Quebec: April 7, 2014

[MaxQue]

I should note that if I lived in Quebec, I'd be voting UCQ.

Sadly for you, they are running exactly one candidate (Châteauguay).

I think we can say they are in terminal phase, as Parti Indépendantiste (1 candidate too).

[Hatman 🍁]

Well, once the NDP runs in the next election, there will be no point for the UCQ.

BTW, why isn't the NDP running at least a paper candidate? I know in some provinces for a party to remain registered they have to run at least one candidate. (Like in Saskatchewan, the Progressive Conservatives still run one or two paper candidates)

[MaxQue]

Well, once the NDP runs in the next election, there will be no point for the UCQ.

BTW, why isn't the NDP running at least a paper candidate? I know in some provinces for a party to remain registered they have to run at least one candidate. (Like in Saskatchewan, the Progressive Conservatives still run one or two paper candidates)

We had a pretty high limit (I think it was someone like 20 candidates to keep its registration), which was stuck down by courts, after a lawsuit from a small party.

[MaxQue]

I found it, it was 10.

[Citizen Hats]

Well, once the NDP runs in the next election, there will be no point for the UCQ.

BTW, why isn't the NDP running at least a paper candidate? I know in some provinces for a party to remain registered they have to run at least one candidate. (Like in Saskatchewan, the Progressive Conservatives still run one or two paper candidates)

We had a pretty high limit (I think it was someone like 20 candidates to keep its registration), which was stuck down by courts, after a lawsuit from a small party.

It could be that they're allowed to skip an election.  In BC you have to run two candidates in two elections to maintain registration, which kept the ol' BC SoCreds barely alive until after the last spring election.  I was quite amused to come across some of their lawnsigns in Vancouver-Hastings while I was working for the BC Libs

[MaxQue]

Well, once the NDP runs in the next election, there will be no point for the UCQ.

BTW, why isn't the NDP running at least a paper candidate? I know in some provinces for a party to remain registered they have to run at least one candidate. (Like in Saskatchewan, the Progressive Conservatives still run one or two paper candidates)

We had a pretty high limit (I think it was someone like 20 candidates to keep its registration), which was stuck down by courts, after a lawsuit from a small party.

It could be that they're allowed to skip an election.  In BC you have to run two candidates in two elections to maintain registration, which kept the ol' BC SoCreds barely alive until after the last spring election.  I was quite amused to come across some of their lawnsigns in Vancouver-Hastings while I was working for the BC Libs

It was replaced by a 100 members requirement. Communist Party was deregistred after they failed to have 100 members in 2012 (the reason being than they don't run candidates (they are part of QS), they only protect the name from being taken by the federalist Communist Party (the party split in two over national question. The registered party is the independantist one).

[Hatman 🍁]

I divided my model based on the Leger regions, and used just their numbers and got:

PLQ: 67
PQ: 54
CAQ: 3
QS: 1

QS down to 1 seat because they were at 9% in Montreal.

Some surprises: Dubuc going Liberal (maybe possible, but probably just me underestimating Couillard's support in Roberval and that extra support is flowing into the other ridings, which was enough to put the Liberals ahead in Dubuc) and Sherbrooke going Liberal (I might have to thinker with this one to calculate Charest's personal vote in past elections)

[RogueBeaver]

Anyone thought of a drinking game for tonight's debate? I'd recommend NOT using "paradis fiscal", otherwise you may have BAC problems.

[the506]

Is there any English translation tonight?

[Poirot]

I think it's on CPAC, try that.

[the506]

Thanks!

[RogueBeaver]

Two good takes on last night's debate.

[RogueBeaver]

Disgusting.

[MaxQue]

Disgusting.

I have a great deal of respect for Janette Bertrand, but I fear she is getting senile.

[RogueBeaver]

On another subject, I think Couillard did quite well on TLMEP. As is Marois, though they're persistent on PKP.

[RogueBeaver]

PQ would invoke the notwithstanding clause on the charter.

Merci beaucoup, Mme David.

Recap of the ID debate since '07.

How previous final weeks turned out.

[RogueBeaver]

BOOM goes the dynamite, but dunno how much damage this will cause. So much scandal... were it not a week out I'd be tempted to say voter cynicism wins out.

[RogueBeaver]

Don't freak out about the CAQ's CROP internal.

[RogueBeaver]

Legault promises to cancel the latest Hydro hike.

Marois says the financing allegations are a smear job.

I like this Gagnon column a lot.

[MaxQue]

Going to vote in a few hours.

[DL]

FWIW Forum has a new poll out today

PLQ - 41%
PQ - 29%
CAQ - 19%
QS - 7%

That would likely lead to a Liberal landslide in seats.

[Zanas]

I prefer PQ to PLQ, not by much, but this whole thing is hilarious from the beginning. It's like a trainwreck under an avalanche.

[Hatman 🍁]

Finally, a public poll!

[DC Al Fine]

Finally, a public poll!

It's been an effing week

[RogueBeaver]

We will get a CROP later this week, hopefully another Leger too.