New poll hype thread

[heatcharger]

I'll guess Trump +8, Blunt +2, Koster +4.

[The Other Castro]

Tom Bonier –  ‏@tbonier
@marcus_356 We'll be releasing a new poll there tomorrow, and will have EV/AV numbers matched back to actual vote history."


Targetsmart will apparently release FL poll tomorrow.

Update on this from today:

Tom Bonier
‏@tbonier
4) Tomorrow AM we will release our latest @_TargetSmart and W&M tracking survey of Florida, including full breakouts of EV/AV.

Tom Bonier
‏@tbonier
5) I've seen the initial results, and I can say they will challenge the conventional wisdom of where the race stands. Tune in tomorrow!

Based on what Tom has been saying about Dem strength among unaffiliated voters, I think he's going spring on us a Clinton +5 poll or something like that.

[Brittain33]

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Is Tom affiliated with the Dems or a contractor for Dems? I want to believe what he writes, but am not sure if I need to filter out happy talk.

[HillOfANight]

http://targetsmart.com/staff/tom-bonier/
CEO of TargetSmart, a Democratic data firm
http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/nbc-teams-with-dem-firm-for-2016/article/2571613

I believe his numbers are accurate, but biased (he only puts out positive Dem stuff).

[calvinhobbesliker]

Is anyone going to release a Wisconsin poll soon?

Since Marquette always releases on Wednesdays, tomorrow is their last chance to put out a WI poll.

[Dr. Arch]

On a different note, when are the final polls usually released? A day or two before ED?

[100% pro-life no matter what]

I almost don't want to look at polls for this next week to have a maximum-suspense Election Night, but I know I won't be able to do that.

[F_S_USATN]

On a different note, when are the final polls usually released? A day or two before ED?

Yea I think we got 9 or 10 national polls released the Sunday and Monday before in 2012 but it seemed like we had alot more polls coming out overall back then.

I'd be surprised if we got 9(fairly reputable) national polls the rest of the way out.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Is anyone going to release a Wisconsin poll soon?

Since Marquette always releases on Wednesdays, tomorrow is their last chance to put out a WI poll.

https://twitter.com/mulaw/status/793527535803899905

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[heatcharger]

I'll guess Clinton +7/+8 and Feingold +8.

[The Other Castro]

I have a bad feeling about this poll for some reason, mostly based on their past trends (not because I think WI is actually in danger). I hope I'm wrong, but I'll say Trump +1.

[Dr. Arch]

I have a bad feeling about this poll for some reason, mostly based on their past trends (not because I think WI is actually in danger). I hope I'm wrong, but I'll say Trump +1.

Pffffff

[Old Man Willow]

If Clinton is at 46% or lower, whether she's ahead or not, it is technically a lead for Trump.

[elcorazon]

Clinton +1
Feingold +5

[Fusionmunster]

If Clinton is at 46% or lower, whether she's ahead or not, it is technically a lead for Trump.

Your not very good at this, are you?

[Dr. Arch]

I'll guess Clinton +7/+8 and Feingold +8.

[Old Man Willow]

If Clinton is at 46% or lower, whether she's ahead or not, it is technically a lead for Trump.

Your not very good at this, are you?

Are you familiar with my theories on undecideds/Johnson voters?

[GeorgiaModerate]

If Clinton is at 46% or lower, whether she's ahead or not, it is technically a lead for Trump.

Only if Trump has more than Clinton does, unless you're using some strange definition of "lead" with which I am not familiar.

[Speed of Sound]

Their previous was this from Oct 6-9th:

44/37 Clinton in the 4-way
46/42 in the 2-way

46/44 for Feingold.

[TC 25]

Clinton by 2

[Erich Maria Remarque]

If Clinton is at 46% or lower, whether she's ahead or not, it is technically a lead for Trump.

Your not very good at this, are you?

Are you familiar with my theories on undecideds/Johnson voters?

The fact that you're using my theory doesn't make it yours

Clinton +4 and trending Truuump.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Clinton +1
Feingold +4

[windjammer]

Keep in mind Marquette has been more gop friendly than the other pollsters

[heatcharger]

Keep in mind Marquette has been more gop friendly than the other pollsters

Yeah, if this poll shows Clinton +2 and Feingold +3 or something low like that, I think this is the year Marquette gets exposed.

[Speed of Sound]

Keep in mind Marquette has been more gop friendly than the other pollsters

Eyeballing it, looks like by about 3 points, yeah.