2020 Absentee/Early Voting thread (user search)
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Author Topic: 2020 Absentee/Early Voting thread  (Read 174842 times)
philly09
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« Reply #25 on: October 20, 2020, 08:24:13 PM »
Quote from: Co-Chair Bagel23 on October 20, 2020, 08:22:20 PM


Almost at a million! Keep it coming.
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philly09
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« Reply #26 on: October 20, 2020, 08:38:29 PM »
I'm guessing all the Nebraska votes are coming from NE-02?
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philly09
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« Reply #27 on: October 20, 2020, 08:46:55 PM »
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philly09
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« Reply #28 on: October 20, 2020, 11:20:38 PM »
Quote from: 413 on October 20, 2020, 10:59:15 PM
Quote from: Non Swing Voter on October 20, 2020, 10:55:41 PM
Quote from: Hindsight is 2020 on October 20, 2020, 10:54:41 PM
Quote from: Arch on October 20, 2020, 10:48:03 PM
So... Let me get this straight. Democrat's statewide advantage grew between yesterday and today despite there not being any votes reported yet from Miami-Dade, and now Florida is red?
Seriously at this pace Dems should hit about a 500k advantage after the weekend which is miles ahead of their 2016 margins. The only reason reason people are freaking out is due to this whole “Dems need about 600-650k lead before ED to win because ED will be 80-20 Trump” talking point that’s out there

It's up to 650k now?  

I've even seen someone say 800k. Honestly, who knows. Maybe Biden could win Florida with a 300k advance vote advantage. Maybe he needs 900k. It's too hard to predict with any certainty.

Historically, the Dems do better with weekend EV than weekday EV in Florida, which may or may not hold this year, FWIW.

As of now, the Democrats have a 517k lead in VBM and a 479k lead in the total vote.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/17YKazYaUMZ33vmd4YHDKcVdlTkP5DmnHQQlAttwOzL0/edit#gid=1170489266
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philly09
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« Reply #29 on: October 20, 2020, 11:28:40 PM »
Hillary had a 90,000 early vote lead going into Election Day.

https://www.politico.com/states/florida/story/2016/11/florida-democrats-hold-90-000-early-vote-lead-will-it-carry-clinton-to-the-white-house-107192
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philly09
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« Reply #30 on: October 20, 2020, 11:32:07 PM »
Quote from: Non Swing Voter on October 20, 2020, 11:28:53 PM
Quote from: Make PA Blue Again! on October 20, 2020, 11:27:45 PM
Ralston reported that Reps beat Dems 2-1 in Washoe today.


yeah:



Republicans voting for Biden? Still very early and the Clark firewall still stands.
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philly09
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« Reply #31 on: October 21, 2020, 01:02:46 AM »
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philly09
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« Reply #32 on: October 21, 2020, 01:17:09 AM »
Quote from: Non Swing Voter (FL Dems to 600k) on October 21, 2020, 01:13:46 AM
Quote from: philly09 on October 21, 2020, 01:02:46 AM


Ralston's getting a little feisty today. 

Not sure what any of his tweets have to do with Dems amassing a 600k lead in Florida though.

This is a thread on early voting/VBM.
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philly09
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« Reply #33 on: October 21, 2020, 03:59:41 PM »
In GA, AA make up 31.4% of the Mail-In Vote and 28.7% of the In Person Vote.
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philly09
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« Reply #34 on: October 21, 2020, 08:08:21 PM »
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philly09
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« Reply #35 on: October 21, 2020, 08:15:02 PM »
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philly09
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« Reply #36 on: October 21, 2020, 08:27:17 PM »
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z53F4993rlc
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philly09
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« Reply #37 on: October 21, 2020, 08:47:44 PM »
Quote from: Unbeatable Titan Donna Shalala on October 21, 2020, 08:40:56 PM
Some interesting returns by Congressional district in CA here: https://www.politicaldata.com/2020-ballot-returns-top-25-searches/

Dems way up so far in CA-25 and CA-50. Smaller lead in CA-22.

God, I hope Nunes goes down. Anything out of CA-23?
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philly09
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« Reply #38 on: October 21, 2020, 09:06:00 PM »
Quote from: kireev on October 21, 2020, 09:04:26 PM
Quote from: Single Issue Covid Voter on October 21, 2020, 08:59:46 PM
Quote from: Rep Jessica on October 21, 2020, 08:53:46 PM
The Democrats lead is down to 11% in Florida!!! The In person vote is cutting into democrats lead slowly but surely...Can Trump close the gap? Hopefully but we will see!

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/17YKazYaUMZ33vmd4YHDKcVdlTkP5DmnHQQlAttwOzL0/htmlview?pru=AAABdWY-2lM*RELmuWopShoDq9-h3Bl_Tw#
F**k.
And to think people still believe Florida will flip.

May I remind you that the REP turnout in 2016 was 7 points higher than DEM turnout in 2016! We actually discussed that here several days ago. Yes, REPs may and probably will eventually catch up to DEMs in FL, but it's still going to be a big improvement for DEMs compared to 2016.

Does anybody have the 2008 and 2012 numbers for reference so we can stop having these meltdowns every goddamn night?
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philly09
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« Reply #39 on: October 21, 2020, 09:10:02 PM »
Quote from: kireev on October 21, 2020, 09:07:50 PM
Michael McDonald tweeted on Nov 1st, 2016, just a week before the election,  that DEM advantage in CO was 2.6% after just over a million votes. https://twitter.com/ElectProject/status/793477147964899328
We are at  1,237,892   votes 13 days before the election and DEM advantage is 16 points. The difference is pretty huge.



Neither Hillary, nor Biden were/are going to lose Colorado.
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philly09
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« Reply #40 on: October 21, 2020, 09:15:05 PM »
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philly09
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« Reply #41 on: October 21, 2020, 09:22:49 PM »
Just talked to a friend who lives in the Westchester part of Miami Dade, they've had torrential downpours for the last 48 hours. That might have something to do with the totals. As far as he's concerned, they're doing fine, he's been canvassing and phone banking.
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philly09
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« Reply #42 on: October 21, 2020, 09:40:49 PM »
Quote from: EJ24 on October 21, 2020, 09:37:09 PM
LOL what's with the doomers in this thread?

This has been a spectacular day for Biden in polls and early vote is sky high 2 weeks out. We're in great shape here.

Yep, 43 Million votes now. 3 million shy of the 2016 total. We will break the record either tonight or tomorrow. For whatever reason KY hasn't report to MM in a few days , but he will call tomorrow to get an updated total.
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philly09
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« Reply #43 on: October 21, 2020, 09:48:23 PM »
Also, while Democrats have 460k lead over the GOP in FL, it's probably higher when you factor in the 800k NPAs that have voted so far.
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philly09
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« Reply #44 on: October 21, 2020, 11:25:41 PM »
Well, well, well.

https://www.sacurrent.com/the-daily/archives/2020/10/21/texas-republicans-blast-trump-on-conference-call-urge-gop-voters-to-cast-ballots-for-joe-biden
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philly09
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« Reply #45 on: October 21, 2020, 11:35:23 PM »
44 Million votes!  Thanks to CA, OH, ND, and a late update from Texas.
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philly09
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« Reply #46 on: October 22, 2020, 01:44:13 AM »
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philly09
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« Reply #47 on: October 22, 2020, 05:19:02 PM »
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philly09
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« Reply #48 on: October 22, 2020, 05:20:05 PM »
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philly09
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« Reply #49 on: October 22, 2020, 07:40:20 PM »
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