2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[ProudModerate2]

[ProudModerate2]

[ProudModerate2]

Florida is killing me right now.
Errrrrrr.

[ProudModerate2]

Wow.
Ohio is looking good for Biden so far, with 36% counted he is leading by +13.
Am I reading this data correctly.
That's huge. What am I not understanding? Only Urban votes counted so far? What?

[ProudModerate2]

Wow.
Ohio is looking good for Biden so far, with 36% counted he is leading by +13.
Am I reading this data correctly.
That's huge. What am I not understanding? Only Urban votes counted so far? What?

Now 40% counted, Biden leading by +14.

[ProudModerate2]

Wow.
Ohio is looking good for Biden so far, with 36% counted he is leading by +13.
Am I reading this data correctly.
That's huge. What am I not understanding? Only Urban votes counted so far? What?

Early vote always favors Democrats in Ohio.

But it's a huge lead.
41% counted and leading by +12.
That's a large lead to overcome ... dont you think?

[ProudModerate2]

Wow.
Ohio is looking good for Biden so far, with 36% counted he is leading by +13.
Am I reading this data correctly.
That's huge. What am I not understanding? Only Urban votes counted so far? What?

Early vote always favors Democrats in Ohio.

But it's a huge lead.
41% counted and leading by +12.
That's a large lead to overcome ... dont you think?

Hillary was leading by a similarly lopsided margin early on in 2016.

OK. Thank you for the info.

[ProudModerate2]

Everyone freaking out about Georgia needs to chill.  Of course Republicans will have a big lead without Atlanta in yet.

But NYT "Forcast Needle" takes that into consideration (do they not?).
And it shows trump's chances of winning GA at 84%.

[ProudModerate2]

Biden way up in NC with over half reporting.... Come on, that would be huge.

I just saw NC went from <1% in to suddenly 55% in

Yep.
Now sitting at 60% counted on NYT.
And their Forecast Needle shows trump chances of winning it at 56%.
OMG.

[ProudModerate2]

BTW, Mitch McConnell the beast himself has been projected to win.

You are way behind.
We know that already.

[ProudModerate2]

Ohio.
Exit poll data just shown on NBC, said that voters that did not vote in 2016 but did now vote in 2020, are about 2/3 voting for Biden and 1/3 voting for trump.
If true, that could be big for Biden.

[ProudModerate2]

Again though: is this not the point in 2018 when people said no blue wave and then...?
FL appears to still be an isolated incident?
Like in OH, was Hillary still up double digits with 50% of the vote in?

People here are saying that Hillary was leading with a similar lead in OH.

[ProudModerate2]

What is going on in Michigan.
Are numbers from the big cities not in yet?

[ProudModerate2]

What is going on in Michigan.
Are numbers from the big cities not in yet?

No, Michigan has said that they may not get the full results in for at least several more days.  That's another thing: don't be surprised to see some states hang up in a weird configuration. 

OK.
I will try not to let it get to me.
But this initial trump lead is (was) concerning.

[ProudModerate2]

Supposedly CNN have retracted their Virginia call..?

You got to be kidding me.

[ProudModerate2]

Honestly... this is going the right way so far...

What the hell kinda numbers you looking at?

Georgia and Texas are both going Trump.

North Carolina? Biden's dropping steadily.

If Biden loses Ohio (which is likely given that it feels eerily like 2016), then he's finished.

Do you mean Penn. (not Ohio)?

[ProudModerate2]

Can someone tell me about what we currently see in Virginia.
What's up here.

[ProudModerate2]

Can someone tell me about what we currently see in Virginia.
What's up here.

I think you're seeing the same day vote.  The early vote might not be in at all, which is going to skew tremendously to Biden.

OK. Thank you.

[ProudModerate2]

Utterly bizarre how early some outlets called Virginia. Trump is *still* leading with around 50% reporting. Not that I think he'll win, but it's looking far closer than their insta-calls would seem to have suggested.

It was closer than expected in 2016, too.

NYT shows 43% counted.

[ProudModerate2]

Once again (like 2016) at about this point in time, I find myself retreating our troops back to the fort for defense (the Blue Wall).
I hope it holds.
And I still hope AZ comes through for Biden.

[ProudModerate2]

Even if Biden squeaks by with PA, WI, MI, tonight has been a real kick in the d.

Those polls showing Biden up by 10% were truly a mirage. He'll be lucky to win even by the 7-8% margin that I had predicted for him.

I agree.
They may be in the low single-digits (let's hope).

[ProudModerate2]

Biden+10 in Maricopa

Really?
Is that high enough for it to be good news for Biden (so far at least)?

[ProudModerate2]

Trump has won.

Not yet. I still think Biden is a narrow favorite, but a Trump victory would not surprise me at all at this point.

No, he has definitely won.

Can you seriously STFU you broken record!? Unless you actually have some analysis or vote totals to report, please go sit in the corner while the grown-ups actually try to follow the election.

 seriously man, you've become nothing more than purely annoying tonight

This 'broken record' has been more right than you have.

You really need to cool it.
Please concentrate on data, rather than repeating the same thing over and over again.

[ProudModerate2]

NE-02 look good so far

Can you (anyone) link a webpage which shows the numbers for NE-02.

[ProudModerate2]

Trump has won.

Not yet. I still think Biden is a narrow favorite, but a Trump victory would not surprise me at all at this point.

No, he has definitely won.

Can you seriously STFU you broken record!? Unless you actually have some analysis or vote totals to report, please go sit in the corner while the grown-ups actually try to follow the election.

 seriously man, you've become nothing more than purely annoying tonight

This 'broken record' has been more right than you have.

You really need to cool it.
Please concentrate on data, rather than repeating the same thing over and over again.

I am, and the data points to Trump being re-elected. Deny it all you want, it doesn't change reality.

Where do you see that I am denying it?
Now just stop.