:44 AM »

MonmouthPoll ‏@MonmouthPoll  5m5 minutes ago
Looking at key Senate races this week (scheduled before Friday's news - who knew?)

Coming today: INDIANA.

Previous poll from October 11-13 had Trump +4, Bayh +6, Gregg +12.
Trump +8
Bayh +4
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #1055 on: October 31, 2016, 09:58:50 AM »

Btw, since Monmouth said they're looking at key Senate races this week, I have a feeling (not confirmed by anything yet), that they might poll North Carolina, Missouri, and Pennsylvania.
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amdcpus
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« Reply #1056 on: October 31, 2016, 12:06:58 PM »


Almost perfect, Trump +11.
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F_S_USATN
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« Reply #1057 on: October 31, 2016, 02:17:04 PM »

Steve Kornacki ‏@SteveKornacki  12m12 minutes ago
At 4:00: We'll have the results from the NBC News/Survey Monkey poll conducted *after* Comey's announcement
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #1058 on: October 31, 2016, 02:22:36 PM »

Steve Kornacki ‏@SteveKornacki  12m12 minutes ago
At 4:00: We'll have the results from the NBC News/Survey Monkey poll conducted *after* Comey's announcement

Nice! These will come out just before my afternoon class.

50/44 and 46/41/7/3 in their Oct 17-23, btw.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #1059 on: October 31, 2016, 02:31:06 PM »

I think it'll close to a four point lead both four way and two way
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Southern Delegate matthew27
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« Reply #1060 on: October 31, 2016, 02:36:21 PM »

Steve Kornacki ‏@SteveKornacki  12m12 minutes ago
At 4:00: We'll have the results from the NBC News/Survey Monkey poll conducted *after* Comey's announcement

Nice! These will come out just before my afternoon class.

50/44 and 46/41/7/3 in their Oct 17-23, btw.

Clinton +3 head to head/+4 in the 4 way.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #1061 on: October 31, 2016, 02:39:26 PM »

Clinton +7
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #1062 on: October 31, 2016, 02:39:45 PM »

Clinton +2, if she is lucky.
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Horus
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« Reply #1063 on: October 31, 2016, 02:42:57 PM »

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The Other Castro
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« Reply #1064 on: October 31, 2016, 03:03:10 PM »


Lol well I'll be damned.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #1065 on: October 31, 2016, 03:12:38 PM »


Yeah. An unexpected winner, I have to say.
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Doimper
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« Reply #1066 on: October 31, 2016, 03:14:07 PM »


lol
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #1067 on: October 31, 2016, 03:23:33 PM »

once again I remind everyone that discussion of polls once released is to be done in the polls forum, not here. This thread is only for hints and leaks about polls before they come out.
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elcorazon
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« Reply #1068 on: October 31, 2016, 03:32:41 PM »

once again I remind everyone that discussion of polls once released is to be done in the polls forum, not here. This thread is only for hints and leaks about polls before they come out.
Why is this such a point of contention? How does it hurt to comment on the accuracy of the pre poll guesses in the same thread as the guesses? It seems like way too much concern about something relatively minor...no?
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #1069 on: October 31, 2016, 03:42:30 PM »

I have made an exception on the guessing. I have had to delete many many many comments that are standard poll analysis, discussion, debunking, junk-calling, etc.  Hence the warnings.  All discussion/analysis/critique of a poll post-release will be deleted in this thread.
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #1070 on: October 31, 2016, 03:43:57 PM »

I have to say, I come here to find news about upcoming polls, I don't care what other people think the upcoming polls could be Wink
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SPQR
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« Reply #1071 on: November 01, 2016, 07:02:37 AM »

once again I remind everyone that discussion of polls once released is to be done in the polls forum, not here. This thread is only for hints and leaks about polls before they come out.
Why is this such a point of contention? How does it hurt to comment on the accuracy of the pre poll guesses in the same thread as the guesses? It seems like way too much concern about something relatively minor...no?

Well honestly, I think this thread is much more useful if it sticks to announcing upcoming polls.

There are about 4205445 other topics where one can discuss about the accuracy of the pollsters, or where one can make predictions about where the race stands.
On the other hand, it's much more difficult to find news about future polls.
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Gustaf
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« Reply #1072 on: November 01, 2016, 07:12:36 AM »

I wish people would keep the guessing elsewhere. It serves zero purpose and is just a potential source of confusion and a certain source of noise.
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F_S_USATN
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« Reply #1073 on: November 01, 2016, 08:30:25 AM »

To me, guessing is part of the hype. Most of these polls have websites where they let you know when they will release.

I kind of expect a MU law poll tmrw but nothing on the website or from Charles Franklin. They usually do one a month and the last one was 3 weeks ago.
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #1074 on: November 01, 2016, 09:03:03 AM »

MonmouthPoll ‏@MonmouthPoll 7m7 minutes ago

Coming today:  MISSOURI

Our priors had -
Prez: Trump going from +1 in August to +5 in October
#MOSen: Blunt going from +5 to +2
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