2010 Primaries Thread (It's all over now, baby blue)

[Sam Spade]

Fincher must have a real strong personal vote in Crockett County.

He's from there (Frog Jump, as someone around here, I can't remember who, is so happy to point out).

Oh, I know he's from there.  The point is that the result (numbers and turnout) there is quite impressive even though he's from there.

[Sam Spade]

Really don't see how DesJarlais and Fleischmann don't win at this point.  TN-06 is still anyone's game.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Herron's primary challenger carried Montgomery and Shelby Counties. They're on opposite ends of the district. Um... okay?

[Torie]

Thanks Johnny for the info. She does seem well, unfortunate.

[Torie]

Really don't see how DesJarlais and Fleischmann don't win at this point.  TN-06 is still anyone's game.

Ya, it seems like a "false alarm" as it were. Not enough precincts left to close the gap for Robin.

[Sam Spade]

Herron's primary challenger carried Montgomery and Shelby Counties. They're on opposite ends of the district. Um... okay?

Dickson over in the east part is almost tied too.  Herron also ran weakly in the black belt counties outside his State senate seat against his no-name opponent, fwiw - most of the whites there seem to have jumped over to vote for Fincher.

[Torie]

Per Cinyc's map, I always get curious about these little islands in regional races, in this case, Henderson and Decatur. Why? I note in passing that Henderson was a pro union island in a rebel sea back when. Whatever.

[cinyc]

Per Cinyc's map, I always get curious about these little islands in regional races, in this case, Henderson and Decatur. Why? I note in passing that Henderson was a pro union island in a rebel sea back when. Whatever.

I deleted the map to check data integrity when I noticed a precinct that had 0% reporting yet showed results.  Turned out, that was due to early voting.   Given that, I assume the data's correct.  Here's a repost:

TN-R Gov
(Haslam 48%, Wamp 29%, Ramsey 22%, Haslam-Ramsey exact tie, No Data)

[Torie]

It looks like D. Black won the GOP primary in TN-6, whomever he is.

[cinyc]

Per Cinyc's map, I always get curious about these little islands in regional races, in this case, Henderson and Decatur. Why? I note in passing that Henderson was a pro union island in a rebel sea back when. Whatever.

It seems like an area of the state (perhaps TV market) where it was a true three-way race.  Ramsey barely took over the lead in neighboring Hardin County, which shifted the color to redish.

Anyway, with 2130/2177 reporting:


Generally, Wamp won the Chatanooga area, Ramsey the Tri-Cities area and Haslam most of the rest of the state.

[Torie]

Regarding TV markets, is there a TV station in Jackson or something?  I once saw a movie in Jackson. It was the first time I saw a separate glassed in section, where mother's could take their crying babies.

[cinyc]

Regarding TV markets, is there a TV station in Jackson or something?  I once saw a movie in Jackson. It was the first time I saw a separate glassed in section, where mother's could take their crying babies.

Yeah, there's a Jackson TV market.  Last I checked, Henderson and Hardin are in it.  Decatur technically isn't (though it could be in the Jackson TV station's area of influence).

Tennessee TV markets, FWIW:

[Lunar]

Oh right, today's election day.

The YouTube guy didn't win?  The gospel singer from frog jump or whatever it's called easily won?  Cohen creamed his opponent?  

Next thing you're going to tell me is that Arizona's GOP primary is going to be boring as well.  Sure, Hayworth is roadkill, having been run over by $16 million dollars from John "I never said I was a maverick" McCain who has engaged his primary election to keep his Senate seat with far more vigor & excitement than the two times he ran for president, and all of Brewer's opponents seem to have dropped out and endorsed her, but...yeah, okay, that'll be a sleeper too


It seems like viral videos have formed an extremely poor basis for campaigns this cycle.  That one guy who plays dress-up in his basement talking about revolution lost, that crazy guy lost today, etc.  I guess Demon Sheep won, but I don't think that really mattered.

Who's going to elect sneezing panda in 2012 now??

[cinyc]

Oh right, today's election day.

The YouTube guy didn't win?  The gospel singer from frog jump or whatever it's called easily won?  Cohen creamed his opponent?  

Next thing you're going to tell me is that Arizona's GOP primary is going to be boring as well.  Sure, Hayworth is roadkill and all of Brewer's opponents seem to have dropped out and endorsed her, but...yeah, okay, that'll be a sleeper too


It seems like viral videos have formed an extremely poor basis for campaigns this cycle.  That one guy who plays dress-up in his basement talking about revolution lost, that crazy guy lost today, etc.  I guess Demon Sheep won, but I don't think that really mattered.

Who's going to elect sneezing panda in 2012 now??

We have Connecticut next week, which may have a few interesting races.  The gubernatorial ad war is heating up, even in the NYC market.  Colorado and Minnesota are up next week, too,  I think.

[memphis]

It looks like D. Black won the GOP primary in TN-6, whomever he is.

FYI, the D stands for Diane

[Torie]

It looks like D. Black won the GOP primary in TN-6, whomever he is.

FYI, the D stands for Diane

I am such a pig in so many ways, aren't I?  

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Updated OP with next week's stuff.

[Saxwsylvania]

On himself garnering 20% of the vote against Cohen last night: "It was a referendum on Willie Herenton, and that’s really how it is."

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Maps of last night's House primaries:

[Bo]

Maps of last night's House primaries:

How do you make/where do you get these maps?

[JohnnyLongtorso]

MS Paint, manually editing the Atlas maps.

[cinyc]

How do you make/where do you get these maps?

I'm getting a little more high tech.  MapWindow GIS, directly from a spreadsheet of the AP data.  County (and other) vector data courtesy of the U.S. Census Bureau. 

I still can't figure out the RGB values for the typical Atlas coloring, though - and I'm not exactly great with color shading by eye.

Hopefully, I'll have enough time this week to try to use Connecticut as my first test run for the November package.    I have to get the maps and data in order.  If things go as planned, it should be Massachusetts special election-level epic.

[RI]

I still can't figure out the RGB values for the typical Atlas coloring, though - and I'm not exactly great with color shading by eye.

I'm not an expert on colors, but this page might help. It has the full Atlas color pallette on it, and if you click on a color it gives you a six-character RGB color code. The pallette has more colors than are used normally on Atlas, but if you click on Fill Default, it fills in the codes for the typical Atlas red, blue, and green shades from 20% to 90%.

[Lunar]

The eye dropper tool thingy should get any specific values, no?

Using the link above

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Last-minute primary polls:

Colorado (PPP):

Gov: 41-40 McInnis.
Sen: 49-43 Bennet, 45-43 Norton (!).

Connecticut (Quinnipiac):

Gov: 45-42 Lamont, 38-30-17 Foley-Fedele-Griebel.
Sen: 50-28-15 McMahon-Simmons-Schiff.

Georgia (Mason-Dixon):

Gov: 47-42 Handel.