2011 State Elections in Germany
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Author Topic: 2011 State Elections in Germany  (Read 237448 times)
Franzl
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« Reply #450 on: March 27, 2011, 11:21:08 AM »
Quote from: Senator Antonio V on March 27, 2011, 11:19:08 AM

Seeing Franzl so enraged is rare enough to be enjoyable. Grin

I can imagine Smiley
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #451 on: March 27, 2011, 11:24:33 AM »
1st ARD B.W. projection (18:11)Sad

38.2%    [-6.0] CDU
24.9% [+13.2] Greens
23.4%    [-1.8] SPD
  5.0%    [-5.7] FDP
  2.8%    [-0.3] Left
  5.7%   [+0.4] Others

Seats: 59 CDU, 37 Greens, 35 SPD, 8 FDP

Majority: 72 Greens-SPD, 67 CDU-FDP
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #452 on: March 27, 2011, 11:26:27 AM »
Nils Schmid (SPD) has a hot Turkish wife, I see ... Smiley
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #453 on: March 27, 2011, 11:27:07 AM »
I don't think the CDU/FDP have anyone to blame but themselves for this. lol.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #454 on: March 27, 2011, 11:28:42 AM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on March 27, 2011, 11:26:27 AM
Nils Schmid (SPD) has a hot Turkish wife, I see ... Smiley
Yeah, she's cute.

Quote from: Gweithiwr on March 27, 2011, 11:27:07 AM
I don't think the CDU/FDP have anyone to blame but themselves for this. lol.
TEPCO? Merkel? Each other?
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« Reply #455 on: March 27, 2011, 11:30:54 AM »
So will the FDP survive or not ? It looks dramatically close...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #456 on: March 27, 2011, 11:31:11 AM »
1st ARD R.P. projection (18:11)Sad

35.2%  [-10.4] SPD
34.2%   [+1.4] CDU
16.8% [+12.2] Greens
  4.0%    [-4.0] FDP
  3.2%   [+0.6] Left
  6.6%   [+0.2] Others

Seats: 41 SPD, 40 CDU, 20 Greens

Majority: 61 SPD-Greens, 40 CDU
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Franzl
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« Reply #457 on: March 27, 2011, 11:32:51 AM »
Quote from: Senator Antonio V on March 27, 2011, 11:30:54 AM
So will the FDP survive or not ? It looks dramatically close...

I hope not. Now that the left-wingers are in power, the FDP might as well be humiliated.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #458 on: March 27, 2011, 11:33:00 AM »
Next ARD projection has the CDU a little higher, but the FDP still riding at 5.0.
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Hans-im-Glück
Franken
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #459 on: March 27, 2011, 11:33:47 AM »
Quote from: Senator Antonio V on March 27, 2011, 11:30:54 AM
So will the FDP survive or not ? It looks dramatically close...

It will be hard days for the FDP, but they will survive.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #460 on: March 27, 2011, 11:33:59 AM »
ZDF figures are slightly worse for Greens and better for CDU.

ZDF has the Greens slightly above 24% in BW and at 15% in RP.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #461 on: March 27, 2011, 11:38:55 AM »
ZDF sees a 78-72 seat majority for Greens-SPD now.
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DL
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« Reply #462 on: March 27, 2011, 11:39:26 AM »
What purpose does the FDP serve anyways? Why don't they just fold and merge with the CDU?
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« Reply #463 on: March 27, 2011, 11:41:09 AM »
5.1% Sad
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #464 on: March 27, 2011, 11:41:57 AM »
The latest ARD projection has the Greens now down to 24.2% ...
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #465 on: March 27, 2011, 11:42:04 AM »
Yeah, prognosis definitely undersold the BaWü CDU.
38.8 - 23.5 - 24.2 - 5.1 - 2.7.
While Mappus is definitely abgeschaltet, the majority might get sort of short. And the SPD might even end up ahead of the Greens in the end.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« Reply #466 on: March 27, 2011, 11:48:37 AM »
Why does the CDU get 60 while normally it would be entitled of 59 seats ? Are there Überhangtmandaten also at the Land level ? Huh
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #467 on: March 27, 2011, 11:50:26 AM »
The new ZDF projection has the FDP right at the 5% barrier now.

Greens-SPD now leads with 77-72 seats.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #468 on: March 27, 2011, 11:54:03 AM »
39.1 - 23.2 - 24.0 - 5.1

Remember that the state counts fastish, as it's just one vote.
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You kip if you want to...
change08
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #469 on: March 27, 2011, 11:59:46 AM »
Well done to the SPD and the Greens!
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #470 on: March 27, 2011, 12:04:31 PM »
Mappus just talked. Was unclear on whether or not he wants to lead the opposition, but certainly has conceded defeat.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #471 on: March 27, 2011, 12:07:24 PM »
Rhineland-Pfalz has a nice site that updates as precincts come in. Baden-Württemberg does not.
Half the votes are counted in RhP.

2011    36,7%    35,5%    4,1%    13,8%    3,2%    6,7%
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #472 on: March 27, 2011, 12:09:45 PM »
Green vote gains: 265k from nonvoters, 137k from SPD, 149k from CDU/FDP, 34k from Left. (BaWü)
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #473 on: March 27, 2011, 12:12:22 PM »
« Edited: March 27, 2011, 12:13:58 PM by new, improved Lewis Trondheim »
First constituency is in (while here in Hesse, nothing whatsoever is known)

Heidelberg
Greens 36.7 (+15.7)
CDU 28.0 (-6.6)
SPD 22.9 (-2.9)
FDP 5.3 (-6.4)
Left 3.4 (-0.8)
turnout 67.2 (+14.3)

And a second

Schwäbisch Gmünd
CDU 43.9 (-4.2)
SPD 24.4 (-2.7)
Greens 18.8 (+10.1)
FDP 3.9 (-4.3)
Left 2.9 (+0.1)
turnout 66.3 (+13.7)
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #474 on: March 27, 2011, 12:17:59 PM »
Wait, did Westerwelle just say he's against nuclear power from right now on? Certainly could be interpreted that way.
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