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  Talk Elections
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  2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
  GA-InsiderAdvantage/FOX5 Atlanta: Deal up by 0.3 points
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Author Topic: GA-InsiderAdvantage/FOX5 Atlanta: Deal up by 0.3 points  (Read 1122 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: October 03, 2014, 11:53:35 am »

43.7% Deal
43.4% Carter
  4.0% Hunt
  9.0% Undecided

Today’s poll surveyed 947 likely voters between Monday and Wednesday by automated phone calls and online, and it has a 3.2 percent margin of error.

http://chronicle.augusta.com/news/government/elections/2014-10-03/poll-ga-senate-governor-races-tied
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #1 on: October 03, 2014, 11:56:32 am »

Jason Carter is stll keeping it close.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #2 on: October 03, 2014, 12:05:28 pm »

Deal led by 4 I think in their last poll, so Carter is gaining.
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King
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« Reply #3 on: October 03, 2014, 12:35:09 pm »

IA is still a thing?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #4 on: October 03, 2014, 12:45:47 pm »

Big Deal!
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Joshua
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« Reply #5 on: October 03, 2014, 12:57:23 pm »

>Decimals
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Chief Justice windjammer
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« Reply #6 on: October 03, 2014, 01:01:00 pm »

InsiderAdvantage is a joke firm.

So Carter is probably leading.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #7 on: October 03, 2014, 02:54:16 pm »

New Poll: Georgia Governor by Insider Advantage on 2014-10-01

Summary: D: 43%, R: 44%, I: 4%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Pack the Court & Lock Him Up
Adam Griffin
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« Reply #8 on: October 05, 2014, 01:06:22 am »
« Edited: October 05, 2014, 01:41:43 am by Lowly Griff »

Fantastic news! If IA could be trusted and we went off its crosstabs, Carter getting 32% of the white vote is enough for a majority. Looking at the crosstabs, though...I really don't think Carter will do that well with whites and blacks are oversampled here as well.

On the other hand, Latinos/Asians/others are only 2% of the poll (should be at least 5-6% in this election) and they're skewed very heavily to Deal. In addition to that, the oversampling of blacks is cancelled out by the fact that the poll only shows 66% voting for Carter at the moment.

I think overall it balances out, and this is a tie at the moment.

What I do find hilarious (and it's not just IA: other polls have shown this, too) is the 18-29 demographic going for Carter and Perdue each by about 10 points.

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