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Author Topic: New poll hype thread  (Read 94223 times)
Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #1100 on: November 01, 2016, 02:32:41 PM »

Keep in mind Marquette has been more gop friendly than the other pollsters

Eyeballing it, looks like by about 3 points, yeah.
Keep in mind Marquette has been more gop friendly than the other pollsters

Eh... what? But I like ↓↓↓this↓↓↓ attitude Smiley

Yeah, if this poll shows Clinton +2 and Feingold +3 or something low like that, I think this is the year Marquette gets exposed.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #1101 on: November 01, 2016, 02:34:45 PM »

Does Marquette ever give hints about their results?
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #1102 on: November 01, 2016, 02:36:33 PM »

Keep in mind Marquette has been more gop friendly than the other pollsters

Eyeballing it, looks like by about 3 points, yeah.
Keep in mind Marquette has been more gop friendly than the other pollsters

Eh... what?

Purely in relation to the other polls of WI released around the same time. I just eyeballed it from RCP's average.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/wi/wisconsin_trump_vs_clinton-5659.html#polls

In no way does that mean Marquette is wrong to be ~3 points less D friendly than other polls, but they have been.
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dspNY
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« Reply #1103 on: November 01, 2016, 02:45:13 PM »

I'll guess Clinton +5 and Feingold +6 for their final poll. They usually realize how the state tilts in their last poll and will adjust accordingly
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F_S_USATN
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« Reply #1104 on: November 01, 2016, 04:07:32 PM »

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Horus
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« Reply #1105 on: November 01, 2016, 04:08:28 PM »

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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #1106 on: November 01, 2016, 04:09:56 PM »

clinton + 4
Johnson + 1
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #1107 on: November 01, 2016, 04:10:12 PM »

Clinton +9
Feingold +7
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #1108 on: November 01, 2016, 04:11:24 PM »

Don't dare you be right again! Angry
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Ronnie
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« Reply #1109 on: November 01, 2016, 04:15:25 PM »

Trump seems to have gotten a really big swing in the midwest.  I have a feeling the crack in the firewall will be WI.

Clinton +1 in tomorrow's Marquette poll.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #1110 on: November 01, 2016, 04:16:52 PM »

Trump seems to have gotten a really big swing in the midwest.  I have a feeling the crack in the firewall will be WI.

Clinton +1 in tomorrow's Marquette poll.

It won't be. The cracks are IA and OH, and we already know about those.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #1111 on: November 01, 2016, 04:17:12 PM »

Trump seems to have gotten a really big swing in the midwest.  I have a feeling the crack in the firewall will be WI.

Clinton +1 in tomorrow's Marquette poll.
What are you basing that on? One poll?

I posted another joke forecast, I doubt I'll be right again, though.
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Lachi
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« Reply #1112 on: November 01, 2016, 04:17:47 PM »

Trump seems to have gotten a really big swing in the midwest.  I have a feeling the crack in the firewall will be WI.

Clinton +1 in tomorrow's Marquette poll.

It won't be. The cracks are IA and OH, and we already know about those.
They weren't in the freiwal.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #1113 on: November 01, 2016, 04:18:32 PM »

Trump seems to have gotten a really big swing in the midwest.  I have a feeling the crack in the firewall will be WI.

Clinton +1 in tomorrow's Marquette poll.

It won't be. The cracks are IA and OH, and we already know about those.
They weren't in the freiwal.

He's talking about the firewall, not the freiwall Wink
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Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.
diskymike44
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« Reply #1114 on: November 01, 2016, 04:20:50 PM »


Wink fixed.
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Old Man Willow
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« Reply #1115 on: November 01, 2016, 04:21:49 PM »

Again, Clinton +1 is a lead for Trump in WI.
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mencken
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« Reply #1116 on: November 01, 2016, 04:22:32 PM »

Keep in mind Marquette has been more gop friendly than the other pollsters

In past years Marquette has also been more reality-friendly than other pollsters.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #1117 on: November 01, 2016, 04:29:59 PM »
« Edited: November 01, 2016, 04:33:08 PM by Maxwell »

Yep, Marquette is definitely a poll to pay attention to, agreeing with mencken here.

few pollsters matter as much as Marquette.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #1118 on: November 01, 2016, 04:36:58 PM »

Trump seems to have gotten a really big swing in the midwest.  I have a feeling the crack in the firewall will be WI.

Clinton +1 in tomorrow's Marquette poll.

It won't be. The cracks are IA and OH, and we already know about those.
They weren't in the freiwal.

He's talking about the firewall, not the freiwall Wink

I actually was talking about the freiwal.  Didn't think there was a difference...
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Xing
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« Reply #1119 on: November 01, 2016, 04:42:46 PM »

Clinton +5
Feingold +4
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IceSpear
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« Reply #1120 on: November 01, 2016, 04:51:57 PM »

Keep in mind Marquette has been more gop friendly than the other pollsters

In past years Marquette has also been more reality-friendly than other pollsters.

Yep. I think their record is even better than Selzer at this point. If Trump is ahead, prepare to break out the adult diapers.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
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« Reply #1121 on: November 01, 2016, 04:53:24 PM »


Swap these.
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OneJ
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« Reply #1122 on: November 01, 2016, 05:33:53 PM »

PPP on Twitter: Just got out of field in 2 Midwestern states we tracked a week ago- margin unchanged in one, Hillary actually doing 2 points better in other.

Link: https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/793498394543218688
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #1123 on: November 01, 2016, 05:45:57 PM »

It's funny how there's a good chance we'll see Clinton leading by more in Florida than Wisconsin tomorrow.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #1124 on: November 01, 2016, 05:50:43 PM »
« Edited: November 01, 2016, 05:55:44 PM by Happy Sad Trumpista »

It's funny how there's a good chance we'll see Clinton leading by more in Florida than Wisconsin tomorrow.
What do you mean?

Because FL poll is coming from D firm, while WI is coming from WI's gold standard non-partisan pollster?

Agree. It was my point in internals thread.
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