Georgia's Very Own Megathread!
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  Georgia's Very Own Megathread!
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1800 on: May 22, 2018, 07:20:19 PM »

There's a real chance that Abrams could go north of 66% with metro Atlanta still to be counted right?

Also looks all but certain that Kemp will do just enough to get to a run off as well

I wouldn't be too surprised to see Abrams break 70% based on the vote so far.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #1801 on: May 22, 2018, 07:20:40 PM »

I want to see Barrow clear 50% tonight. He's the only SOS candidate with a shot of actually winning.
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Not_Madigan
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« Reply #1802 on: May 22, 2018, 07:22:01 PM »

Barrow better beat a runoff.

GO ABRAMS!

GO EVERYONE BUT CAGLE CAUSE A RUNOFF!
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1803 on: May 22, 2018, 07:24:34 PM »

Barrow better beat a runoff.

GO ABRAMS!

GO EVERYONE BUT CAGLE CAUSE A RUNOFF!

Barrow's percentage keeps creeping up -- currently he's right at 52% with 7% in.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1804 on: May 22, 2018, 07:26:46 PM »

Hill gets a county. lol
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Bacon King
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« Reply #1805 on: May 22, 2018, 07:28:06 PM »

At this point I'm fairly confident:

Barrow will break 50%
Cagle won't break 50%
Abrams will win more than twice as many votes as Evans

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Not_Madigan
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« Reply #1806 on: May 22, 2018, 07:30:03 PM »


It's whitfield too :thinking:

Griffin was talking about it earlier, about it being weird on the GOP Side
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Bacon King
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« Reply #1807 on: May 22, 2018, 07:30:17 PM »

Barrow better beat a runoff.

GO ABRAMS!

GO EVERYONE BUT CAGLE CAUSE A RUNOFF!

Barrow's percentage keeps creeping up -- currently he's right at 52% with 7% in.

None of Atlanta in though.

he's >40% in both Clayton and Gwinnett, he has nothing to worry about in the metro
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #1808 on: May 22, 2018, 07:31:11 PM »

Gwinnett early vote just dropped.  Abrams with 3/4 the vote
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Bacon King
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« Reply #1809 on: May 22, 2018, 07:32:19 PM »

where do y'all see Hill winning Whitfield? it's not up on the SoS website yet (at least for me)
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Not_Madigan
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« Reply #1810 on: May 22, 2018, 07:33:12 PM »

where do y'all see Hill winning Whitfield? it's not up on the SoS website yet (at least for me)

On NYTImes
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1811 on: May 22, 2018, 07:38:48 PM »



The Freeze is a (very fast) guy who races fans during an inning break at Braves home games.
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Bacon King
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« Reply #1812 on: May 22, 2018, 07:41:15 PM »

Harry Enten is clearly a dog what does he even know about politics
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1813 on: May 22, 2018, 07:42:29 PM »

With 10%, Cagle (41%) and Kemp (26%) are headed for a runoff; Abrams is over 70%; and Barrow is still a bit above 50%.
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Bacon King
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« Reply #1814 on: May 22, 2018, 07:48:20 PM »

interesting note: everywhere John Barrow has ever represented in Congress (even counties that were in only one of his district's three iterations), he's winning by a mile. Usually with >70%, sometimes with 80% of the vote or more

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Buzz
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« Reply #1815 on: May 22, 2018, 07:55:39 PM »

Abrams at 72% lmao!
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Bacon King
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« Reply #1816 on: May 22, 2018, 07:57:40 PM »


and the best part is that's not even counting Fulton or DeKalb yet
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Bacon King
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« Reply #1817 on: May 22, 2018, 08:02:39 PM »

comparing early votes to election day:

Cagle is doing ~6 points worse on election day; Kemp is doing ~5 points better

Evans is performing 3 points worse, Abrams 3 points better
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1818 on: May 22, 2018, 08:03:33 PM »

With 25% in, Cagle has slipped below 40%; Abrams is now over 73%; and Barrow is hanging in around 52%.
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Holy Unifying Centrist
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« Reply #1819 on: May 22, 2018, 08:03:58 PM »

I actually think it's possible that democrats could end up outvoting republicans in the GA gov primary. Most of the outstanding areas are super D.

D's would have to outvote by a lot in election day returns, though.
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Bacon King
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« Reply #1820 on: May 22, 2018, 08:05:19 PM »

lmao Whitfield County is giving all five Republican gubernatorial candidates more than 10% (and nobody has more than a third)
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Bacon King
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« Reply #1821 on: May 22, 2018, 08:11:29 PM »

I actually think it's possible that democrats could end up outvoting republicans in the GA gov primary. Most of the outstanding areas are super D.

D's would have to outvote by a lot in election day returns, though.

of the votes that are already in:

while 37% of early votes were Democratic...
only 33% of election day votes were Democratic Sad

(this is just a comparison of the gubernatorial votes on both sides so it doesn't count the "neither party" weirdos who show up to vote for nothing but judicial races)

it's still theoretically possible for Democrats to outvote the GOP, but we'd need some massive yuge big league election day turnout in Fulton+Dekalb
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Rookie Yinzer
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« Reply #1822 on: May 22, 2018, 08:12:24 PM »

Wow. Embarrassing showing for Evans. Wow.
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Holy Unifying Centrist
DTC
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« Reply #1823 on: May 22, 2018, 08:13:52 PM »

I actually think it's possible that democrats could end up outvoting republicans in the GA gov primary. Most of the outstanding areas are super D.

D's would have to outvote by a lot in election day returns, though.

of the votes that are already in:

while 37% of early votes were Democratic...
only 33% of election day votes were Democratic Sad

(this is just a comparison of the gubernatorial votes on both sides so it doesn't count the "neither party" weirdos who show up to vote for nothing but judicial races)

it's still theoretically possible for Democrats to outvote the GOP, but we'd need some massive yuge big league election day turnout in Fulton+Dekalb

Ah. Looks like the GOP will still easily outvote then, but it'll be much less than 2016.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #1824 on: May 22, 2018, 08:21:58 PM »

Looks like Barrow may avoid the runoff. He is in the mid-40s in most of the Atlanta area, and has the majority of the vote in Fulton County. He's also getting huge majorities in the rest of the state.
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