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  NC-PPP: Hagan trailing or tied, GOP primary is more or less a 5-way tie
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Author Topic: NC-PPP: Hagan trailing or tied, GOP primary is more or less a 5-way tie  (Read 2185 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: December 10, 2013, 11:06:45 am »

Hagan approval:

43-49

Obama approval:

44-55

...

In head-to-head match ups, Hagan is statistically tied with all five candidates. Brannon and Flynn best her by two points, 43 percent for Hagan to 45 percent for the GOP rivals. Grant and Harris are tied with Hagan at 43 percent and Tillis is down two points.

The federal health care law remains unpopular in North Carolina, at 38 percent approval to 50 percent disapproval, the poll found. And the implementation of the program is considered unsuccessful by 65 percent of registered voters. Another 30 percent considered it successful.

...

Thom Tillis’ stock in the U.S. Senate race is falling

A new Public Policy Polling survey released Tuesday shows the House speaker’s support in the Republican primary dropped from 20 percent a month ago to 13 percent in December.

Tillis – the establishment candidate backed by Karl Rove, Mitch McConnell and John Boehner – took 13 percent in a hypothetical match up against his GOP rivals. All five Republican candidates are clumped within 5 points in a poll with a 4.3 percent margin of error, making the race essentially a tie. A plurality – 44 percent – of Republican primary voters are still undecided in the race.

Tillis took 20 percent in the Democratic polling firm’s November survey, finishing six points ahead of his closest challenger, Rev. Mark Harris. But now Harris is one point behind at 12 percent, followed by Heather Grant and Greg Brannon at 11 percent and Bill Flynn at 8 percent.

The change is possibly attributed to two factors: Flynn entered the race since the last poll and further fractures the field and PPP’s survey landed last weekend just as the Senate Majority PAC began airing TV ads boosting Democratic incumbent Kay Hagan and attacking Tillis.

http://www.newsobserver.com/2013/12/10/3449106/gop-senate-race-jumbled-tillis.html
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Conflicted Progressive
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« Reply #1 on: December 10, 2013, 11:10:07 am »

It will be tough for Hagan unless she can get out of the low 40s, though (hopefully) this will be her (and Obama's) low polling point this cycle.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #2 on: December 10, 2013, 01:44:45 pm »

This could be the end of these white liberals in the South for another generation.
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Miles
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« Reply #3 on: December 10, 2013, 02:06:49 pm »

This could be the end of these white liberals in the South for another generation.

'Nevermind that a majority of the NC statewide offices are held by officials that you'd consider 'white liberals.'

Please stop trolling. You're capable of better comments. I know you think everyone else here isn't as smart as you, but still, you sound like an idiot.  
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #4 on: December 10, 2013, 02:10:55 pm »

This could be the end of these white liberals in the South for another generation.

'Nevermind that a majority of the NC statewide offices are held by officials that you'd consider 'white liberals.'

Please stop trolling. You're capable of better comments. I know you think everyone else here isn't as smart as you, but still, you sound like an idiot.  
If you are so bothered by Krazen, why don't you just put him on ignore?



I agree with what was stated above - the outcome of this race will likely depend on the national environment.
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Miles
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« Reply #5 on: December 10, 2013, 02:20:55 pm »

This could be the end of these white liberals in the South for another generation.

'Nevermind that a majority of the NC statewide offices are held by officials that you'd consider 'white liberals.'

Please stop trolling. You're capable of better comments. I know you think everyone else here isn't as smart as you, but still, you sound like an idiot.  
If you are so bothered by Krazen, why don't you just put him on ignore?

His posts are kinda like porn...both are very crude and you ideally shouldn't look at either, but sometimes you give into the temptation anyway.
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morgieb
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« Reply #6 on: December 10, 2013, 06:58:39 pm »

Not surprising. Hagan would be a goner against a decent candidate.
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #7 on: December 11, 2013, 09:22:21 am »
« Edited: December 11, 2013, 09:24:53 am by OC »

With a net 4 seat loss or a tied senate we will probable win either KY or NC and win a runoff in either Ga or La.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #8 on: December 11, 2013, 09:42:37 am »

This could be the end of these white liberals in the South for another generation.

'Nevermind that a majority of the NC statewide offices are held by officials that you'd consider 'white liberals.'

Please stop trolling. You're capable of better comments. I know you think everyone else here isn't as smart as you, but still, you sound like an idiot.  
If you are so bothered by Krazen, why don't you just put him on ignore?

His posts are kinda like porn...both are very crude and you ideally shouldn't look at either, but sometimes you give into the temptation anyway.

This is just an opinion. Nothing bad about it.

I didn't delete it.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #9 on: December 11, 2013, 04:33:17 pm »

I remember when Hagan was up 14. Wow have times changed.
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Dancing with Myself
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« Reply #10 on: December 28, 2013, 10:28:29 pm »

Hagan's got some work to do if she wants to stay alive.

She won in 2008 due to anti incumbency favor and a great ad campaign. Dole helped her by being extremely negative and the religion deal sold it for Hagan. Plus along with Perdue she coatailed Obama.

She has to be careful or irony will hit her.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #11 on: December 29, 2013, 12:37:00 am »

Yeah, Hagan does not strike me as a strong candidate at all, and her main hope for 2014 is that the Republicans nominate a weak candidate, which it looks like they may. She isn't the type of candidate who can localize an election, which is something crucial for a Democrat's success in the South.
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Holmes
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« Reply #12 on: December 29, 2013, 12:53:39 am »

This could be the end of these white liberals in the South for another generation.

I agree that it would be worrisome, but don't worry. Hagan will slay the competition. Hang in there, krazen. She's got this. Smiley

There's no one representing North Carolina that cares as much for the state and bringing business to the state than Hagan does.
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Miles
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« Reply #13 on: December 29, 2013, 01:15:02 am »

Yeah, Hagan does not strike me as a strong candidate at all, and her main hope for 2014 is that the Republicans nominate a weak candidate, which it looks like they may. She isn't the type of candidate who can localize an election, which is something crucial for a Democrat's success in the South.

Just to name a few things, she's done a lot of work with state military bases and is pushing for federal legislation restoring unemployment benefits to circumvent the Assembly.
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #14 on: January 02, 2014, 12:49:45 pm »

New Poll: North Carolina Senator by Public Policy Polling on 2013-12-08

Summary: D: 43%, R: 44%, U: 13%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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hopper
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« Reply #15 on: January 18, 2014, 02:32:22 am »

This could be the end of these white liberals in the South for another generation.
No Southern Dems are right of center mostly sort of like Northeast Moderate Republicans.
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