GA-InsiderAdvantage/FOX5 Atlanta: Deal up by 0.3 points
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 29, 2024, 07:44:54 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
  GA-InsiderAdvantage/FOX5 Atlanta: Deal up by 0.3 points
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: GA-InsiderAdvantage/FOX5 Atlanta: Deal up by 0.3 points  (Read 1451 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 03, 2014, 11:53:35 AM »

43.7% Deal
43.4% Carter
  4.0% Hunt
  9.0% Undecided

Today’s poll surveyed 947 likely voters between Monday and Wednesday by automated phone calls and online, and it has a 3.2 percent margin of error.

http://chronicle.augusta.com/news/government/elections/2014-10-03/poll-ga-senate-governor-races-tied
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,806
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 03, 2014, 11:56:32 AM »

Jason Carter is stll keeping it close.
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,876


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 03, 2014, 12:05:28 PM »

Deal led by 4 I think in their last poll, so Carter is gaining.
Logged
King
intermoderate
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,357
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 03, 2014, 12:35:09 PM »

IA is still a thing?
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 03, 2014, 12:45:47 PM »

Big Deal!
Logged
Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
Joshua
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,710
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: -5.91

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 03, 2014, 12:57:23 PM »

>Decimals
Logged
windjammer
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,512
France


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 03, 2014, 01:01:00 PM »

InsiderAdvantage is a joke firm.

So Carter is probably leading.
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,876


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 03, 2014, 02:54:16 PM »

New Poll: Georgia Governor by Insider Advantage on 2014-10-01

Summary: D: 43%, R: 44%, I: 4%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,090
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 05, 2014, 01:06:22 AM »
« Edited: October 05, 2014, 01:41:43 AM by Lowly Griff »

Fantastic news! If IA could be trusted and we went off its crosstabs, Carter getting 32% of the white vote is enough for a majority. Looking at the crosstabs, though...I really don't think Carter will do that well with whites and blacks are oversampled here as well.

On the other hand, Latinos/Asians/others are only 2% of the poll (should be at least 5-6% in this election) and they're skewed very heavily to Deal. In addition to that, the oversampling of blacks is cancelled out by the fact that the poll only shows 66% voting for Carter at the moment.

I think overall it balances out, and this is a tie at the moment.

What I do find hilarious (and it's not just IA: other polls have shown this, too) is the 18-29 demographic going for Carter and Perdue each by about 10 points.

Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.037 seconds with 13 queries.