AR Congressional Races 2014
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Author Topic: AR Congressional Races 2014  (Read 73873 times)
RogueBeaver
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« Reply #100 on: July 29, 2013, 10:54:03 AM »
It doesn't make much sense to run in the 2nd or 4th, he'd lose either one.
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windjammer
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« Reply #101 on: July 29, 2013, 10:58:23 AM »
Yes, too far on the left. He should move in an another region. I don't know, Vermont?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #102 on: July 29, 2013, 11:13:44 AM »
I don't think any Dem would win them. Even Ross after his backflip.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #103 on: July 29, 2013, 11:41:24 AM »
Halter's spox gives an answer that amounts to no comment on seeking another office this cycle.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #104 on: July 29, 2013, 04:45:23 PM »
Brummett reports that Halter's real goal is to gain the party's blessing as consensus nominee against Boozman in 2016. By means of running against Griffin- win or lose.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #105 on: July 29, 2013, 05:39:16 PM »
Tolbert reports that Darr has moved back into CD4 and confirms that Cotton's announcement will be in August. Probably within the next 2 weeks IMO.
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Morning in Atlas
SawxDem
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« Reply #106 on: July 29, 2013, 05:58:50 PM »
So is he morphing into the closest thing Democrats have to Ovide Lamontagne or John Raese?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #107 on: July 29, 2013, 06:14:45 PM »
If he runs and loses these 2 races, then yeah.
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Warren 4 Secretary of Everything
Clinton1996
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« Reply #108 on: July 29, 2013, 06:19:22 PM »
I'd love for Tom Cotton to lose just to see his star fade. The guy is legally insane.
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morgieb
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« Reply #109 on: July 29, 2013, 06:31:27 PM »
Quote from: Sawx on July 29, 2013, 05:58:50 PM
So is he morphing into the closest thing Democrats have to Ovide Lamontagne or John Raese?
Haha at least Halter won a statewide office.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #110 on: July 29, 2013, 07:48:22 PM »
Pub polling is being conducted. Questions include Pryor/Cotton, NRA favorability and messaging on Pryor/Obama being anti-gun. Can only imagine what this is for. Tongue
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #111 on: July 31, 2013, 07:57:17 AM »
Pryor's getting joined in the primary by St. Rep. Bobby Tullis and a Some Dude. Alas, Tullis won't get any traction.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #112 on: July 31, 2013, 08:32:38 AM »
Cotton will be having a campaign dinner in his hometown of Dardanelle on Tuesday, where he's going to reveal his political plans.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #113 on: July 31, 2013, 10:03:24 AM »
Darr will be making an announcement today. Either he says publicly he's moving back to Mansfield (his hometown, in the 4th) or jumps the gun.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #114 on: July 31, 2013, 10:15:22 AM »
AP reporting Cotton will announce for Senate.
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illegaloperation
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« Reply #115 on: July 31, 2013, 10:43:35 AM »
Quote from: RogueBeaver on July 31, 2013, 10:15:22 AM
AP reporting Cotton will announce for Senate.

Yup.

http://www.politico.com/story/2013/07/tom-cotton-arkansas-senate-run-94978.html?hp=bn
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #116 on: July 31, 2013, 10:48:01 AM »
Maybe now PPP will finally poll here. I'm curious to see how Pryor responds to Cotton's entry. Probably safe to imagine it involves more Bubba.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #117 on: July 31, 2013, 11:47:49 AM »
He did save her in the primary, not so much the general. Tongue

First domino topples: Westerman will run in the 4th. Darr will let it be known he's running later today, but I assume neither will publicly jump the gun.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #118 on: July 31, 2013, 12:09:59 PM »
Pryor's campaign responds with not hopscotch, but Cotton's voting record. Weird tack for an R+14 state.
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windjammer
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« Reply #119 on: July 31, 2013, 12:14:30 PM »

I suppose farm bill is popular?
Honestly, maybe it's a R+14 state, but I don't think it's a Ted Cruz state. It's a social conservative, they're not so extreme on economy like Cotton.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #120 on: July 31, 2013, 12:31:54 PM »
Cook has moved this Senate race from Leans D to Tossup. Sabato already had it at Tossup before today.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #121 on: July 31, 2013, 12:40:48 PM »
St. Sen. Bruce Maloch (D) will not run in the 4th.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #122 on: July 31, 2013, 01:05:47 PM »
Darr said he's back in the 4th and will announce within 2-3 weeks, but the interview was done before Cotton leaked his news this morning. So Darr can move that timetable up if he wants. Jerry can correct me if I'm wrong, but I'd peg Westerman as the favorite in the 4th.
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Warren 4 Secretary of Everything
Clinton1996
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« Reply #123 on: July 31, 2013, 02:04:59 PM »
Cotton is one opportunistic little dick. It'd be one thing if he held office prior to being elected to Cingress. But he's announcing a run for Senate only 7 months after actualy being sworn into any office.
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #124 on: July 31, 2013, 05:52:11 PM »
AR-04 could be very competitive. Obama lost it 36-62, but the district was drawn to elect a Blue Dog like Mike Ross, who likely would've held it if he didn't retire.


AR-04's candidates:
*=Not formally announced, but has expressed interest


GOP:
State House Majority Leader Bruce Westerman
Lt. Gov Mark Darr
Businesswoman Beth Anne Rankin*

Democrats:
State Rep. Jeff Wardlaw*
State Sen. Bobby Pierce*
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