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March 03, 2021, 10:45:25 AM

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  GA-InsiderAdvantage/FOX5 Atlanta: Deal up by 0.3 points (search mode)
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Author Topic: GA-InsiderAdvantage/FOX5 Atlanta: Deal up by 0.3 points  (Read 1222 times)
Where We Griff 1 We Griff All
Adam Griffin
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Posts: 17,961

Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26


« on: October 05, 2014, 01:06:22 AM »
« edited: October 05, 2014, 01:41:43 AM by Lowly Griff »

Fantastic news! If IA could be trusted and we went off its crosstabs, Carter getting 32% of the white vote is enough for a majority. Looking at the crosstabs, though...I really don't think Carter will do that well with whites and blacks are oversampled here as well.

On the other hand, Latinos/Asians/others are only 2% of the poll (should be at least 5-6% in this election) and they're skewed very heavily to Deal. In addition to that, the oversampling of blacks is cancelled out by the fact that the poll only shows 66% voting for Carter at the moment.

I think overall it balances out, and this is a tie at the moment.

What I do find hilarious (and it's not just IA: other polls have shown this, too) is the 18-29 demographic going for Carter and Perdue each by about 10 points.

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