2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 616975 times)
pepper11
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« Reply #2400 on: November 03, 2020, 08:12:29 PM »
Trump OVERperforming 2016 in TX
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Horus
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« Reply #2401 on: November 03, 2020, 08:12:31 PM »

What a waste.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #2402 on: November 03, 2020, 08:12:37 PM »
Wow.
Ohio is looking good for Biden so far, with 36% counted he is leading by +13.
Am I reading this data correctly.
That's huge. What am I not understanding? Only Urban votes counted so far? What?
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #2403 on: November 03, 2020, 08:12:42 PM »
It looks to me like Biden is improving everywhere in Texas, but not by nearly enough to actually win the state.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2404 on: November 03, 2020, 08:12:54 PM »
Quote from: Storr on November 03, 2020, 08:11:23 PM
Quote from: Statilius the Epicurean on November 03, 2020, 08:10:33 PM
Looks like there hasn't been as great a suburban swing towards Biden as Democrats hoped.
What???

Isn't Biden tied in the Indy suburbs? Where Trump won 20?
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Splash
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« Reply #2405 on: November 03, 2020, 08:12:55 PM »
The returns in VA are mostly E-Day votes
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Saruku
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« Reply #2406 on: November 03, 2020, 08:12:58 PM »
Underwhelming result in Harris Co for Biden.
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Andy Hine
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« Reply #2407 on: November 03, 2020, 08:12:59 PM »
You all need to relax. There are very good signs for Biden in Texas.
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GoTfan
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« Reply #2408 on: November 03, 2020, 08:13:09 PM »
Quote from: MR. KAYNE WEST on November 03, 2020, 08:12:24 PM
I cant wait until Biden wins TX and see the R reaction

He. Is. Not. Winning. Texas.
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Storr
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« Reply #2409 on: November 03, 2020, 08:13:26 PM »
He's literally not.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #2410 on: November 03, 2020, 08:13:28 PM »
There is a nonzero chance this will be the map:



If so, well...
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
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« Reply #2411 on: November 03, 2020, 08:13:29 PM »
Harris County TX early vote dumped, looks like probably not enough to be consistent with a statewide win, Biden only at 56.1%. Looks to me like Trump probably carries Texas after all, by similar-ish %s to the Beto-Cruz race, unless some unexpected stuff comes up. Sad.
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Woody
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« Reply #2412 on: November 03, 2020, 08:13:32 PM »
Hey Barkeley, your hero Josh Hicks is currently getting pounded by 7 points with only 50% in, where you at?
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lfromnj
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« Reply #2413 on: November 03, 2020, 08:13:35 PM »
Quote from: President Pericles on November 03, 2020, 08:12:01 PM
Quote from: #proudtikitorchmarcher on November 03, 2020, 08:10:11 PM
Quote from: Alben Barkley on November 03, 2020, 06:57:36 PM
A few bold predictions:

1. Biden wins Kenton and Campbell counties. In addition to (easily) Franklin County.

2. Biden wins Fayette and Jefferson counties and ends up in at least the mid-60s in both.

3. Biden MAY win back Elliott County.

4. They will NOT be able to call Kentucky at poll close.

5. Trump wins Kentucky in the end by low-mid double digits, an abysmal margin compared to 2016.

6. People who unironically thought Biden being a white man wouldn’t matter in states like Kentucky, and that he’d do worse than Obama and Hillary, will have a ton of crow to eat.

Here we go asshole Barkley

You made all these claims

1. Kenton is 88% in and +20 Trump,  Franklin is 90% in and +0.1 Trump

2. Lexington/Louisville didn't release that many votes

3. Almost certainly not although it still only 52% reporting

4. Weird stuff happened

5. Meh final margin isn't there

6. There are multiple counties in rural where Biden is doing worse than both Clinton and Obama despite being a white man.

6 is a very small minority, most counties I'm seeing Biden is doing better than Hillary.

How many of those are mostly in?
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #2414 on: November 03, 2020, 08:13:37 PM »
Quote from: ProudModerate2 on November 03, 2020, 08:12:37 PM
Wow.
Ohio is looking good for Biden so far, with 36% counted he is leading by +13.
Am I reading this data correctly.
That's huge. What am I not understanding? Only Urban votes counted so far? What?

Use caution with that lead.  Ohio can swing pretty heavily as more votes come in (I believe it did back in 2016).  But Biden will invariably do better than Hillary here and that bodes somewhat well for his chances elsewhere in the midwest. 
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exopolitician
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« Reply #2415 on: November 03, 2020, 08:13:42 PM »
Biden is winning Williamson
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Beet
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« Reply #2416 on: November 03, 2020, 08:13:45 PM »
Biden is only doing 2 points better than Hillary Clinton in Harris... it's done.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #2417 on: November 03, 2020, 08:13:48 PM »
I am still holding back on FL. Not calling it yet.
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Meclazine for Israel
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« Reply #2418 on: November 03, 2020, 08:13:52 PM »
Trump is backed up hard against the wall.

If Trump loses TX, WI or MI, this is all over. He cannot afford to lose any of these.

I think Biden has 261 at the moment without these states decided.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2419 on: November 03, 2020, 08:13:55 PM »
Normally this would be frustrating but considering we have no idea in literally every state what is in and what is out in terms of e-day, early vote, and mail makes things even more confusing.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #2420 on: November 03, 2020, 08:14:03 PM »
Quote from: ProudModerate2 on November 03, 2020, 08:12:37 PM
Wow.
Ohio is looking good for Biden so far, with 36% counted he is leading by +13.
Am I reading this data correctly.
That's huge. What am I not understanding? Only Urban votes counted so far? What?

Now 40% counted, Biden leading by +14.
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GoTfan
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« Reply #2421 on: November 03, 2020, 08:14:09 PM »
Quote from: Alben Barkley on November 03, 2020, 08:13:28 PM
There is a nonzero chance this will be the map:



If so, well...



Keep fantasising.
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Splash
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« Reply #2422 on: November 03, 2020, 08:14:22 PM »
Biden flipped Williamson.
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #2423 on: November 03, 2020, 08:14:27 PM »
This is a sad night for America, but I knew it was coming.
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
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« Reply #2424 on: November 03, 2020, 08:14:33 PM »
Williamson County also came in, all reporting, 50.6% for Biden, 47.4% for Trump.

That is not enough, Trump is going to win TX.
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